Charlie Henry
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modalshift.co
Charlie Henry
@modalshift.co
https://modalshift.co/
open the data...
stop having it be closed
even if Behn loses by around 3-5 points, a shift of 15+ points might be enough for the dems to hold on to all 5 redistricted seats in Texas in 2026
December 3, 2025 at 1:55 AM
betting markets swinging back to Van Epps after some good election day results for him in rural parts of the district
December 3, 2025 at 1:42 AM
gonna be a tight one, folks.
December 3, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Steve Kornacki's notes simply incredible
December 3, 2025 at 1:26 AM
Van Epps dropped below 75% chance of winning according to polymarket
December 3, 2025 at 1:19 AM
21 point shift in Montgomery, probably not quite enough for Behn assuming her margin will drop with election day vote.
December 3, 2025 at 1:16 AM
Polymarket reacting in real time to a good early showing by Behn
December 3, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Early results in from rural Stewart County show a 15 point improvement over Kamala Harris

9 point improvement in rural Wayne County.

Slightly off track for Behn to pull the upset, but might bode well for dem parts of the district
December 3, 2025 at 1:07 AM
I don't know why but a "OJ Homicide Investigation" search was done by LVMPD in the flock camera data.

haveibeenflocked.com/search?q=OJ+...
December 1, 2025 at 6:06 PM
I think it’s interesting that TxDOT doesn’t follow the DOT rule on not putting distracting and goofy messaging on signs but implemented this one immediately
November 15, 2025 at 10:36 PM
Even with a loss at UGA this weekend, the longhorns would have a 64% chance of making the playoffs if they beat Arkansas and A&M at home according to ESPN.
November 14, 2025 at 11:08 PM
some incredible responses here
November 12, 2025 at 5:25 PM
more nonsense spewing from the everything app
November 10, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Anyone know what the heck happened in Tarrant County last night? Probably the best dem over performance since 2018?
November 5, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Bexar County voters have passed both ballot propositions that will essentially keep the Spurs in San Antonio
November 5, 2025 at 7:01 AM
25% turnout is very solid for an off year election.
November 5, 2025 at 6:28 AM
Full election night returns now from Travis, Williamson, and Hays. Prop Q falls way short
November 5, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Where we stand on Prop Q right now
November 5, 2025 at 5:07 AM
Small batch of E-Day Vote came in from Travis County.
November 5, 2025 at 4:04 AM
Election Day batch from Williamson County has not really improved things for Prop Q
November 5, 2025 at 3:51 AM
Prop Q in a big hole early. Election Day will have to be dramatically different.
November 5, 2025 at 3:02 AM
Where we're at while waiting for Travis County early vote drop
November 5, 2025 at 1:49 AM
The tiny part of Hays County 42 votes against 9 votes for Prop Q after early voting
November 5, 2025 at 1:08 AM
Austin Prop Q trails by 38 points early voting Williamson County results
November 5, 2025 at 1:03 AM
Low turnout in the usual places, east of I-35 and student neighborhoods. Most wampus precincts are showing a 90% drop in turnout as compared to '24.

Not out of the ordinary here, but I would assume those areas have less people getting yearly property tax bills.
November 3, 2025 at 4:36 AM