Mason Roberts
@masonroberts.bsky.social
📈 Healthcare Actuary / Data Scientist @ParameanSolutions
👨👩👦👦 Father - Twin Dad
🧗♂️Climber - Trad / Sport
🌄 Boulder, CO - Planning Board Member
👨👩👦👦 Father - Twin Dad
🧗♂️Climber - Trad / Sport
🌄 Boulder, CO - Planning Board Member
Thanksgiving has always been my favorite holiday.
It’s simple in all the right ways:
It’s simple in all the right ways:
November 27, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Thanksgiving has always been my favorite holiday.
It’s simple in all the right ways:
It’s simple in all the right ways:
The goal of moving all Medicare beneficiaries into accountable care relationships by 2030 faces a critical operational challenge.
New longitudinal data, detailed in the Health Affairs article "Changes In Clinicians’ Participation Across Medicare Value-Based Payment Models, 2017–22," shows
New longitudinal data, detailed in the Health Affairs article "Changes In Clinicians’ Participation Across Medicare Value-Based Payment Models, 2017–22," shows
November 26, 2025 at 1:01 PM
The goal of moving all Medicare beneficiaries into accountable care relationships by 2030 faces a critical operational challenge.
New longitudinal data, detailed in the Health Affairs article "Changes In Clinicians’ Participation Across Medicare Value-Based Payment Models, 2017–22," shows
New longitudinal data, detailed in the Health Affairs article "Changes In Clinicians’ Participation Across Medicare Value-Based Payment Models, 2017–22," shows
The American framing of health care as a consumer good, something earned or purchased, is a fundamental policy choice that contributes to our chronic financial and outcome failures.
November 25, 2025 at 1:02 PM
The American framing of health care as a consumer good, something earned or purchased, is a fundamental policy choice that contributes to our chronic financial and outcome failures.
We often discuss the mechanics of value-based care, but how deeply do we stress-test our financial strategies against evolving policy realities?
November 20, 2025 at 1:01 PM
We often discuss the mechanics of value-based care, but how deeply do we stress-test our financial strategies against evolving policy realities?
Medicaid spending varies dramatically by eligibility group and by state which has real implications for provider groups entering value-based care.
KFF’s latest analysis shows per-enrollee spending ranging from under $5,000 in some states to over $12,000 in others.
KFF’s latest analysis shows per-enrollee spending ranging from under $5,000 in some states to over $12,000 in others.
November 13, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Medicaid spending varies dramatically by eligibility group and by state which has real implications for provider groups entering value-based care.
KFF’s latest analysis shows per-enrollee spending ranging from under $5,000 in some states to over $12,000 in others.
KFF’s latest analysis shows per-enrollee spending ranging from under $5,000 in some states to over $12,000 in others.
A recent study, which I appreciate for its transparent and compact methodology, highlights the power of Reinforcement Learning (RL), specifically the SARSA model, in high-risk care management.
November 11, 2025 at 1:00 PM
A recent study, which I appreciate for its transparent and compact methodology, highlights the power of Reinforcement Learning (RL), specifically the SARSA model, in high-risk care management.
The financial roadmap for ACOs in the REACH Model for 2025 is taking shape. But how well do you understand the crucial differences between provisional and final settlements that will directly impact your shared savings or losses?
November 6, 2025 at 1:02 PM
The financial roadmap for ACOs in the REACH Model for 2025 is taking shape. But how well do you understand the crucial differences between provisional and final settlements that will directly impact your shared savings or losses?
Today’s the day!
I’m speaking at SOA ImpACT on Managing Financial Risk with Predictive Analytics; exploring how actuaries can move from model outputs to management decisions.
I’m speaking at SOA ImpACT on Managing Financial Risk with Predictive Analytics; exploring how actuaries can move from model outputs to management decisions.
November 4, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Today’s the day!
I’m speaking at SOA ImpACT on Managing Financial Risk with Predictive Analytics; exploring how actuaries can move from model outputs to management decisions.
I’m speaking at SOA ImpACT on Managing Financial Risk with Predictive Analytics; exploring how actuaries can move from model outputs to management decisions.
Actuaries have always been in the business of managing risk.
What’s changing is how we do it.
Predictive analytics is reshaping everything from reserving to budgeting to contract design, moving us from retrospective measurement to proactive management.
What’s changing is how we do it.
Predictive analytics is reshaping everything from reserving to budgeting to contract design, moving us from retrospective measurement to proactive management.
October 31, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Actuaries have always been in the business of managing risk.
What’s changing is how we do it.
Predictive analytics is reshaping everything from reserving to budgeting to contract design, moving us from retrospective measurement to proactive management.
What’s changing is how we do it.
Predictive analytics is reshaping everything from reserving to budgeting to contract design, moving us from retrospective measurement to proactive management.
This AJMC article on pricing in outpatient surgery markets is a fascinating look at how dramatically costs vary depending on where outpatient surgeries happen.
For the same procedure, a hospital outpatient department (HOPD) can cost more than twice as much as an ambulatory surgery center (ASC).
For the same procedure, a hospital outpatient department (HOPD) can cost more than twice as much as an ambulatory surgery center (ASC).
October 30, 2025 at 12:02 PM
This AJMC article on pricing in outpatient surgery markets is a fascinating look at how dramatically costs vary depending on where outpatient surgeries happen.
For the same procedure, a hospital outpatient department (HOPD) can cost more than twice as much as an ambulatory surgery center (ASC).
For the same procedure, a hospital outpatient department (HOPD) can cost more than twice as much as an ambulatory surgery center (ASC).
I’m thrilled to share that I’ll be speaking next week at the Society of Actuaries ImpACT Conference in Seattle.
This is one of my favorite gatherings of the year; a place where actuaries, data scientists, and policy thinkers come together to push the boundaries of what our profession can do.
This is one of my favorite gatherings of the year; a place where actuaries, data scientists, and policy thinkers come together to push the boundaries of what our profession can do.
October 29, 2025 at 12:02 PM
I’m thrilled to share that I’ll be speaking next week at the Society of Actuaries ImpACT Conference in Seattle.
This is one of my favorite gatherings of the year; a place where actuaries, data scientists, and policy thinkers come together to push the boundaries of what our profession can do.
This is one of my favorite gatherings of the year; a place where actuaries, data scientists, and policy thinkers come together to push the boundaries of what our profession can do.
We often hear the maxim that investing more in primary care mitigates overall health care expenditures. But for health plans and provider groups focused on value-based care contracts, the critical question is: Where exactly does that investment generate a return?
October 28, 2025 at 12:01 PM
We often hear the maxim that investing more in primary care mitigates overall health care expenditures. But for health plans and provider groups focused on value-based care contracts, the critical question is: Where exactly does that investment generate a return?
We’re paying high premiums + tax/hidden subsidy via employer insurance. A universal system could reduce total spending while covering everyone. The evidence is not perfect — but strong enough that it deserves serious consideration.
October 24, 2025 at 2:00 PM
We’re paying high premiums + tax/hidden subsidy via employer insurance. A universal system could reduce total spending while covering everyone. The evidence is not perfect — but strong enough that it deserves serious consideration.
This months issue of Health Affairs is going to be fire
October 23, 2025 at 7:02 PM
This months issue of Health Affairs is going to be fire
We often discuss the mechanics of value-based care, but how deeply do we stress-test our financial assumptions against the unexpected?
October 23, 2025 at 12:04 PM
We often discuss the mechanics of value-based care, but how deeply do we stress-test our financial assumptions against the unexpected?
I was reading about the Patients Deserve Price Tags Act, a bipartisan bill from Senators Hickenlooper and Marshall aiming to make health care costs more transparent for employers.
October 22, 2025 at 12:06 PM
I was reading about the Patients Deserve Price Tags Act, a bipartisan bill from Senators Hickenlooper and Marshall aiming to make health care costs more transparent for employers.
How truly holistic are our approaches?
A persistent challenge in healthcare is the siloing of behavioral and physical health. Yet, my experience, particularly through work on initiatives like the Colorado State Innovation Model, has underscored a profound truth:
A persistent challenge in healthcare is the siloing of behavioral and physical health. Yet, my experience, particularly through work on initiatives like the Colorado State Innovation Model, has underscored a profound truth:
October 21, 2025 at 12:42 PM
How truly holistic are our approaches?
A persistent challenge in healthcare is the siloing of behavioral and physical health. Yet, my experience, particularly through work on initiatives like the Colorado State Innovation Model, has underscored a profound truth:
A persistent challenge in healthcare is the siloing of behavioral and physical health. Yet, my experience, particularly through work on initiatives like the Colorado State Innovation Model, has underscored a profound truth:
I’m feeling especially grateful for my family lately. My kids enrich my life in ways that keep me grounded and constantly surprised, whether it’s their curiosity, their creativity, or their ability to make K-Pop Demon Hunters the official soundtrack of our house for the last month. I’m 100% down
October 17, 2025 at 12:37 PM
I’m feeling especially grateful for my family lately. My kids enrich my life in ways that keep me grounded and constantly surprised, whether it’s their curiosity, their creativity, or their ability to make K-Pop Demon Hunters the official soundtrack of our house for the last month. I’m 100% down
A persistent challenge in healthcare finance is that policy delays often carry immediate, irreversible costs. We are seeing a profound example right now with the enhanced ACA Premium Tax Credits (PTCs).
October 17, 2025 at 12:03 PM
A persistent challenge in healthcare finance is that policy delays often carry immediate, irreversible costs. We are seeing a profound example right now with the enhanced ACA Premium Tax Credits (PTCs).
The MIPS landscape is continually evolving, and CY 2026 brings significant changes to MIPS Value Pathways (MVPs) that demand careful attention, especially from specialists and smaller practices. Are you ready to navigate these updates to avoid penalties and maximize incentives?
October 16, 2025 at 12:04 PM
The MIPS landscape is continually evolving, and CY 2026 brings significant changes to MIPS Value Pathways (MVPs) that demand careful attention, especially from specialists and smaller practices. Are you ready to navigate these updates to avoid penalties and maximize incentives?
Most forecasting discussions in healthcare start with one question:
“How accurate is your model?”
It’s a fair question, but it’s not the right one.
Accuracy is just one dimension.
Trust is the real goal.
“How accurate is your model?”
It’s a fair question, but it’s not the right one.
Accuracy is just one dimension.
Trust is the real goal.
October 15, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Most forecasting discussions in healthcare start with one question:
“How accurate is your model?”
It’s a fair question, but it’s not the right one.
Accuracy is just one dimension.
Trust is the real goal.
“How accurate is your model?”
It’s a fair question, but it’s not the right one.
Accuracy is just one dimension.
Trust is the real goal.
We often discuss population health, but how deeply do we appreciate the core engine of savings in value-based care?
October 14, 2025 at 12:03 PM
We often discuss population health, but how deeply do we appreciate the core engine of savings in value-based care?
The Nobel Assembly's choice for the 2025 Prize in Physiology or Medicine celebrates a foundational breakthrough in health. Congratulations to Mary E. Brunkow, Fred Ramsdell, and Shimon Sakaguchi!
October 10, 2025 at 12:02 PM
The Nobel Assembly's choice for the 2025 Prize in Physiology or Medicine celebrates a foundational breakthrough in health. Congratulations to Mary E. Brunkow, Fred Ramsdell, and Shimon Sakaguchi!
For MSSP ACOs, how crucial is predictability for your strategic planning in value-based care?
The landscape for 2026 is shaping up with some welcome stability and a strategic window for adaptation.
The landscape for 2026 is shaping up with some welcome stability and a strategic window for adaptation.
October 9, 2025 at 12:03 PM
For MSSP ACOs, how crucial is predictability for your strategic planning in value-based care?
The landscape for 2026 is shaping up with some welcome stability and a strategic window for adaptation.
The landscape for 2026 is shaping up with some welcome stability and a strategic window for adaptation.
A persistent challenge in healthcare is the journey from technical evidence to clinical or policy decisions. We often rely on the principles of Evidence-Based Medicine (EBM)—a term coined by Gordon Guyatt in 1991—but what happens when evidence is misconstrued?
October 8, 2025 at 12:03 PM
A persistent challenge in healthcare is the journey from technical evidence to clinical or policy decisions. We often rely on the principles of Evidence-Based Medicine (EBM)—a term coined by Gordon Guyatt in 1991—but what happens when evidence is misconstrued?