Noahpinion
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Noahpinion
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Economics and other interesting stuff


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What if AI succeeds but OpenAI fails? • A few thoughts on the AI race.
What if AI succeeds but OpenAI fails?
A few thoughts on the AI race.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 30, 2026 at 5:16 AM
No, China doesn't plan 1000 years ahead • A timely repost.
No, China doesn't plan 1000 years ahead
A timely repost.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 29, 2026 at 11:17 AM
Let the Chinese cars in • There's a way to do it so that the benefits outweigh the costs.
Let the Chinese cars in
There's a way to do it so that the benefits outweigh the costs.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 27, 2026 at 11:17 AM
Roundup #76: Great Powers acting stupid • Another ICE killing; Xi's Great Purge; Russian losses; America against science; India electrifies; Leftist economics
Roundup #76: Great Powers acting stupid
Another ICE killing; Xi's Great Purge; Russian losses; America against science; India electrifies; Leftist economics
www.noahpinion.blog
January 26, 2026 at 11:18 AM
What happens if the world pulls its money out of America? • The more Trump makes it clear that America is not what it used to be, the more likely capital flight becomes.
What happens if the world pulls its money out of America?
The more Trump makes it clear that America is not what it used to be, the more likely capital flight becomes.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Let's save the human species! • There's probably a solution out there to fertility decline. Let's find it!
Let's save the human species!
There's probably a solution out there to fertility decline. Let's find it!
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Resistance is necessary, but it's not enough • In the face of Trump's authoritarianism, liberals need a principled movement and a plan for governance.
Resistance is necessary, but it's not enough
In the face of Trump's authoritarianism, liberals need a principled movement and a plan for governance.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Trapped in the hell of social comparison • A hypothesis about why Americans are unhappy with their economy.
Trapped in the hell of social comparison
A hypothesis about why Americans are unhappy with their economy.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Roundup #75: Checking in on the Bad Guys • Iran; China vs. India; Russia; Leaving California; Reduced hiring; Indian development; Wind energy; Science funding
Roundup #75: Checking in on the Bad Guys
Iran; China vs. India; Russia; Leaving California; Reduced hiring; Indian development; Wind energy; Science funding
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Gangster affordability • Trump's strategy for bringing down prices might work in the short term, but the long-term costs could be very high.
Gangster affordability
Trump's strategy for bringing down prices might work in the short term, but the long-term costs could be very high.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Why are federal agents gunning down Americans in the streets? • The shooting of Renee Good, like all of the ICE abuses, is symptomatic of a deeper mental illness.
Why are federal agents gunning down Americans in the streets?
The shooting of Renee Good, like all of the ICE abuses, is symptomatic of a deeper mental illness.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
America must embrace the Electric Age, or fall behind • When it comes to technology, listen to Elon Musk.
America must embrace the Electric Age, or fall behind
When it comes to technology, listen to Elon Musk.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Welcome to Chaos World • The global order is disintegrating. What's next?
Welcome to Chaos World
The global order is disintegrating. What's next?
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Where does a liberal go from here? • Our movement overreached and crashed. But the fundamental ideals are still just as powerful.
Where does a liberal go from here?
Our movement overreached and crashed. But the fundamental ideals are still just as powerful.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
America's chip export controls are working • Don't be fooled by the people who say we should sell China everything we've got.
America's chip export controls are working
Don't be fooled by the people who say we should sell China everything we've got.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
At least five interesting things: Buy Local edition (#74) • Abundance and small business; Luxury housing and rent; Tariffs and the economy; Fraud; Math anxiety; Chinese robots
At least five interesting things: Buy Local edition (#74)
Abundance and small business; Luxury housing and rent; Tariffs and the economy; Fraud; Math anxiety; Chinese robots
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
The Weeb Economy • The entire new section of my book.
The Weeb Economy
The entire new section of my book.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Ten things that are going right in America • Is our society slowly putting itself back together?
Ten things that are going right in America
Is our society slowly putting itself back together?
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Why Everyone Loves Japan • Part III of my book on the Japanese economy.
Why Everyone Loves Japan
Part III of my book on the Japanese economy.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Why Europe should resist the Second China Shock • Deindustrialization sounds peaceful and easy and pleasant, but it's not.
Why Europe should resist the Second China Shock
Deindustrialization sounds peaceful and easy and pleasant, but it's not.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
America has to feel fair • If people don't believe that anti-discrimination law protects them, they will turn to racial bloc politics.
America has to feel fair
If people don't believe that anti-discrimination law protects them, they will turn to racial bloc politics.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
Can we make America feel more affordable? • Americans want prices to actually go down, not just to rise more slowly. Making that happen will be tough.
Can we make America feel more affordable?
Americans want prices to actually go down, not just to rise more slowly. Making that happen will be tough.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
I think India can do it • A lot of people doubt that India can develop. I'll take the other side of that bet.
I think India can do it
A lot of people doubt that India can develop. I'll take the other side of that bet.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
FDI is the missing piece of Japan’s puzzle • Part II of my book, Weeb Economy.
FDI is the missing piece of Japan’s puzzle
Part II of my book, Weeb Economy.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM
My thoughts on AI safety • Contemplating the unknowable.
My thoughts on AI safety
Contemplating the unknowable.
www.noahpinion.blog
January 24, 2026 at 5:15 AM