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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Jul 23

A thing about modern life I don't care for is every service provider hectoring you to give them an online review afterward. Constant texts trying to get me to give gold stars to the plumber, the furniture delivery guy, the pediatric urgent care, etc.

THAT'S WHAT THE MONEY IS FOR

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Reposted by Neil Irwin

Felix Salmon @felixsalmon.com · May 9

Some personal news... I'm leaving Axios at the end of this month! Which means there's now an opening for a markets reporter. Apply here! job-boards.greenhouse.io/axios/jobs/6...

Senior Reporter, Markets

Remote

job-boards.greenhouse.io

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · May 9

Was just thinking about how to my 5 year-old, Obama will be the equivalent of what Nixon was to me (a purely historical figure) and 9/11 will be like the Kennedy Assassination.

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · May 4

This is exactly what I’m finding. It’s fantastic when you have enough knowledge to follow up or push harder when something seems off. But in areas where you don’t have baseline knowledge. . .

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Apr 26

Let's see how the magic computer answers:

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Apr 11

This is very good.

Katie Martin @katie0martin.ft.com · Apr 11

The dollar system has always been vulnerable to presidential whim

@bhgreeley.bsky.social being clever as usual:

- on.ft.com/3RLiCnD

The dollar system has always been vulnerable to presidential whim

[FREE TO READ] But only now are asset managers beginning to reconsider the story of America as an inexhaustible well of safe bets

on.ft.com

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Apr 11

I'll try anything once.

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Apr 9

Now, more than ever:

a woman wearing glasses and a blue shirt is asking what a week huh ?

ALT: a woman wearing glasses and a blue shirt is asking what a week huh ?

media.tenor.com

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Apr 8

Sometimes you just have to let the robot know who's boss.

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Apr 6

media1.giphy.com/media/XqpnXa...

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Apr 1

Stroll down (unhappy) memory lane with the great @vermontgmg.bsky.social who is out with an oral history of the Bear Stearns collapse/rescue.

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...

Opinion | The weekend that shook the world

Seventeen years ago, Bear Stearns collapsed over a weekend — what lessons remain today?

www.washingtonpost.com

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 28

For whatever it's worth, I have never met a Canadian I didn't like.

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 28

If you're just a guy who has covered central banking for the last 20 years and has known Mark Carney and his mindset for a long time, it is disconcerting to watch this.

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · Mar 27

Carney: "The old relationship we had with the United States based on deepening integration of our economies and tight security and military cooperation is over."

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 26

Energy executives do not like what they're getting out of the administration.

"I have never felt more uncertainty about our business in my entire 40-plus-year career."

www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...

Oil and gas activity edges higher; uncertainty rising, costs increase

Activity in the oil and gas sector increased slightly in first quarter of 2025, according to oil and gas executives responding to the Dallas Fed Energy Survey.

www.dallasfed.org

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 24

Not tactical military details, but on things like the decision of whether or not to pull the trigger they'd be in the room. Same reason the Treasury secretary is, by statute, a member of the National Security Council.

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 24

Treasury is the main agency that deals with terrorist finance issues.

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 24

And then it was of course smooth sailing in the months and years that followed May 2007.

Leslie Picker @lesliepicker.bsky.social · Mar 24

25 years ago, the S&P 500 hit its dot-com bubble peak. The max drawdown from that point was 49% and the index did not get to a new high until May 2007 - via Oppenheimer

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 21

Maybe time to get Elon focused on this.

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 20

Make the global safe asset shortage great again

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 14

I like to eat the occasional banana and favor an economic structure that makes this possible.

kevinwglass.bsky.social @kevinwglass.bsky.social · Mar 14

horseshoe theory of bananas

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 14

It's just the preliminary numbers, for which n=~420, and sentiment hasn't been a good guide to consumer activity in recent years. But this is, um, really bad.

www.axios.com/2025/03/14/c...

Consumer sentiment plunges in early March, inflation expectations soar

Even among Republicans, sentiment declined by double digits.

www.axios.com

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 8

Dude how many bay leaves do you buy?

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 8

This is maybe the most profound and important take ever for us to all internalize.

Michael McKee @mckonomy.bsky.social · Mar 7

Powell's answer to what he's learned from the pandemic business cycle is perhaps the classic advice:
"However fat you think the tails are, they're fatter than you think."

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Mar 8

Is it, though?

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Neil Irwin @neilirwin.bsky.social · Feb 22

I will never tire of a company with a [checks notes] $1.03 trillion market cap sticking with a the 1997-era-Geocities-style website. At this point it would be disappointing if they were to modernize it.

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