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Noahpinion | Noah Smith | Substack
@noahpinion.blog.web.brid.gy
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Economics and other interesting stuff. Click to read Noahpinion, by Noah Smith, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.

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noahpinion.blog.web.brid.gy
Why Everyone Loves Japan
Part III of my book on the Japanese economy.
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December 26, 2025 at 10:19 PM
noahpinion.blog.web.brid.gy
Why Europe should resist the Second China Shock
Deindustrialization sounds peaceful and easy and pleasant, but it's not.
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December 24, 2025 at 10:17 PM
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America has to feel fair
If people don't believe that anti-discrimination law protects them, they will turn to racial bloc politics.
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December 22, 2025 at 10:22 PM
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Can we make America feel more affordable?
Americans want prices to actually go down, not just to rise more slowly. Making that happen will be tough.
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December 20, 2025 at 10:18 PM
noahpinion.blog.web.brid.gy
I think India can do it
A lot of people doubt that India can develop. I'll take the other side of that bet.
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December 18, 2025 at 10:19 PM
noahpinion.blog.web.brid.gy
FDI is the missing piece of Japan’s puzzle
Part II of my book, Weeb Economy.
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December 17, 2025 at 10:17 PM
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My thoughts on AI safety
Contemplating the unknowable.
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December 15, 2025 at 10:17 PM
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The Trump presidency is still alive and kicking
There are some strains, but the wheels aren't coming off quite yet.
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December 14, 2025 at 10:16 PM
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At least five interesting things: Debunking the Debunkers edition (#73)
Basic income; Mississippi education; Nick Fuentes; Positive social trends; Botswana; Prison vs. mental hospitals; Building aesthetics; China brain-drain
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December 12, 2025 at 10:14 PM
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Should robots take our jobs?
In which I debate Brian Merchant on the robot future
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December 12, 2025 at 10:14 PM
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The AI bust scenario that no one is talking about
Even if AI works, and even if it gets adopted very fast, it might not make profit.
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December 9, 2025 at 10:37 PM
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Europe is under siege
Menaced by Russia and China, abandoned by America.
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December 7, 2025 at 10:12 PM
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They need to make you hate some group
As soon as you start judging people as a group, the rightists win.
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December 5, 2025 at 9:34 PM
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China has invented a whole new way to do innovation
Extreme vertical integration makes China's research system different than any other.
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December 4, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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America's mayors are right to support small business
Supporting the middle class, shoring up support for the system, and restoring the lifeblood of our cities.
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December 3, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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I love AI. Why doesn't everyone?
Anti-AI sentiment might or might not be rational, but it certainly relies on a lot of bad arguments.
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December 1, 2025 at 9:27 PM
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The "$140,000 poverty line" is very silly
People love to say that the American middle class is poor. But it's not.
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November 29, 2025 at 9:28 PM
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Book Review: "Blank Space"
In which David Marx offers a theory of why our culture has stagnated.
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November 28, 2025 at 9:28 PM
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Noahpinion's 2025 Year in Review
Year Five of the Noahpinion Substack.
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November 27, 2025 at 9:27 PM
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Bad education is a terrible way to fight inequality
The collapse of Americans' math and reading skills is a national emergency.
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November 26, 2025 at 9:28 PM
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At least five interesting things: Future of Humanity edition (#72)
AI "bubble"; Tariffs and inflation; African solarpunk; Mass extinctions; De facto sovereign wealth funds; U.S. immigration policy; EVs and messaging
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November 23, 2025 at 9:22 PM
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The economics theory that could have saved the Trump presidency
Sometimes it's good to listen to the economists.
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November 21, 2025 at 9:22 PM
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The future of war is the future of society
Military technology is changing rapidly, and we're going to have to change with it.
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November 20, 2025 at 9:23 PM
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Housing is at the heart of America's economic problems
We're propping up prices to boost old people's wealth. But that's shutting young people out of the capitalist system.
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November 18, 2025 at 9:22 PM
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China's people are on a treadmill
They're working hard for someone else's benefit.
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November 16, 2025 at 9:20 PM