Paul Novosad
@novosad.bsky.social
4.3K followers 400 following 270 posts
Econ prof @dartmouth, founder devdatalab.org r2: a morass of disjointed streams of consciousness 🤷‍♂️
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Reposted by Paul Novosad
stevecicala.bsky.social
Wow, this is fantastic.
zliscow.bsky.social
🚨NEW RESULTS (w/ Slattery & Nober)
- When gov't engineers retire, highway projects cost more: the engineers pay for themselves 6 times over
- Improving gov’t engineer quality from the 25th to 75th percentile reduces costs by 14%, equal to 3x avg. engineer pay

Paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Paul Novosad
ryu-matsuura.bsky.social
Inserting @novosad.bsky.social's X post - I am still not very proficient in R, but I converted all of my Stata code to R for fun, which resulted in a very primitive version masala-merge in R (github.com/devdatalab/m...)!

#masala-merge #R #India #economics
Reposted by Paul Novosad
afinetheorem.bsky.social
Editing our writing is a common academic task. I *hate* how spell/grammar checks annoy me by thinking proper nouns or LaTeX code are misspellings (yes, I want `` ''). I also want *style* tips like a good editor would give me. Problem solved. 1/5
Reposted by Paul Novosad
dynarski.bsky.social
I have revise-and-resubmits older than ICE
dynarski.bsky.social
Old person here to say that ICE did not exist before 2003

We opened this door after 9/11 and can close it again
The United States Immigration and Customs
 Enforcement (ICE; /ais/»®) is a federal law
 enforcement agency under the U.S. Department of
 Homeland Security. Created by U.S. president George
 W. Bush in 2003 following the September 11 attacks,
 ICE's stated mission is to protect the United States
 from cross-border crime and illegal immigration that
 threaten national security and public safety.
 [3][4]
novosad.bsky.social
The most marketable skill right now is having good judgment regarding how and when to use AI.

Using AI to generate your writing assignments is having bad judgment.
Reposted by Paul Novosad
akhilrao.bsky.social
every student taking the easy path here is putting a little more alpha on the table for their peers who don't
novosad.bsky.social
It's wild to me that in 2025 there are academics advising their students to never use AI.
danhf.bsky.social
6. NEVER USE IT YOURSELF. EVER! The most common issue I hear from students is that some of their lecturers use ChatGPT for feedback, syllabus creation, etc., so why shouldn't they? Of course I'm not the boss of you, but as soon as you use it for ANYTHING, you're giving students implicit permission.
Reposted by Paul Novosad
Reposted by Paul Novosad
crampell.bsky.social
just register for your own protection. it will be fine
Reposted by Paul Novosad
kovarsky.bsky.social
I’ve spent the better part of 20 years litigating habeas petitions and this is just totally ridiculous, even if the prisoner were the most sophisticated lawyer in the country.
kyledcheney.bsky.social
JUST IN: In newly unsealed filings, an ICE official indicates that the government considers 24 hours to be a reasonable amount of time for an Alien Enemies Act deportee file a habeas claim before removal.

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
novosad.bsky.social
Academic creativity is underrated and technical methods are overrated.

Take this excellent paper on Zero Sum Thinking—simple in retrospect, just an excellent idea!

Graph shows rise in zero-sum thinking with Millennial and later U.S. birth cohorts.

Congrats to @s-stantcheva.bsky.social
novosad.bsky.social
Parents are going to flip out when they learn that the 4th grade teacher hasn't answered all the math worksheet questions by herself.
nytimes.com
Is it fair to use A.I. to grade student essays, if you’ve prohibited students from using A.I. to write them?

Teachers are increasingly using the technology in their own work, like grading essays and tutoring struggling students, even as they express profound hesitation about its ethics.
Teachers Worry About A.I. for Students. For Themselves It’s Another Matter.
Educators are increasingly using generative A.I. in their own work, even as they express profound hesitation about the ethics of student use.
www.nytimes.com
novosad.bsky.social
Is EconSky dead?

Scrolling through my feed, none of the posts by real people (as opposed to social media celebrities) have any engagement.

Even "new paper alerts" getting like <20 likes.
Reposted by Paul Novosad
hishamzerriffi.bsky.social
U.S. citizen interested in grad studies at the University of British Columbia in Vancouver (Canada)?

Grad programs are re-opening applications of US programs for one week. With expedited decisions.

U.S. Applicant Week:

www.grad.ubc.ca/us-applicant...

#AcademicChatter #Canada #GradSchool
US Applicant Week
www.grad.ubc.ca
novosad.bsky.social
We also published the entire database with metadata on 80 million Indian court cases from 2010–2018: devdatalab.org/judicial-data
Development Data Lab
devdatalab.org
novosad.bsky.social
If you want to learn more, we made an interactive demo of how publication bias works:
devdatalab.org/publication-...

And you can learn more about our paper on judicial bias here: devdatalab.org/judicial-bias

4/
novosad.bsky.social
If there's publication bias, studies look asymmetric on the graph — because noisier studies need bigger effects to be statistically significant.

The left graph is a simulation of publication bias. The black points in the right graph are past studies on ingroup bias. 3/
novosad.bsky.social
In the absence of publication bias, estimates should form a funnel centered around the true effect.

Statistically significant estimates are outside the solid lines — but point mass should be similar just on either side of the line. 2/
novosad.bsky.social
Our paper on ingroup bias in the Indian judiciary — we didn't find any — is finally out!

This paper has one of the two best graphs I've ever made — on publication bias in the judicial bias literature.

Black circles are prior studies on ingroup bias. Explanation in 🧵👇🏻
Reposted by Paul Novosad
Reposted by Paul Novosad