Nick Krasznavolgyi
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nickkrasz.bsky.social
Nick Krasznavolgyi
@nickkrasz.bsky.social
ERAU Meteorology '29 - Weather Nerd - Tornado History Buff - Sushi Connoisseur - Devoted Phillies Fan - #RingTheBell
https://www.weather.gov/ilx/13jul04
t.co
July 13, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Of course! I’m trying to get more active on other platforms.
June 17, 2025 at 8:57 PM
If you have any questions, please let me know!
January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Note, I am not attempting to criticize the NWS at all. I simply enjoy analyzing tornado damage surveys in detail and sharing my personal observations and opinions! Also note, the revised EF scale is unreleased and the DIs shown here are still in draft, and could be adjusted in the finalized version.
January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
The Rivers Edge Apartments' damage appears overrated. Misapplication of DoDs likely inflated the EF4 rating. Based on observed structural and tree damage, I believe the area’s rating should be EF3 (145 mph) overall.

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January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Trees: DI-28 (Multiple Trees) with DoD-6 [Greater than 75% of large trees snapped or uprooted; numerous trees may be stubbed, with only stubs of large limbs remaining]. Applying "EXP," this results in a low-end EF3 rating (145 mph).

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January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
With the updated EF scale:

Apartments: DI-5 and DoD-7 [Most exterior walls collapsed on top stories with most interior walls remaining and/or almost all the roof structure are removed (>75%)]. With "EXP," this damage is better rated as high-end EF2 (135 mph).

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January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
using upper-bound criteria, leading to an EF4 rating.

I suggest using DoD-5 [Trees debarked with only stubs of large branches remaining] with the "EXP" classification. This adjustment would yield a low-end EF3 rating (145 mph) for the tree damage.

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January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
a low-end EF3 rating (140 mph) for the apartment damage.

The tornado also flattened a 1,200-ft-wide swath of trees along the Stillwater River. Many were denuded and debarked, but these trees are not particularly strong. NWS classified this area under DI-27 (Hardwood Trees)

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January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Based on my analysis, neither DoD-5 nor DoD-6 matches the observed damage. Instead, DoD-4 [Uplift or collapse of roof structure, leaving most walls standing] is more appropriate. Considering the apartments were well-constructed, the "EXP" designation applies. This results in—

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January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM
of top two stories (EF4/180 mph).

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January 28, 2025 at 3:33 PM