Russia has been engaged in a decade+ of grey zone warfare against the west.

The recent intensification demonstrated the nature of their capabilities, and intent to use them against the west.

The problem for them is we can just do more of it than they can, and they are overcommitted in Ukraine.

That is before we even consider expanding grey zone warfare which is also very likely to favor the west.

The west has a lot more resources than Russia.

They need to marshal those resources and broaden the scope of engagement in ways that limit escalatory risks but overmatch the Russian response.

If the west continues to ramp up defense industrial production and support Ukraine fully, those trends will continue to shift in the Ukrainian direction, and at some point the Russian advance will likely come to a halt.

The notion that Russia is winning leans heavily on a definition of winning that favors Russia (sq km gained).

It ignores the increasing strain on Russias military, increasing damage to the Russian economy (not least from the increase in long range strikes), and many other trends that favor Ukraine.

Ukraine continues to battle Russia effectively.

People tend to focus on the (very) slow Russian advance, when the real focus should be on the relative combat efficiency and resource management of both sides.

Russia is taking enormous losses to make strategically inconsequential gains.

Looks more like a breakfast to me 🤔

Flatten every ruzzian oil refinery, gas pipeline, oil port, and storage. Thanks. 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

Stupid sleepy donny

Britain and the EU are getting closer to releasing £200billion worth of frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine's reconstruction. The Times says the announcement could come within days.