Pinned
Trump was able to win back some Mainers from 2020 and improved his numbers in every county but Lincoln and Sagadahoc. The trend continues as the coast moves left and inland moves right, especially in the northernmost part of Maine.
D+9.1➡️D+6.9
#mepolitics
D+9.1➡️D+6.9
#mepolitics
Just under 500,000 people cast ballots in this off-year election. That represents:
1⃣47% of Active voters📈 (from Febs voter roll)
2⃣An increase of 82k voters from 2023📈
Maine continues to have some of the nation's best voter participation every election #mepolitics
1⃣47% of Active voters📈 (from Febs voter roll)
2⃣An increase of 82k voters from 2023📈
Maine continues to have some of the nation's best voter participation every election #mepolitics
The SOS has released the official election results for the Nov 4 Referendums
Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅
#mepolitics
Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅
#mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Just under 500,000 people cast ballots in this off-year election. That represents:
1⃣47% of Active voters📈 (from Febs voter roll)
2⃣An increase of 82k voters from 2023📈
Maine continues to have some of the nation's best voter participation every election #mepolitics
1⃣47% of Active voters📈 (from Febs voter roll)
2⃣An increase of 82k voters from 2023📈
Maine continues to have some of the nation's best voter participation every election #mepolitics
Q1's No margin was 2.6pts larger than Q2s Yes margin. Populous southern, coastal Maine voted slightly more in favor of Q2, while central Maine voted stronger against Q1 #mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Q1's No margin was 2.6pts larger than Q2s Yes margin. Populous southern, coastal Maine voted slightly more in favor of Q2, while central Maine voted stronger against Q1 #mepolitics
Both No and 1 and Yes on 2 won in CD1 and CD2. The margins also far outpaced Harris' 2024 margin of 6.9pts.
Q1
CD1: No+41.9🟦
CD2: No+12.0🟦
Q2
CD1: Yes+41.2🟦
CD2: Yes+7.1🟦
2024 President
CD1: Harris+21.6🟦
CD2: Trump+9.0🟥
#mepolitics
Q1
CD1: No+41.9🟦
CD2: No+12.0🟦
Q2
CD1: Yes+41.2🟦
CD2: Yes+7.1🟦
2024 President
CD1: Harris+21.6🟦
CD2: Trump+9.0🟥
#mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Both No and 1 and Yes on 2 won in CD1 and CD2. The margins also far outpaced Harris' 2024 margin of 6.9pts.
Q1
CD1: No+41.9🟦
CD2: No+12.0🟦
Q2
CD1: Yes+41.2🟦
CD2: Yes+7.1🟦
2024 President
CD1: Harris+21.6🟦
CD2: Trump+9.0🟥
#mepolitics
Q1
CD1: No+41.9🟦
CD2: No+12.0🟦
Q2
CD1: Yes+41.2🟦
CD2: Yes+7.1🟦
2024 President
CD1: Harris+21.6🟦
CD2: Trump+9.0🟥
#mepolitics
The SOS has released the official election results for the Nov 4 Referendums
Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅
#mepolitics
Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅
#mepolitics
November 19, 2025 at 12:53 PM
The SOS has released the official election results for the Nov 4 Referendums
Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅
#mepolitics
Q1 (Voter ID and other restrictions) REJECTED by 28.4pts❌
Q2 (Red Flag Law) PASSED by 25.8pts✅
#mepolitics
Husband and Wife, David Haggan (SD10) and Kimberly Haggan (HD36), are the most conservative members of each respective state house according to the scorecard averages.
State Sen David Haggan Avg: 1.9%
State Rep Kim Haggan Avg: 0.4%
#mepolitics
State Sen David Haggan Avg: 1.9%
State Rep Kim Haggan Avg: 0.4%
#mepolitics
2025 ME House Scorecard Average
Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%
#mepolitics
Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%
#mepolitics
November 18, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Husband and Wife, David Haggan (SD10) and Kimberly Haggan (HD36), are the most conservative members of each respective state house according to the scorecard averages.
State Sen David Haggan Avg: 1.9%
State Rep Kim Haggan Avg: 0.4%
#mepolitics
State Sen David Haggan Avg: 1.9%
State Rep Kim Haggan Avg: 0.4%
#mepolitics
2025 ME House Scorecard Average
Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%
#mepolitics
Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%
#mepolitics
November 18, 2025 at 5:39 PM
2025 ME House Scorecard Average
Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%
#mepolitics
Below are the average scores for ME House members across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
O'Halloran-HD20: 67.8%
Bunker-HD75: 81.5%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Lanigan-HD141: 11.6%
Foley-HD145: 11.3%
#mepolitics
2025 ME Sen Legislative Scorecard Average
Below are the average scores for ME State Senators across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
Hickman-SD14: 78.8%
Baldacci-SD9: 86.2%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Bennett-SD18: 50.7%
Bradstreet-SD15: 8.1%
#mepolitics
Below are the average scores for ME State Senators across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
Hickman-SD14: 78.8%
Baldacci-SD9: 86.2%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Bennett-SD18: 50.7%
Bradstreet-SD15: 8.1%
#mepolitics
November 17, 2025 at 12:59 PM
2025 ME Sen Legislative Scorecard Average
Below are the average scores for ME State Senators across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
Hickman-SD14: 78.8%
Baldacci-SD9: 86.2%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Bennett-SD18: 50.7%
Bradstreet-SD15: 8.1%
#mepolitics
Below are the average scores for ME State Senators across 5 different scorecards. (100%=Most Dem)
🟦Most Bipartisan Ds
Hickman-SD14: 78.8%
Baldacci-SD9: 86.2%
🟥Most Bipartisan Rs
Bennett-SD18: 50.7%
Bradstreet-SD15: 8.1%
#mepolitics
State Senator for Bangor and Hermon Joe Baldacci, brother of former Maine Governor John Baldacci, would be a solid candidate for the Democrats. He overperformed the top of the ticket by nearly 7pts in 2024 and is one of the most bipartisan lawmakers #mepolitics
x.com/polltracker2...
x.com/polltracker2...
November 15, 2025 at 5:58 AM
State Senator for Bangor and Hermon Joe Baldacci, brother of former Maine Governor John Baldacci, would be a solid candidate for the Democrats. He overperformed the top of the ticket by nearly 7pts in 2024 and is one of the most bipartisan lawmakers #mepolitics
x.com/polltracker2...
x.com/polltracker2...
Graham Platner is currently leading Janet Mills in the polling average for the US Senate Dem primary by 13pts.
#mepolitics
#mepolitics
November 14, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Graham Platner is currently leading Janet Mills in the polling average for the US Senate Dem primary by 13pts.
#mepolitics
#mepolitics
Looking at town results on BDN for Q1 and Q2. Northern ME saw huge shifts from '24.
Caribou
'24 Prez: Trump+20
'25 Q1: No+3 (23pt shift 🔵)
Fort Fairfield
'24 Prez: Trump+19
'25 Q1: No+7 (26pt shift 🔵)
Presque Isle
'24 Prez: Trump+9
'25 Q1: No+18 (27pt shift 🔵)
#mepolitics
Caribou
'24 Prez: Trump+20
'25 Q1: No+3 (23pt shift 🔵)
Fort Fairfield
'24 Prez: Trump+19
'25 Q1: No+7 (26pt shift 🔵)
Presque Isle
'24 Prez: Trump+9
'25 Q1: No+18 (27pt shift 🔵)
#mepolitics
November 9, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Looking at town results on BDN for Q1 and Q2. Northern ME saw huge shifts from '24.
Caribou
'24 Prez: Trump+20
'25 Q1: No+3 (23pt shift 🔵)
Fort Fairfield
'24 Prez: Trump+19
'25 Q1: No+7 (26pt shift 🔵)
Presque Isle
'24 Prez: Trump+9
'25 Q1: No+18 (27pt shift 🔵)
#mepolitics
Caribou
'24 Prez: Trump+20
'25 Q1: No+3 (23pt shift 🔵)
Fort Fairfield
'24 Prez: Trump+19
'25 Q1: No+7 (26pt shift 🔵)
Presque Isle
'24 Prez: Trump+9
'25 Q1: No+18 (27pt shift 🔵)
#mepolitics
The referendum results underscore a big issue for Maine Rs. They need to improve their margins in large municipalities or they will continue to lose ground, especially in non-presidential years. The largest 10 munis in ME are currently voting >25 pts left of the state #mepolitics
November 5, 2025 at 1:08 PM
The referendum results underscore a big issue for Maine Rs. They need to improve their margins in large municipalities or they will continue to lose ground, especially in non-presidential years. The largest 10 munis in ME are currently voting >25 pts left of the state #mepolitics
Per the new MPA scorecard, here are the most bipartisan legislators for each party in ‘25
GOP turned Indy Gov candidate Rick Bennett is the most bipartisan State Sen
GOP Rep Lucas Lanigan, indicted on domestic violence charges in March, is the most bipartisan R Rep #mepolitics
GOP turned Indy Gov candidate Rick Bennett is the most bipartisan State Sen
GOP Rep Lucas Lanigan, indicted on domestic violence charges in March, is the most bipartisan R Rep #mepolitics
September 19, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Per the new MPA scorecard, here are the most bipartisan legislators for each party in ‘25
GOP turned Indy Gov candidate Rick Bennett is the most bipartisan State Sen
GOP Rep Lucas Lanigan, indicted on domestic violence charges in March, is the most bipartisan R Rep #mepolitics
GOP turned Indy Gov candidate Rick Bennett is the most bipartisan State Sen
GOP Rep Lucas Lanigan, indicted on domestic violence charges in March, is the most bipartisan R Rep #mepolitics
In 2020, Susan Collins had the third biggest drop in margin of any incumbent senator between two elections since 2000.
2014: Collins +37.0
2020: Collins +8.6 (-28.4)
Only Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) and Ted Stevens (R-AK) had bigger drops of 33pts and 70pts, respectively
#mepolitics
2014: Collins +37.0
2020: Collins +8.6 (-28.4)
Only Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) and Ted Stevens (R-AK) had bigger drops of 33pts and 70pts, respectively
#mepolitics
September 4, 2025 at 3:53 PM
In 2020, Susan Collins had the third biggest drop in margin of any incumbent senator between two elections since 2000.
2014: Collins +37.0
2020: Collins +8.6 (-28.4)
Only Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) and Ted Stevens (R-AK) had bigger drops of 33pts and 70pts, respectively
#mepolitics
2014: Collins +37.0
2020: Collins +8.6 (-28.4)
Only Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) and Ted Stevens (R-AK) had bigger drops of 33pts and 70pts, respectively
#mepolitics
The GOP has been trying to win HD44 for years and with Bill Pluecker (I) term-limited they may finally get their chance.
HD104 and HD107 should be clear targets for Dems as Arata is term-limited and Cooper is in a Harris district which had an independent running in '24 #mepolitics
HD104 and HD107 should be clear targets for Dems as Arata is term-limited and Cooper is in a Harris district which had an independent running in '24 #mepolitics
Here's an early look at the best pickup opportunities for each party in the ME House
🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12
Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12
Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
July 25, 2025 at 7:57 PM
The GOP has been trying to win HD44 for years and with Bill Pluecker (I) term-limited they may finally get their chance.
HD104 and HD107 should be clear targets for Dems as Arata is term-limited and Cooper is in a Harris district which had an independent running in '24 #mepolitics
HD104 and HD107 should be clear targets for Dems as Arata is term-limited and Cooper is in a Harris district which had an independent running in '24 #mepolitics
Here's an early look at the best pickup opportunities for each party in the ME House
🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12
Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12
Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
July 25, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Here's an early look at the best pickup opportunities for each party in the ME House
🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12
Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
🟦Democrats: 25
🟥Republicans: 12
Even a moderate midterm advantage for Democrats should leave them in a great position to expand their majority #mepolitics
SD8 is trending right relative to the state, but will likely stay in Dem hands with a favorable midterm environment and Tipping running again.
SD20 trended similarly to the state from '20 to '24. Bickford benefitted from a progressive independent running #mepolitics
SD20 trended similarly to the state from '20 to '24. Bickford benefitted from a progressive independent running #mepolitics
July 24, 2025 at 7:08 PM
SD8 is trending right relative to the state, but will likely stay in Dem hands with a favorable midterm environment and Tipping running again.
SD20 trended similarly to the state from '20 to '24. Bickford benefitted from a progressive independent running #mepolitics
SD20 trended similarly to the state from '20 to '24. Bickford benefitted from a progressive independent running #mepolitics
Here's a very early look at where Dems and GOP will be looking to pick up seats in the 2026 ME Senate races.
Best Pickup Opps
Rs - SD8 (Mike Tipping - D)
🟥2024 Prez: R+2.1
🟦2024 ME Sen: D+0.6
Ds - SD20 (Bruce Bickford - R)
🟦2024 Prez: D+0.9
🟥2024 ME Sen: R+4.4
#mepolitics
Best Pickup Opps
Rs - SD8 (Mike Tipping - D)
🟥2024 Prez: R+2.1
🟦2024 ME Sen: D+0.6
Ds - SD20 (Bruce Bickford - R)
🟦2024 Prez: D+0.9
🟥2024 ME Sen: R+4.4
#mepolitics
July 24, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Here's a very early look at where Dems and GOP will be looking to pick up seats in the 2026 ME Senate races.
Best Pickup Opps
Rs - SD8 (Mike Tipping - D)
🟥2024 Prez: R+2.1
🟦2024 ME Sen: D+0.6
Ds - SD20 (Bruce Bickford - R)
🟦2024 Prez: D+0.9
🟥2024 ME Sen: R+4.4
#mepolitics
Best Pickup Opps
Rs - SD8 (Mike Tipping - D)
🟥2024 Prez: R+2.1
🟦2024 ME Sen: D+0.6
Ds - SD20 (Bruce Bickford - R)
🟦2024 Prez: D+0.9
🟥2024 ME Sen: R+4.4
#mepolitics
With Paul LePage jumping into the ME-02 race, let's look back at his last two elections for governor. In 2014, LePage won CD2 and narrowly lost CD1. In his 2022 return to politics, he lost massive ground in CD1 and barely won CD2 in route to a 13pt statewide defeat #mepolitics
July 19, 2025 at 12:37 PM
With Paul LePage jumping into the ME-02 race, let's look back at his last two elections for governor. In 2014, LePage won CD2 and narrowly lost CD1. In his 2022 return to politics, he lost massive ground in CD1 and barely won CD2 in route to a 13pt statewide defeat #mepolitics
We're still 11 months from the primaries, but the gubernatorial race is already heating up.
Democrats Hannah Pingree and Shenna Bellows have already raised over $500k with Bobby Charles on the Republican side bringing in over $300k #mepolitics
Democrats Hannah Pingree and Shenna Bellows have already raised over $500k with Bobby Charles on the Republican side bringing in over $300k #mepolitics
July 16, 2025 at 11:15 AM
We're still 11 months from the primaries, but the gubernatorial race is already heating up.
Democrats Hannah Pingree and Shenna Bellows have already raised over $500k with Bobby Charles on the Republican side bringing in over $300k #mepolitics
Democrats Hannah Pingree and Shenna Bellows have already raised over $500k with Bobby Charles on the Republican side bringing in over $300k #mepolitics
Lake Research Partners, Pan Atlantic Research and UNH have all tested Susan Collins’ favorability recently and come away varying results
Net Fav
4/17 LRP: -33 ⬇️
5/26 PAR: +4 ⬆️
6/23 UNH: -42 ⬇️
I would presume it’s closer to +4, but the data is saying otherwise #mepolitics
Net Fav
4/17 LRP: -33 ⬇️
5/26 PAR: +4 ⬆️
6/23 UNH: -42 ⬇️
I would presume it’s closer to +4, but the data is saying otherwise #mepolitics
June 29, 2025 at 10:54 AM
Lake Research Partners, Pan Atlantic Research and UNH have all tested Susan Collins’ favorability recently and come away varying results
Net Fav
4/17 LRP: -33 ⬇️
5/26 PAR: +4 ⬆️
6/23 UNH: -42 ⬇️
I would presume it’s closer to +4, but the data is saying otherwise #mepolitics
Net Fav
4/17 LRP: -33 ⬇️
5/26 PAR: +4 ⬆️
6/23 UNH: -42 ⬇️
I would presume it’s closer to +4, but the data is saying otherwise #mepolitics
Big question for 2026: Who will Cooper Flagg be endorsing in the gubernatorial election? #mepolitics
June 28, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Big question for 2026: Who will Cooper Flagg be endorsing in the gubernatorial election? #mepolitics
What a gift for Democrats. Golden would be a heavy favorite if he does run for reelection.
LePage only won CD2 towns by 2.8pts when he ran against Janet Mills in the 2022 gubernatorial election #mepolitics
LePage only won CD2 towns by 2.8pts when he ran against Janet Mills in the 2022 gubernatorial election #mepolitics
Former Maine Gov. Paul LePage announced Monday that he's running for the state's 2nd Congressional District seat. From @mainepublic.org:
Former Gov. Paul LePage will challenge Rep. Jared Golden for Maine's 2nd District
Former Maine Gov. Paul LePage announced Monday that he's running for the state's 2nd Congressional District seat.
www.wbur.org
May 6, 2025 at 6:02 PM
What a gift for Democrats. Golden would be a heavy favorite if he does run for reelection.
LePage only won CD2 towns by 2.8pts when he ran against Janet Mills in the 2022 gubernatorial election #mepolitics
LePage only won CD2 towns by 2.8pts when he ran against Janet Mills in the 2022 gubernatorial election #mepolitics
Reposted
I’m running for the US Senate because after nearly 30 years in DC, Susan Collins hasn’t changed the system – she’s part of it.
Join our campaign today: ElectJordan.com
Join our campaign today: ElectJordan.com
April 23, 2025 at 11:47 AM
I’m running for the US Senate because after nearly 30 years in DC, Susan Collins hasn’t changed the system – she’s part of it.
Join our campaign today: ElectJordan.com
Join our campaign today: ElectJordan.com
300 LV survey from February on the favorability of both Janet Mills and Susan Collins
Net Favorability
🟦Mills: +5
🟥Collins: -33
Lots of weird stuff in this small sample, but shows that 77y/o Mills may have a decent chance at ousting 72y/o Collins #mepolitics
Net Favorability
🟦Mills: +5
🟥Collins: -33
Lots of weird stuff in this small sample, but shows that 77y/o Mills may have a decent chance at ousting 72y/o Collins #mepolitics
April 18, 2025 at 1:07 PM
300 LV survey from February on the favorability of both Janet Mills and Susan Collins
Net Favorability
🟦Mills: +5
🟥Collins: -33
Lots of weird stuff in this small sample, but shows that 77y/o Mills may have a decent chance at ousting 72y/o Collins #mepolitics
Net Favorability
🟦Mills: +5
🟥Collins: -33
Lots of weird stuff in this small sample, but shows that 77y/o Mills may have a decent chance at ousting 72y/o Collins #mepolitics
Reposted
I'm Shenna Bellows, and I've fought for the people of Maine my entire life, from the campaign for marriage equality to the ACLU to the office of Secretary of State.
Today, I’m proud to announce that I’m running to be the next Governor of Maine! bellowsformaine.com
Today, I’m proud to announce that I’m running to be the next Governor of Maine! bellowsformaine.com
March 26, 2025 at 12:13 PM
I'm Shenna Bellows, and I've fought for the people of Maine my entire life, from the campaign for marriage equality to the ACLU to the office of Secretary of State.
Today, I’m proud to announce that I’m running to be the next Governor of Maine! bellowsformaine.com
Today, I’m proud to announce that I’m running to be the next Governor of Maine! bellowsformaine.com