Michael Wasiura
@michaelwasiura.bsky.social
Russia whisperer from Muskegon, currently based in Odes(s)a. Like Chekhov said, “the authors are right. Life’s that full of surprises.”
There are two possible paths to peace in Ukraine: either Putin decides to end the war, or else Putin is forced to stop fighting. Biden was incapable of forcing Putin to stop. I will be (pleasantly) surprised if Trump proves capable.
I still expect Trump to blame Zelensky when it all falls through.
I still expect Trump to blame Zelensky when it all falls through.
Trump: “The media has been very fair.”
WHAT?? Donald Trump has been replaced by a podperson!!!
WHAT?? Donald Trump has been replaced by a podperson!!!
August 18, 2025 at 7:57 PM
There are two possible paths to peace in Ukraine: either Putin decides to end the war, or else Putin is forced to stop fighting. Biden was incapable of forcing Putin to stop. I will be (pleasantly) surprised if Trump proves capable.
I still expect Trump to blame Zelensky when it all falls through.
I still expect Trump to blame Zelensky when it all falls through.
I will be shocked (albeit pleasantly) if the Putin regime is *not* still in power in 2030. The supposed parallels between Putin and Assad are illusory. Three years ago, there really was a fairly high chance Putin would be ousted in 2024. The invasion of Ukraine changed that.
December 8, 2024 at 10:38 PM
I will be shocked (albeit pleasantly) if the Putin regime is *not* still in power in 2030. The supposed parallels between Putin and Assad are illusory. Three years ago, there really was a fairly high chance Putin would be ousted in 2024. The invasion of Ukraine changed that.
Hot take: the idea that Kyiv would fall to Russian forces by midnight on February 26, 2022 was as plausible as the idea that IDF forces will be holding a parade in Gaza sometime early next week.
(Note: no one is even suggesting that the latter is possible, and they are correct not to suggest it.)
(Note: no one is even suggesting that the latter is possible, and they are correct not to suggest it.)
October 13, 2023 at 5:03 PM
Hot take: the idea that Kyiv would fall to Russian forces by midnight on February 26, 2022 was as plausible as the idea that IDF forces will be holding a parade in Gaza sometime early next week.
(Note: no one is even suggesting that the latter is possible, and they are correct not to suggest it.)
(Note: no one is even suggesting that the latter is possible, and they are correct not to suggest it.)
I’ve been going back through pre-war Kremlin TV shout shows so that you don’t have to. Remember Simonyan’s line about conquering Ukraine “in 2 days”? It was from April 2021. By February 2022, the fantasy of choice was that Ukraine was planning to “provoke” Russia.
www.newsweek.com/even-russian...
www.newsweek.com/even-russian...
October 12, 2023 at 1:54 PM
I’ve been going back through pre-war Kremlin TV shout shows so that you don’t have to. Remember Simonyan’s line about conquering Ukraine “in 2 days”? It was from April 2021. By February 2022, the fantasy of choice was that Ukraine was planning to “provoke” Russia.
www.newsweek.com/even-russian...
www.newsweek.com/even-russian...