Robert Muggah
@muggah.bsky.social
280 followers 140 following 160 posts
Co-founder of Igarapé Institute, SecDev, and Bioverse | Geopolitics, security, technology, cities and nature enthusiast | TED speaker | Lancet Commission | Bosch Academy | Author of Terra Incognita | SuperNature | robertmuggah.org
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muggah.bsky.social
Global conflict is surging but the institutions set up to curb them are fracturing. Perceptions diverge on what comes next. The West fears the end of the rules-based order; Asia treat multipolarity as opportunity; many in the “Global South” are hedging. #WEF

www.weforum.org/stories/2025...
We must rethink conflict and peacebuilding in a fractured world
Conflict is rising as aid shrinks. How can peacebuilding adapt through localization, innovation and new global coalitions in this new fractured world?
www.weforum.org
muggah.bsky.social
Freedom cities are coming. But instead of ceding the idea to techno-authoritarians, progressives need to reclaim cities as platforms for democratic experimentation - from participatory assemblies and cooperative housing to climate-resilient design. www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/f...
muggah.bsky.social
Can improvements in #deforestation detection improve safety? A new study from #arxiv finds that #Brazil's #DETER prevented on average +/- 1,477 homicides per year, a 15% reduction. Fascinating co benefits. (By Rafael Araujo, Vitor Possebom, and Gabriela Setti)

arxiv.org/html/2509.06...
DETERring more than Deforestation: Environmental Enforcement Reduces Violence in the AmazonWe would like to thank Lucas Belleza, Lucas Finamor, and Livia Haddad for helpful suggestions. We also thank ...
arxiv.org
muggah.bsky.social
#Brazil is confronting one of the most audacious #criminal infiltration schemes in its history. I told #Bloomberg that factions like the #PCC have fully infiltrated the legal economy and supply chains and are eroding trust in the financial system

www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Drug Gang Sells Brazil Gas in Sophisticated Bid to Wash Profits
A sting operation is targeting criminal networks spanning service stations, asset managers and fintech platforms used to mask close to $10 billion in illicit profits.
www.bloomberg.com
muggah.bsky.social
With the world #arming itself to the teeth, it’s critical to expose the vast health implications. In a new #BMJ series, we argue that the #arms industry, like #tobacco, #alcohol, and #fossil fuels should be regarded as a commercial determinant of health.

www.bmj.com/content/390/...
Weapons, wealth, and health: the arms industry as a commercial determinant of health
As governments worldwide increase defence spending and arms company revenues climb, we urgently need to examine how the arms industry (and not just its products) influences health, argue Mark Bellis a...
www.bmj.com
muggah.bsky.social
The #STF also issued content takedown orders (and suspended Telegram) and expanded fact-checking hubs and digital literacy campaigns to counter conspiracy theories and restored public trust. By mid-2025, the STF secured 643 convictions for involvement in the riots. (5/5)
muggah.bsky.social
The January 8, 2023 attacks on the presidential palace, Congress, and the #STF triggered even stronger action. The STF and #TSE froze assets, classified insurrectionists as terrorists, and enforced preventive arrests to curb extremist networks. (4/5)
muggah.bsky.social
By 2022, the #TSE and Supreme Court (#STF) expanded their authority, enabling real-time removal of harmful content on X, Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, and Telegram. Authorities built communication channels with tech firms to flag disinformation and block extremist accounts. (3/5)
muggah.bsky.social
A focus of the #TSE and Supreme Court (#STF) since 2019 has been on those targeting electronic voting systems. Counter measures not only patched vulnerabilities in Brazil’s #democratic defenses, they also laid the foundations for more ambitious efforts to safeguard the 2022 elections. (2/5)
muggah.bsky.social
At a time of #democratic rollback, look to countries like #Brazil for insight. Brazil’s defense of #democracy has evolved since Bolsonaro’s election in 2018. In 2019, the electoral court (#TSE) stood-up its first #disinformation program and a network of fact-checkers to debunk conspiracies. (1/6)
muggah.bsky.social
Even so, #gun violence has declined in recent years. There were 5.6 gun-related murders per 100,000 in 2023. This is down from 6.2 in 2022 and 6.7 in 2021. Places with the highest rates include #Alabama, District of #Columbia, #Louisiana, #Mississippi, and New Mexico. #CDC
muggah.bsky.social
The #US is also an outlier when it comes to #gun deaths. In 2024, 41,027 people died from gun-related injuries. Of these, 16,871 were gun-related homicides and 24,156 were suicides. Handguns are most commonly used: assault rifles turn up in around 4% of murders.
muggah.bsky.social
The #US is an outlier when it comes to mass #shootings. Last year there were 503 incidents, including 30 mass murders. For example, Trump's first term (2017-2020) averaged 452 incidents per year with an average of 506 deaths and 1,865 injuries annually. (Gun Violence Archive)
muggah.bsky.social
The incident in #Minneapolis is the 286th mass #shooting event of 2025. Since January at least 246 people were killed, 1,292 injured and 44 states impacted. Red states lead in both frequency and fatalities accounting for 55% of all mass shootings and 60% of deaths and injuries.
muggah.bsky.social
#Ukraines hydrocarbons, critical minerals and rare earths could be worth trillions. The caveats? About half are in #Russian-occupied areas. Security guarantees are also essential. Spoke to @nytimes.com’s Dealbook about the opportunities and challenges today. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/b...
muggah.bsky.social
In what some analysts are calling among the most consequential meetings since the fall of the Soviet Union, #EU and #NATO leaders are keen to avoid both confrontation and capitulation in Washington.

www.bbc.com/news/article...
European leaders rush to US to help Ukraine avoid 'capitulation’
The heads of state hope to stop Trump from threatening long-term European security, writes James Landale.
www.bbc.com