Neil Hauer
@neilphauer.bsky.social
2.1K followers 160 following 57 posts
Caucasus (Armenia, Georgia, Chechnya), Russia, Ukraine, Syria, heavy metal. Stories @CNN, @CBC, @NYMag, @guardian etc. 🇨🇦 [email protected]. Eng/рус/հայ.
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neilphauer.bsky.social
Dear followers, I have a request for you. I'm presently back in Ukraine again, and looking to make a reporting trip out to Donbas soon. The costs of this are not low, though, and keep growing as media budgets shrink. That's why I'm asking for your help to make this trip work. /1
neilphauer.bsky.social
I'm in Sloviansk, eastern Ukraine. Three massive Russian glide bombs just tore into the city a few kilometers away, big enough to feel their shockwaves in my apartment. Just an average night for Donbas.
neilphauer.bsky.social
7. Bobruk doesn't believe that any major Russian offensive is coming this fall. 'They are already doing all that they can, throwing meat constantly. They don't have the forces, and armoured vehicles don't have the same effect as they did earlier in the war.' /thread
neilphauer.bsky.social
6. Russians are now increasingly using civilian clothing in attempts to bypass positions. Very common just to see one or two Russians dressed casually and just wandering around. This has even led to ambushes on his team by men they had presumed were civilians.
neilphauer.bsky.social
This meant that his team, which had been largely holding in place, was now suddenly flanked from their left. 'Many, many cases of this,' he says. 'Everyone still left in these places (near the front) are pro-Russian - many actively help them. We are constantly endangered by them.
neilphauer.bsky.social
5. Pro-Russian civilians supporting the enemy is a huge problem in these frontline villages. Bobruk tells one story of two locals in a building to their west warmly greeting Russian soldiers and welcoming them in, allowing them to use their apartment. /cont
neilphauer.bsky.social
4. When major Russian assaults do come, they are almost exclusively by motorbike. Bobruk told of one Russian assault with 112 (!) motorbikes involved, each carrying two soldiers. These are rarely successful. 'Barely ten of these 224 Russians survived,' he said.
neilphauer.bsky.social
3. Armour has nearly disappeared from the battlefield. Tanks, IFVs and heavy vehicles are all but absent now. 'We saw enemy armour literally three times total in 90 days,' Bobruk said. 'It's only men now - just meat.'
neilphauer.bsky.social
2. Units are all tiny now, on both sides. Bobruk's team deploys mostly in pairs, and Russians come in ones or twos. 'Even three soldiers together is already enough to almost guarantee a (FPV) drone strike,' Bobruk said.
neilphauer.bsky.social
1. Bobruk and his team had just completed 90-day rotation, basically on the zero line/gray area the entire time. Surviving this was almost a miracle. They now had just five days off (mostly still in Donetsk oblast) before heading back - the lack of manpower is that bad.
neilphauer.bsky.social
Yesterday I had the rare opportunity to speak with infantry from Ukraine's 14th Brigade. They had just returned from a 90-day posting in Novoekonomichne - one of the hottest parts of the entire front. Their commander, 'Bobruk,' had some very interesting insights.

Thread:
neilphauer.bsky.social
If you're interested and have a few bucks to spare, I'd love your support in creating on-the-ground reporting with Ukraine's armed forces as they fight the Russian invaders. Donation link is below. Thank you in advance 🙏
buymeacoffee.com/neilphauer
buymeacoffee.com
neilphauer.bsky.social
Dear followers, I have a request for you. I'm presently back in Ukraine again, and looking to make a reporting trip out to Donbas soon. The costs of this are not low, though, and keep growing as media budgets shrink. That's why I'm asking for your help to make this trip work. /1
neilphauer.bsky.social
More than three years into full-scale warfare, Ukraine and Russia are locked in a war of attrition, with an uncertain outcome. Yet there are some key steps that Western policymakers can take to ensure Ukraine emerges victorious.

My new policy paper: carleton.ca/eetn/2025/a-...
A Stoppable Force and a Movable Object: Mutual Exhaustion in Russia and Ukraine
Heavy losses in manpower and materiel have degraded the ability of both sides to achieve significant breakthroughs in offensive operations, while the past 18 months of the war have been marked by near...
carleton.ca
neilphauer.bsky.social
In Tbilisi for a quick visit, and it's noticably depressing here. The most common conversation with friends is 'did you make it across the border okay?', followed by stories of foreigners who were deported. This from a country that was once the light in the region.
neilphauer.bsky.social
Visiting Ottawa this week for a short conference (and presentation on Russia/Ukraine) at my alma mater, @Carleton_U. Have already met so many Ukrainians the past day here 🇺🇦🇨🇦
neilphauer.bsky.social
Have a pair of longform pieces (3,000-5,000 words) on Syria that I'm trying to find homes for. I've got good pitches drawn up for each, but struggling to find the right outlet(s). Any advice or suggestions appreciated.
neilphauer.bsky.social
Still searching, folks
neilphauer.bsky.social
Editors: I'm looking for a home for a story of mine on Latakia, Syria, where I was present just days before the the explosion of violence there this past weekend. Anyone interested? DMs are open.
neilphauer.bsky.social
Nah he's right, this app is boring and lame
neilphauer.bsky.social
You can also reach me via email: [email protected]
neilphauer.bsky.social
Editors: I'm looking for a home for a story of mine on Latakia, Syria, where I was present just days before the the explosion of violence there this past weekend. Anyone interested? DMs are open.
neilphauer.bsky.social
Latakia, on the Syrian coast. The former heartland of the Assad regime.
neilphauer.bsky.social
On April 7, 2018, the Assad regime gassed the city of Douma. Survivors were brought to the Hague & forced to deny it. But their story didn't end there: two of the witnesses have been thrown out of their homes and threatened by HTS fighters.

My latest from Syria: www.cbc.ca/news/world/s...
Syrian gas attack witnesses coerced into false testimony face new threats at home | CBC News
After the Syrian government launched a chemical attack on the rebel-held area of Douma, Syria, in 2018, some of the survivors were forced to falsely testify it never happened. Now, some of those peopl...
www.cbc.ca