Mishel Ghassibe 🇺🇦
@mickeygb.bsky.social
620 followers 180 following 43 posts
Researcher @ CREi | Affiliated Professor @ Barcelona School of Economics| Ex @ National Bank of Ukraine | PhD @ Oxford | Trinity College, Cambridge alum | From Vinnytsia, Ukraine 🌐 https://sites.google.com/view/mishel-ghassibe
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mickeygb.bsky.social
🌟NEW PAPER🌟

Forward-looking inflation is central to monetary economics

A micro building block of such foresight is Intertemporal Pass-Through (iPT): the sensitivity of firms' *current* reset prices to *expected* marginal costs

We estimate iPT and find it consistent with sticky-price models
mickeygb.bsky.social
On my way back from the NBER Summer Institute, where I had the pleasure to present my work with Anton Nakov on Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades

Many thanks to the organisers for including the paper!

Video 🔗: shorturl.at/amCAj
Reposted by Mishel Ghassibe 🇺🇦
dkaenzig.bsky.social
If you are in Cambridge, don't miss out on this session including fascinating papers by @mickeygb.bsky.social
and @benmoll.bsky.social
mickeygb.bsky.social
On my way to Copenhagen for the Society for Economic Dynamics (SED) Annual Meeting!

Look forward to presenting at 9:00am on Friday, July 27th in an exciting session on Inflation Dynamics with Networks and Firm Heterogeneity, w/ Vincent Sterk and Simone Lenzu.
mickeygb.bsky.social
Excited to be in Split, Croatia for the 2025 NBER ISoM!

Great program complementing an equally fascinating location.

🔗 www.nber.org/conferences/...
mickeygb.bsky.social
🌟NEW PAPER🌟

Forward-looking inflation is central to monetary economics

A micro building block of such foresight is Intertemporal Pass-Through (iPT): the sensitivity of firms' *current* reset prices to *expected* marginal costs

We estimate iPT and find it consistent with sticky-price models
mickeygb.bsky.social
Great two days at the BSE Summer Forum Worksop on “Networks and Firm Heterogeneity in Macro and Trade”, which we organised with Alessandro Ferrari

Many thanks to all the participants for the great presentations!
mickeygb.bsky.social
Excited to be at Yale for the next couple of days, presenting at the Cowles Summer Conference on Macroeconomics.

Many thanks to Fernando Alvarez and Joel Flynn for putting together such a great event.
2025 Conference on Macroeconomics
cowles.yale.edu
mickeygb.bsky.social
Even the border officer at Newark is concerned by the fact that the third chapter of my PhD dissertation is still unpublished

A sign from above
mickeygb.bsky.social
At the same time, interaction of networks with demand shocks produces a realistically flat Phillips Curve!

Unlike in standard models, substantial money non-neutrality and strong inflationary episodes co-exist WITHOUT the reduced-form markup shocks.

Comments welcome!
mickeygb.bsky.social
Interaction of pricing cascades with supply shocks is key for explaining the observed patterns in the post-Covid era!

Feeding in the observed shocks to energy and food prices (only TWO sectors) explains AGGREGATE inflation and adjustment frequency in the Euro Area
mickeygb.bsky.social
KEY: networks interact differently with supply and demand shocks

SUPPLY: networks *strengthen* cascades, creating a reinforcing double whammy of increases in inflation and frequency

DEMAND: networks *dampen* cascades, generating mild inflation and strong money non-neutrality
mickeygb.bsky.social
Combine three minimal ingredients to rationalize observed patterns:

1⃣Multi-sector setup with production networks
2⃣State-dependent pricing
3⃣Fully non-linear solutions

The interaction of the three creates a novel channel of non-linearity in inflation dynamics: pricing CASCADES
mickeygb.bsky.social
🌟NEW PAPER w/ Anton Nakov

Recent episodes have taught us a lot about inflation:
1⃣Surges can be large even in adv. economies
2⃣Adjustment freq.⬆️ is a key micro channel
3⃣Sectoral shocks can drive aggregates

Need a new model to analyze such patterns!

🔗shorturl.at/CySIs
mickeygb.bsky.social
We started a project with Marcus and Anton Nakov a few months ago, and have had some extremely thought-stimulating calls.

Perhaps the most vivid memory is from a call on Dec 24th, when after an almost 3-h brainstorm we got the code to run. We called it a Christmas miracle!

RIP Marcus
sorrytobekurt.bsky.social
With great sadness, I announce the passing of my co-author and friend, Marcus Hagedorn. His acerbic wit was as sharp as the vision of Toni Kroos. He attacked big research questions like he tackled the mountains of Mallorca on his bike. He will be missed.
Reposted by Mishel Ghassibe 🇺🇦
mariainkharkiv.bsky.social
Parents sit by the body of their 15-year-old son…
Russian ballistic strike on Kryvy Rih killed 14 people today, including 6 children. Right next to a playground.

Who still dares to “understand” Russia after this massacre?
mickeygb.bsky.social
Peace through strength.

The strength you need to stand up to bullies.
mickeygb.bsky.social
Just a few days left to submit to our Workshop on Networks and Firm Heterogeneity in Macro and Trade!

Deadline: Friday February 28th

We look forward to seeing you in Barcelona in June ☀️
mickeygb.bsky.social
🌐Are you researching firms or networks in macro or trade?

🎯Then submit your paper to our BSE Summer Forum Workshop (w/ @aferrari.bsky.social)!

✨Keynotes: Pol Antràs, Jennifer La'O

⏰Deadline: Feb 28

Funded by @cienciagob.bsky.social @snsf-ch.bsky.social

events.bse.eu/live/files/5...
mickeygb.bsky.social
“Let Americas and Russias be silent, when I am talking to you!”
mickeygb.bsky.social
Ти ще виболюєшся болем,
ти ще роздерта на шматки,
та вже, крута і непокірна,
ти випросталася для волі,

ти гнівом виросла. Тепер
не матимеш од нього спокою,
йому ж рости і рости, допоки
не упадуть тюремні двері.
mickeygb.bsky.social
🌐Are you researching firms or networks in macro or trade?

🎯Then submit your paper to our BSE Summer Forum Workshop (w/ @aferrari.bsky.social)!

✨Keynotes: Pol Antràs, Jennifer La'O

⏰Deadline: Feb 28

Funded by @cienciagob.bsky.social @snsf-ch.bsky.social

events.bse.eu/live/files/5...
mickeygb.bsky.social
Strength. Pride. Glory.

USYK 🇺🇦💪🏼
mickeygb.bsky.social
Team #Ukraine at the SED in Buenos Aires!

Thanks Fabio Ghironi for all his consistent 🇺🇦 support