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@natasharsarin.bsky.social

1.5K followers 170 following 59 posts

Professor, Yale Law School & Yale School of Management; President @budgetlab.bsky.social; Contributing columnist @postopinions.bsky.social Former Counselor at Treasury, Professor Penn Law & Wharton https://www.natashasarin.com/

www.natashasarin.com

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Feb 7

My latest this week in @postopinions.bsky.social -- Elon Musk has your social security number. It's as scary as it sounds.

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Opinion | Elon Musk has your Social Security number. It’s as scary as it sounds.

There is no legitimate reason for the ‘DOGE’ to have access to the federal payment system.

www.washingtonpost.com

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Jul 3

This bill spends $3T+ to make the tax code more complex and Americans less healthy

In every regard, it is a mistake: Grows deficits but shrinks the economy, makes gun silencers more available but healthy food less so

My latest from @postopinions.bsky.social

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Opinion | 6 things you probably didn’t know were in Trump’s mega-bill

Trump’s budget bill includes eliminating tax on gun silencers, a garden of heroes and more.

www.washingtonpost.com

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Jun 12

Here is what the distribution of the reconciliation bill looks like including tariffs, hot off @budgetlab.bsky.social presses.

Income falls for the *bottom 80%* of households.

Full report here: budgetlab.yale.edu/research/com...

Reposted

Columbia Institute of Global Politics @columbiaigp.bsky.social · Jun 12

LIVE NOW at @columbiaigp.bsky.social 🔴 @awhf.bsky.social, R. Glenn Hubbard, Jennifer Klein, @natasharsarin.bsky.social, & Richard Clarida discuss the far-reaching implications of the federal budget bill

Tune in: youtube.com/live/sxYxjDL...

@columbiasipa.bsky.social @columbiauniversity.bsky.social

IGP Rapid Response: The Fight Over the Federal Budget

YouTube video by Columbia SIPA

youtube.com

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Jun 11

Great to be with Wolf Blitzer and @pamelabrowncnn.bsky.social on @cnn.com Situation Room this morning talking China and the latest inflation numbers.

Link here:

youtu.be/yQM08o-jM5Q

Natasha Sarin on U.S.-China Trade Talks, Inflation, and Tariffs

YouTube video by The Budget Lab

youtu.be

natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Jun 10

So fun to join @econjared today for lunch with a healthy dose of econ to talk reconciliation, interest rates, and why we should invest in -- not gut -- the IRS.

Link to our conversation here:

natashasarin32.substack.com/p/7280ed14-6...

Natasha Sarin

Click to read Natasha Sarin, a Substack publication. Launched 3 hours ago.

natashasarin32.substack.com

Reposted

Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · Jun 9

@natasharsarin.bsky.social: Loss of insurance from GOP bill could mean more than 100,000 preventable deaths.
Some estimates based on existing research on Medicaid effects on mortality:
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Jun 9

Pretty sobering estimates here. Magnitudes vary but the headline conclusion does not:

Tens of thousands will die prematurely if this bill becomes law.

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Jun 9

Loss of insurance from GOP bill could mean more than 100,000 deaths.

My latest from @postopinions.bsky.social

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Opinion | Loss of insurance from GOP bill could mean more than 100,000 deaths

It is hard to articulate a justification for ballooning the federal debt in service of saving fewer lives.

www.washingtonpost.com

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Jun 6

Wonderful to join @pbsnews.org last night to talk about the risks of our high and rising national debt.

Link here:

www.pbs.org/newshour/sho...

Explaining the national debt, how we got here and what it means for future generations

Republicans in Congress are hashing out a new tax cut and spending bill that's projected to add trillions to the national debt. Economics correspondent Paul Solman explains the ballooning national deb...

www.pbs.org

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · May 22

This is unlawful, un-American, and ultimately -- like so much we've seen recently -- will serve to make this country less great

And from a President who just last year thought college grads should get green cards so we retain the brightest foreign talent

www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...

Trump Administration Says It Is Halting Harvard’s Ability to Enroll International Students

www.nytimes.com

Reposted

Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · May 20

Republicans are haggling over the details of how much to cut Medicaid and food stamps while also trying to give bigger tax breaks to the richest Americans.

@danamilbank.bsky.social, James Hohmann and @natasharsarin.bsky.social discuss whether Republicans can get this bill over the finish line:

Opinion | There’s nothing beautiful about this big bill - The Washington Post

Republicans are haggling over the details of how much to cut Medicaid and food stamps while also trying to give bigger tax breaks to the richest Americans. Meanwhile, the rating agency Moody’s has dow...

wapo.st

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Reposted

Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · May 17

Here are three arguments the Trump administration might try to make to revoke Harvard’s tax-exempt status, none of which should hold water in the eyes of the law, @natasharsarin.bsky.social writes: wapo.st/42ScSPt

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · May 13

Great to be with Sara Sidner @cnn.com last night talking tariffs and @budgetlab.bsky.social new analysis of the China pause.

Watch here:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=sbxP...

Natasha Sarin on US-China Tariffs

YouTube video by The Budget Lab

www.youtube.com

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Reposted

Center for American Progress @americanprogress.bsky.social · May 12

Join us today at 12 pm for an important conversation between @neeratanden.bsky.social and @larrysummers.bsky.social on the fiscal impact of DOGE's IRS layoffs.

Janet Holtzblatt, @jessicabriedl.bsky.social, and @natasharsarin.bsky.social will also be joining in a panel discussion:

The Fiscal Impact of DOGE’s IRS Layoffs

Please join the Center for American Progress for an event featuring former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers and an expert panel on the importance of adequate funding for tax enforcement…

www.americanprogress.org

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · May 12

No, the Administration cannot legally revoke Harvard's -- or other nonprofits' -- tax-exempt status.

My latest in @postopinions.bsky.social here:

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Opinion | Trump’s attack on nonprofits has an ugly history

The White House’s war on Harvard is testing the guardrails that Congress put in place after Watergate.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Reposted

Washington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · May 7

"The question facing Republican lawmakers in Congress now is a math one," @natasharsarin.bsky.social writes.

"They are failing that arithmetic test." wapo.st/43izlVU

Opinion | The Trump administration’s tax math doesn’t add up

Budget gimmicks for Congress mean higher deficits and borrowing costs for the rest of us.

wapo.st

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · May 7

Funding the IRS to reduce tax gap has been proposed by every President since Reagan (incl Trump, in first term!)

ROI for high-end enforcement efforts is 12:1. Doing less of it costs a lot of $

Better tech will increase efficiency. But decimating the agency doesn't get you there

natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · May 7

Before the IRA, IRS was way understaffed

As a result, the agency couldn't collect taxes owed, per Commissioner Rettig (a Trump appointee)

IRS has already lost 30% of its auditors. That's not going back to this (bad) base. It is making things much worse!

www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/do...

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · May 7

This is a bonker bananas statement that reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of how the IRS works and flies in the face of the vast empirical evidence that shows dollars spent on tax enforcement activities have huge returns.

subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...

POLITICO Pro: Bessent: More IRS auditors doesn't mean more revenue

His comments to lawmakers come amid steep cuts in the ranks of enforcement personnel at the agency.

subscriber.politicopro.com

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · May 7

Tax cuts for all — paid for by none — isn’t an equation that makes much sense for the American economy.

My latest in @postopinions.bsky.social:

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Opinion | The Trump administration’s tax math doesn’t add up

Budget gimmicks for Congress mean higher deficits and borrowing costs for the rest of us.

www.washingtonpost.com

natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Apr 22

Great to be with @cnn.com this morning on the market's latest movements, Fed independence, and @budgetlab.bsky.social's work on how political risks threaten our safe harbor status.

Link here:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=PF7-...

Natasha Sarin on the economic fallout of tariff policy changes

YouTube video by The Budget Lab

www.youtube.com

natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Apr 16

Re-upping this helpful explainer from @taxlawcenter.org here:

medium.com/@taxlawcente...

Understanding the Tax System’s Protections Against Political Interference in the Tax Code

By: The Tax Law Center

medium.com

natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Apr 16

The tax code has protections against exactly this: Section 7217 makes it illegal for political officials within the Executive Branch -- incl the President -- to request an audit or investigation of a particular taxpayer

Need an investigation to revoke tax exempt status.

www.cnn.com/2025/04/16/p...

IRS making plans to rescind Harvard’s tax-exempt status | CNN Politics

The Internal Revenue Service is making plans to rescind the tax-exempt status of Harvard University, according to two sources familiar with the matter, which would be an extraordinary step of retaliat...

www.cnn.com

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natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Apr 16

President Trump has said tax filing should be so simple that you could file on a postcard!

The IRS had built something even better: a way to freely file with the govt directly rather than paying hundreds to third parties.

It's devastating to watch so much good work undone

natasharsarin.bsky.social @natasharsarin.bsky.social · Apr 16

This is terrible, terrible, terrible news for the American people and the tax system.

The only winners are high-cost tax preparers.

When fully built out, Direct File would've saved taxpayers ~$20B annually.

apnews.com/article/irs-...

Trump administration plans to end the IRS Direct File program for free tax filing, AP sources say

The Trump administration plans to eliminate the IRS’ Direct File program. That's the electronic system for filing tax returns directly to the agency for free.

apnews.com

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