Thomas R Ullmann
@musiciantom.bsky.social
Degrees in both Philosophy and Physics with a past passion for long distance cycling and intermittent bouts of music composition.
I'm currently fundraising for United24, #Ukraine 's charity funding air-defense, and anti-mining projects among many others.
I'm doing a sponsored ride from East Germany to the Dutch coast as part of the fundraiser.
Please share and donate to show your support.
whydonate.com/fundraising/...
I'm doing a sponsored ride from East Germany to the Dutch coast as part of the fundraiser.
Please share and donate to show your support.
whydonate.com/fundraising/...
Fundraiser by Thomas Ullmann | Ride for Ukraine | Defence, Demining and Recovery
Thomas Ullmann Needs Your Help | Why am I fundraising for United24? June 2025 alone recorded 232 civilians killed and 1 343 injured in drone and missile strikes on Ukrainian cit...
whydonate.com
July 26, 2025 at 7:27 PM
I'm currently fundraising for United24, #Ukraine 's charity funding air-defense, and anti-mining projects among many others.
I'm doing a sponsored ride from East Germany to the Dutch coast as part of the fundraiser.
Please share and donate to show your support.
whydonate.com/fundraising/...
I'm doing a sponsored ride from East Germany to the Dutch coast as part of the fundraiser.
Please share and donate to show your support.
whydonate.com/fundraising/...
I'm proud to be part of this team, this week my article is on how capable Ukraine's european allies are of filling the void left by the US.
Volume 19(NEW WEBSITE ALERT): pragmaticpapers.com/volumes/19
July 9, 2025 at 1:40 PM
I'm proud to be part of this team, this week my article is on how capable Ukraine's european allies are of filling the void left by the US.
Reposted by Thomas R Ullmann
Volume 19(NEW WEBSITE ALERT): pragmaticpapers.com/volumes/19
July 9, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Volume 19(NEW WEBSITE ALERT): pragmaticpapers.com/volumes/19
Dutch government has fallen. Far-right Geert Wilders has left the coalition putting the country into uncertainty #wilders #netherlands #europe
June 3, 2025 at 10:29 AM
Dutch government has fallen. Far-right Geert Wilders has left the coalition putting the country into uncertainty #wilders #netherlands #europe
Reposted by Thomas R Ullmann
Eurozone inflation falls below target to 1.9%
https://www.ft.com/content/3dbbcf94-e33b-4725-9143-6f26c0efe341
https://www.ft.com/content/3dbbcf94-e33b-4725-9143-6f26c0efe341
Eurozone inflation falls below target to 1.9%
May figure comes as central bank meets this week to consider further cut to borrowing costs
www.ft.com
June 3, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Eurozone inflation falls below target to 1.9%
https://www.ft.com/content/3dbbcf94-e33b-4725-9143-6f26c0efe341
https://www.ft.com/content/3dbbcf94-e33b-4725-9143-6f26c0efe341
Reposted by Thomas R Ullmann
China's nuclear capabilities, including missiles targeting Guam, are rapidly expanding, raising security concerns for the region.
www.guampdn.com/news/analyst...
www.guampdn.com/news/analyst...
Analyst: China's nuclear stockpile, which includes 'Guam Killer' missiles, fastest growing globally
China’s nuclear arsenal is the fastest growing in the world, and one of the fastest growing tools in that arsenal are missiles the media has dubbed the “Guam Killer,” according
www.guampdn.com
June 1, 2025 at 9:00 PM
China's nuclear capabilities, including missiles targeting Guam, are rapidly expanding, raising security concerns for the region.
www.guampdn.com/news/analyst...
www.guampdn.com/news/analyst...
Why are old -isms, capitalism, socialism still used. We need to promote a modern -ism for modern times i.e. #Polycenterism that appeals to econ of Minsky, Elinor Ostrom and Joseph Stiglitz #EconTwitter #NewEconomics #SystemsThinking
May 31, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Why are old -isms, capitalism, socialism still used. We need to promote a modern -ism for modern times i.e. #Polycenterism that appeals to econ of Minsky, Elinor Ostrom and Joseph Stiglitz #EconTwitter #NewEconomics #SystemsThinking
I wrote an article a couple of weeks ago remembering the hollacaust survivor, Leon Greenman.
Never forget.
#auschwitz
Never forget.
#auschwitz
In Memory of Leon Greenman - The DGG Pragmatic Papers
pragmaticpapers.github.io
May 25, 2025 at 12:43 PM
I wrote an article a couple of weeks ago remembering the hollacaust survivor, Leon Greenman.
Never forget.
#auschwitz
Never forget.
#auschwitz
Reposted by Thomas R Ullmann
The United States has authorized the transfer of decommissioned Abrams tanks from Australia to Ukraine.
meduza.io/en/news/2025...
meduza.io/en/news/2025...
U.S. authorizes Australia to send decommissioned Abrams tanks to Ukraine — Meduza
The United States has authorized the transfer of decommissioned Abrams tanks from Australia to Ukraine. According to the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC), the first shipment — comprising 49…
meduza.io
May 19, 2025 at 9:11 AM
The United States has authorized the transfer of decommissioned Abrams tanks from Australia to Ukraine.
meduza.io/en/news/2025...
meduza.io/en/news/2025...
Got my first article published in the DGG Pragmatic Papers last week, DGG PP makes for a good read for those into pragmatic left wing politics, give it a read!
May 11, 2025 at 1:15 AM
Got my first article published in the DGG Pragmatic Papers last week, DGG PP makes for a good read for those into pragmatic left wing politics, give it a read!
Reposted by Thomas R Ullmann
The Kuznets curve: It's not just for income inequality anymore! www.wider.unu.edu/sites/defaul... Ferreira and others spot it for inequality of opportunity.
May 5, 2025 at 7:04 PM
The Kuznets curve: It's not just for income inequality anymore! www.wider.unu.edu/sites/defaul... Ferreira and others spot it for inequality of opportunity.
"...by 2050 aviation emissions will be about a quarter of all human-caused emissions that will be really a very shameful position."
I have more time for those who say they don't really care about the damage they do, but admit to doing it knowing the consequences than those who pretend to care.
I have more time for those who say they don't really care about the damage they do, but admit to doing it knowing the consequences than those who pretend to care.
Aviation industry is ‘failing dramatically’ on climate, insiders say
Professionals call for a fundamental transition including controlling flight numbers
www.theguardian.com
May 6, 2025 at 1:12 PM
"...by 2050 aviation emissions will be about a quarter of all human-caused emissions that will be really a very shameful position."
I have more time for those who say they don't really care about the damage they do, but admit to doing it knowing the consequences than those who pretend to care.
I have more time for those who say they don't really care about the damage they do, but admit to doing it knowing the consequences than those who pretend to care.
Trump is simultaneously destroying lives, the US economy and society at the same time. Nothing good will come of his politics.
Lawyer: Federal agents detain Guatemalan man, 29, with no criminal record - The New Bedford Light
Immigration agents blocked the car that he and his wife were driving in and smashed a window to detain him without presenting a warrant.
newbedfordlight.org
April 16, 2025 at 2:13 PM
Trump is simultaneously destroying lives, the US economy and society at the same time. Nothing good will come of his politics.
Trump's intentions/motivations remain an enigma but his blackmail by the Kremlin, or indirect influence, would explain his actions rather clearly.
thehill.com
March 1, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Trump's intentions/motivations remain an enigma but his blackmail by the Kremlin, or indirect influence, would explain his actions rather clearly.
Sticking by my prediction of a recession by the end of the year.
Uncertainty around US tariffs may cause the down turn to start earlier with shrinkage evident in the second quarter of this year in the US economy. Collapse in market confidence likely to start with AI shares.
Uncertainty around US tariffs may cause the down turn to start earlier with shrinkage evident in the second quarter of this year in the US economy. Collapse in market confidence likely to start with AI shares.
With the huge inversion in US government bond rates coming to an end this ominous sign of an impending recession. Some have argued that this will be the exception yet ignore that the inflation drop is in part stagnating demand, another sign of the spector of rec.
en.macromicro.me/charts/46840...
en.macromicro.me/charts/46840...
US - Yield Curve Inversion Ratio | MacroMicro
MacroMicro calculates the yield curve inversion ratio by looking at the proportion of inverted yields in the US Treasuries across different maturities, including 30-year bonds, 20-year bonds, 10-year ...
en.macromicro.me
February 27, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Sticking by my prediction of a recession by the end of the year.
Uncertainty around US tariffs may cause the down turn to start earlier with shrinkage evident in the second quarter of this year in the US economy. Collapse in market confidence likely to start with AI shares.
Uncertainty around US tariffs may cause the down turn to start earlier with shrinkage evident in the second quarter of this year in the US economy. Collapse in market confidence likely to start with AI shares.
US tariffs should lead to a rethink not only of trading partners but equally of the economic makeup of the EU.
The US has a trade surplus with the EU with regards to the service sector. As such the EU should pivot away from manufacturing towards services in the case of reduced trade with the US.
The US has a trade surplus with the EU with regards to the service sector. As such the EU should pivot away from manufacturing towards services in the case of reduced trade with the US.
EU expects €28 billion in losses from US steel and aluminum tariffs
According to European officials, the situation is fluid, and the details and scope of duties may change
gmk.center
February 24, 2025 at 4:49 PM
US tariffs should lead to a rethink not only of trading partners but equally of the economic makeup of the EU.
The US has a trade surplus with the EU with regards to the service sector. As such the EU should pivot away from manufacturing towards services in the case of reduced trade with the US.
The US has a trade surplus with the EU with regards to the service sector. As such the EU should pivot away from manufacturing towards services in the case of reduced trade with the US.
With regards to the German election, the new leader of Germany Merz has some harsh words for Trump describing his words as "a classic case of switching the perpetrator with the victim".
German chancellor candidate Merz compares Trump’s statements on Ukraine to what Putin has been saying for years
Friedrich Merz, the candidate for German chancellor from the opposition CDU/CSU bloc, has said he was shocked by the statements made by US President Donald Trump regarding Russia’s war against Ukraine...
www.pravda.com.ua
February 23, 2025 at 6:02 PM
With regards to the German election, the new leader of Germany Merz has some harsh words for Trump describing his words as "a classic case of switching the perpetrator with the victim".
Latest exit polls suggest a CDU-SPD coalition would have just over 56% of the seats.
February 23, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Latest exit polls suggest a CDU-SPD coalition would have just over 56% of the seats.
CDU+SPD looks very likely without the Greens. It will be interesting to see which ministeries the SPD get.
pollytix german election polling trend | pollytix | strategic research
The following polls are used to calculate the current average values…
pollytix.eu
February 23, 2025 at 11:32 AM
CDU+SPD looks very likely without the Greens. It will be interesting to see which ministeries the SPD get.
Additionally to last post, a wildcard coalition of Linke+Greens+SPD are only 6% away from being viable though historically Greens poll higher than their eventual vote thence the election may have come too early for this possiblity.
pollytix german election polling trend - pollytix | strategic research
The following polls are used to calculate the current average values:
pollytix.eu
February 13, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Additionally to last post, a wildcard coalition of Linke+Greens+SPD are only 6% away from being viable though historically Greens poll higher than their eventual vote thence the election may have come too early for this possiblity.
Some interesting trends in recent German polls, shortly before the German election. Die Linke is polling >5% and above the Wagenknecht party, firs time in a while.
SPD+CDU coalition looks viable but CDU support has be dwindling whilst AfD support has been rising thus may still need Greens.
SPD+CDU coalition looks viable but CDU support has be dwindling whilst AfD support has been rising thus may still need Greens.
pollytix german election polling trend - pollytix | strategic research
The following polls are used to calculate the current average values:
pollytix.eu
February 13, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Some interesting trends in recent German polls, shortly before the German election. Die Linke is polling >5% and above the Wagenknecht party, firs time in a while.
SPD+CDU coalition looks viable but CDU support has be dwindling whilst AfD support has been rising thus may still need Greens.
SPD+CDU coalition looks viable but CDU support has be dwindling whilst AfD support has been rising thus may still need Greens.
Confirmed, no US boots on Ukranian soil, nor article 5 for truly robust security guarentees.
5% GDP remains insisted upon, various NATO members are far from this position, no clear consequences laid out when falling short.
Economic stimulus through increased arms production?
5% GDP remains insisted upon, various NATO members are far from this position, no clear consequences laid out when falling short.
Economic stimulus through increased arms production?
US defence secretary Pete Hegseth delivers opening remarks for Ukraine defence meeting – watch live
YouTube video by Guardian News
www.youtube.com
February 12, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Confirmed, no US boots on Ukranian soil, nor article 5 for truly robust security guarentees.
5% GDP remains insisted upon, various NATO members are far from this position, no clear consequences laid out when falling short.
Economic stimulus through increased arms production?
5% GDP remains insisted upon, various NATO members are far from this position, no clear consequences laid out when falling short.
Economic stimulus through increased arms production?
Note my post from yesterday, 2025 is likely to see a recession.
Just in: The Eurozone economy unexpectedly stagnated in the fourth quarter, ratcheting up the pressure on the European Central Bank to cut interest rates more aggressively www.ft.com/content/6239...
January 30, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Note my post from yesterday, 2025 is likely to see a recession.
Given the metrics and timeline given to ChatGPT the estimation of a recession in 2025 is given as 75-85%. Where are the alarm bells?
@economist.com @garyseconomics.bsky.social
@economist.com @garyseconomics.bsky.social
January 29, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Given the metrics and timeline given to ChatGPT the estimation of a recession in 2025 is given as 75-85%. Where are the alarm bells?
@economist.com @garyseconomics.bsky.social
@economist.com @garyseconomics.bsky.social