Marcin Wroński
@mwronski.bsky.social
Economist studying the income inequality, social mobility and economic policy in Central and Eastern Europe. AP at @sghwarsaweu.bsky.social, Visiting Scholar at @europeatharvard.bsky.social .
We will soon share the statistical database. We plan to write a monograph on the Polish economy in the interwar period in the comming year.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
We will soon share the statistical database. We plan to write a monograph on the Polish economy in the interwar period in the comming year.
Since Statistics Poland provides the most reliable data on agriculture, we have also simultaneously published a technical paper on agricultural development.
wne.uw.edu.pl/application/...
wne.uw.edu.pl/application/...
wne.uw.edu.pl
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Since Statistics Poland provides the most reliable data on agriculture, we have also simultaneously published a technical paper on agricultural development.
wne.uw.edu.pl/application/...
wne.uw.edu.pl/application/...
Link to the paper: wne.uw.edu.pl/application/...
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Link to the paper: wne.uw.edu.pl/application/...
The economic development of Recovered Territories (former German lands) in 1938 was three times higher than in the regions annexed by the Soviet Union. The GDP within current borders was 45% higher than within the interwar borders.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
The economic development of Recovered Territories (former German lands) in 1938 was three times higher than in the regions annexed by the Soviet Union. The GDP within current borders was 45% higher than within the interwar borders.
We also present the estimates of the GDP per capita within the current Polish borders. While Poland is seen by some people as "sold at Yalta Conference), the country was major economic victor of the war!
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
We also present the estimates of the GDP per capita within the current Polish borders. While Poland is seen by some people as "sold at Yalta Conference), the country was major economic victor of the war!
he improvement of agricultural productivity in eastern regions was the major force supporting the regional convergence. The agricultural output in the best developed Western land stagnated (loss of the German market undermined the investment).
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
he improvement of agricultural productivity in eastern regions was the major force supporting the regional convergence. The agricultural output in the best developed Western land stagnated (loss of the German market undermined the investment).
The output per capita in Tarnopol expanded by 4.6%, in Wołyń it grew by 4.0%. Wielkopolska and Silesia (former German lands) experienced the slowest economic growth. These regions faced several competitiveness problems and suffered from the lost German market.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
The output per capita in Tarnopol expanded by 4.6%, in Wołyń it grew by 4.0%. Wielkopolska and Silesia (former German lands) experienced the slowest economic growth. These regions faced several competitiveness problems and suffered from the lost German market.
Polish economy achieved impressive regional convergence. The speed of convergence was higher than in the communist era, similar to Western Europe during its best (1950s, 1960s), at least in the terms of convergence.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Polish economy achieved impressive regional convergence. The speed of convergence was higher than in the communist era, similar to Western Europe during its best (1950s, 1960s), at least in the terms of convergence.
We also present estimates on the regional level. In Silesia the output per capita was similar to Germany, in Warsaw to Czechoslovakia, in Krakow to Romania. In the poorest Tarnopol region GDP pc was similar to Nigeria.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
We also present estimates on the regional level. In Silesia the output per capita was similar to Germany, in Warsaw to Czechoslovakia, in Krakow to Romania. In the poorest Tarnopol region GDP pc was similar to Nigeria.
In their canonical work on the interwar Polish economy, Landau and Tomaszewski question whether Poland's output in 1938 exceeded that of 1924. Our findings indicate that it was significantly higher—by 27%—with particularly strong growth in the former Russian territories.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
In their canonical work on the interwar Polish economy, Landau and Tomaszewski question whether Poland's output in 1938 exceeded that of 1924. Our findings indicate that it was significantly higher—by 27%—with particularly strong growth in the former Russian territories.
On the other hand, Polish economy converged with Czechoslovakia (55-62%), Italy (48-55%) and France (32-38%)
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
On the other hand, Polish economy converged with Czechoslovakia (55-62%), Italy (48-55%) and France (32-38%)
The economic growth in Poland was lower than in Latvia and Bulgaria, similar to Hungary. Polish GDP pc eqauled ~40% of the German level. The countries diverged in the studied period, mainly due to the stronger economic revival in Germany.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
The economic growth in Poland was lower than in Latvia and Bulgaria, similar to Hungary. Polish GDP pc eqauled ~40% of the German level. The countries diverged in the studied period, mainly due to the stronger economic revival in Germany.
We convert our estimates to 1990 GK$ and discuss why Maddison estimates for Poland (similarly to other CEE countries, see chapters by M. Morys and Łazor & Murgescu) should not be trusted.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
We convert our estimates to 1990 GK$ and discuss why Maddison estimates for Poland (similarly to other CEE countries, see chapters by M. Morys and Łazor & Murgescu) should not be trusted.
However, economic growth in the 1930s was largely jobless. Employment outside agriculture declined from 5.0 million in 1928 to 4.0 million in 1933. By 1938, it remained slightly below the 1928 level, largely due to rapid population growth (1.6% per year).
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
However, economic growth in the 1930s was largely jobless. Employment outside agriculture declined from 5.0 million in 1928 to 4.0 million in 1933. By 1938, it remained slightly below the 1928 level, largely due to rapid population growth (1.6% per year).
The slow recovery began in 1933 and gained momentum in the late 1930s. During this period, GDP per capita grew at an annual rate of 6.3%, with the most significant expansion occurring between 1935 and 1938.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
The slow recovery began in 1933 and gained momentum in the late 1930s. During this period, GDP per capita grew at an annual rate of 6.3%, with the most significant expansion occurring between 1935 and 1938.
In the years 1928 - 1933 output per capita dropped by 25%, that's outcome smilar to other commodity-based economies like Australia (-20%), Canada (-23%), Cuba (-25%) and Chile (-30%).
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
In the years 1928 - 1933 output per capita dropped by 25%, that's outcome smilar to other commodity-based economies like Australia (-20%), Canada (-23%), Cuba (-25%) and Chile (-30%).
The Great Depression in Poland was not so deep as according to the previous estimates, but still among the deepest in the world. In the years 1929 - 1933 output per capita declined by 14%, which is comparable to the US (17%) and much worse than other CEE countries.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
The Great Depression in Poland was not so deep as according to the previous estimates, but still among the deepest in the world. In the years 1929 - 1933 output per capita declined by 14%, which is comparable to the US (17%) and much worse than other CEE countries.
Between 1924 and 1928, Poland experienced its own "Roaring Twenties," with an impressive growth rate of 8.5%. Rising commodity prices boosted agricultural output, while industry and services initially contracted in the first two years, largely due to the tariff war with Germany.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Between 1924 and 1928, Poland experienced its own "Roaring Twenties," with an impressive growth rate of 8.5%. Rising commodity prices boosted agricultural output, while industry and services initially contracted in the first two years, largely due to the tariff war with Germany.
We demonstrate that Polish GDP per capita in the years 1924 - 1938 expanded by 2.3% annually.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
We demonstrate that Polish GDP per capita in the years 1924 - 1938 expanded by 2.3% annually.
Both Polish and international historiography present a bleak assessment of the economic performance of CEE countries in the interwar period. Similar to several recent contributions (e.g. research on Baltic countries, review chapter by M. Morys) our results challange this census.
February 21, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Both Polish and international historiography present a bleak assessment of the economic performance of CEE countries in the interwar period. Similar to several recent contributions (e.g. research on Baltic countries, review chapter by M. Morys) our results challange this census.
WP is here:
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
(PDF) Intergenerational Mobility over Nine Generations: Evidence from Poland, 1800-1984
PDF | In this paper, we utilize the mass genealogical data to measure social mobility in Poland over the last two centuries. To do so we digitized the... | Find, read and cite all the research you nee...
www.researchgate.net
January 29, 2025 at 2:28 AM
WP is here:
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
What was the best way to join the elite for people born outside the elite? Religious institutions were a major force of upward mobility. More people from lower strata joined the elite as bishops than as politicians, businessmen or professors.
January 29, 2025 at 2:28 AM
What was the best way to join the elite for people born outside the elite? Religious institutions were a major force of upward mobility. More people from lower strata joined the elite as bishops than as politicians, businessmen or professors.
We measure the kinship up to the 6th degree and document that measures of mobility based on the direct links (e.g. father-son) overestimate the degree of social mobility. We document changing mobility prospects of different occupational/social categories based on micromodels.
January 29, 2025 at 2:28 AM
We measure the kinship up to the 6th degree and document that measures of mobility based on the direct links (e.g. father-son) overestimate the degree of social mobility. We document changing mobility prospects of different occupational/social categories based on micromodels.