🇬🇧 Nowcast UK | House of Commons projection — January 15, 2026

➡️ RFM: 28% | 325 (+320)
🟦 CON: 18% | 57 (-64)
🟥 LAB: 18% | 76 (-330)
🟩 GRN: 13% | 26 (+22)
🟧 LDM: 12% | 80 (+8)
🟨 SNP: 3% | 45 (+36)
🔲 PLC: 1% | 9 (+5)

+/- vs. GE2024

🔗 www.nowcast.uk/home/house-o...

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales | Senedd projection based on @yougov.co.uk polling — January, 2026

🔲 PLC: 37% | 44
➡️ RFM: 23% | 23
🟩 GRN: 13% | 11
🟥 LAB: 10% | 10
🟦 CON: 10% | 7
🟧 LDM: 5% | 1

Highest ever % for Plaid Cymru and the Green Party

🗳️ Next election = May 7, 2026

🇬🇧 | Kingston upon Hull East constituency nowcast — January, 2026

➡️ RFM: 49.3% (+18.7)
🟥 LAB: 22.3% (-21.5)
🟧 LDM: 11.1% (+0.2)
🟩 GRN: 10.8% (+5.2)
🟦 CON: 6.5% (-2.6)

+/- vs. GE2024

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 | Ceredigion Penfro constituency nowcast — January, 2026

🔲 PLC: 44.2% (4)
➡️ RFM: 20.8% (1)
🟦 CON: 10.8% (1)
—
🟥 LAB: 8.3%
🟧 LDM: 8.2%
🟩 GRN: 6.3%

🔗 nowcast-eu.github.io/Wales/