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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

Mallory Stewart: Treaties and agreements are still something we should work toward -- risk reduction -- but we should look to new methods to compel responsible behaviors. #CACNP2025

Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

@joecirin.bsky.social: 7 of the 9 nuclear states are under the control of one authoritarian leader. That's the biggest challenge we face. #CACNP2025

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

@laicie.bsky.social @joecirin.bsky.social: This new reality requires new thinking: old theories don't really fit what we're in right now. We're in a new nuclear arms race, the first since the 1980s... our goal has to be to minimize those losses and prevent the worst from happening.

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

Dr. Cindy Vestergaard on AI creating disinfo: Mis and disinfo is not a new thing in the nuclear sector (Fukushima)... but what does it mean if you are trying to do threat reduction, when the physical and digital lines are getting more merged and reality is more blurred? #CACNP2025

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

Dr. Cindy Vestergaard: Humans have emotions. Humans have reasoning... When we're looking at potential for IAEA to use AI, there is potential but we have a long way to go for testing, demonstration, testing again, certification & some of those certification instruments take 7-10 years. #CACNP2025

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

@jackieschneider.bsky.social: The problem as we move toward more AI-enabled early warning is that the user doesn't nec have the ability to interrogate truth behind AI. Too many censors, the model is too complicated & that leads to a few incentives for both accidental & inadvertent escalation.

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

@jackieschneider.bsky.social: Keeping a human in the loop in nuclear decisions is such a resoundingly logical decision...but the devil is in the details... AI can mimic human behavior but it has significant bias, and that bias tends toward escalation. #CACNP2025

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

Dr. Jesse Kirkpatrick: If I have to have two-step authentication on my phone, we should have it in a system such as this (nuclear command, control and communications) #CACNP2025

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

Dr. Jesse Kirkpatrick: We have an AI system that can result in confident but catastrophically wrong consequences... But AI doesn't reason. It can be precise, persuasive and completely wrong in a way that looks like it's completely right. #CACNP2025

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

@mjgault.bsky.social: We have avoided nuclear war because we've been lucky, but also because we've been human... The real danger of nukes at the dawn of AI is that justified by efficiency in the name of modernization, AI will replace the next Stanislov Petrov

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 1d

⏰STARTING SOON!!!⏰ Join our virtual annual conference -- Getting Off the Collision Course: The Case Against Arms Racing -- at 4:30 p.m. ET and share your thoughts as we go using the hashtag #CACNP2025!

secure.everyaction.com/rhSOFnj8ekO4...

VIRTUAL - Getting Off the Collision Course: The Case Against Arms Racing

secure.everyaction.com

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 7d

What do new restrictions on DoD reporters have to do with Center issues like nuclear weapons and the Pentagon budget? Everything. Communications Director Anna Schumann explains why in our Nukes of Hazard blog. armscontrolcenter.org/pentagons-wa... #NukeSky

Pentagon's War on Journalism Is One More Way to Hide Costs, Bad Programs and Realities of Conflict - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

By Anna Schumann The Pentagon is not generally considered a fount of free information, sometimes for good reasons. U.S. national security requires top secrets to be held closely by people who have bee...

armscontrolcenter.org

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 9d

We agree with visionary artist and activist Keith Haring. It is time to stop tempting nuclear war and fight for a future of peace.

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 15d

Next Up in Arms Control blog series contributor and GWU graduate student Roc Iore argues for the nuclear command, control and communications (NC3) system’s inclusion in nuclear arms control agreements.
armscontrolcenter.org/attacking-th... #NukeSky

Attacking the Brain: Why NC3 Needs a Treaty - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

by Roc Iore* Your arms, legs, joints, and muscles are functioning correctly, as are your eyes, ears, brain and nervous system. Even if you live in a competitive environment with other people around yo...

armscontrolcenter.org

Reposted by Nukes of Hazard

Scoville Fellowship @scovillepf.bsky.social · 23d

Recent college & grad school alumni:

Work for 6 to 9 months with one of over 2 dozen NGOs in DC on international peace & security issues, including nuclear arms control, peacebuilding, & diplomacy. Apply by Oct. 20 to @scovillepf.bsky.social for the spring '26 semester. scoville.org

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · 28d

“By revitalizing and reinterpreting the Pelindaba Treaty, Africa can help build a more just and balanced nuclear order that ensures both global security and energy justice,” writes founder of Africa Nuclear Law Association Nkazimulo Moyeni. armscontrolcenter.org/reimagining-... #NukeSky

Reimagining the Pelindaba Treaty: Africa’s Role in a New Arms Control Era - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

by Nkazimulo Moyeni* As Africa accelerates its peaceful nuclear energy ambitions under the watch of international safeguards, the frameworks that govern arms control must evolve to reflect the contine...

armscontrolcenter.org

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Sep 4

Research Analyst Shawn Rostker reflects on his experience at the Young Trilateral Leaders Summit, and the lessons Washington needs to learn from voices in the Indo-Pacific, in the newest post for our Nukes of Hazard blog.
armscontrolcenter.org/we-keep-talk... #NukeSky

We Keep Talking About the Indo-Pacific. So I Went and Listened. - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

By Shawn Rostker In Washington, we talk about the Indo-Pacific constantly — its strategic importance, its contested future and the role the United States ought to play in shaping it. But rarely does D...

armscontrolcenter.org

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Sep 3

6. New reports on reuse of existing ☢️ explosive cores despite plans for new ones and strategy for existing ICBM sustainment
For more, read our full analysis: (4/4)
armscontrolcenter.org/summary-fisc...

Summary: Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act (H.R. 3838) as passed by the House Committee on Armed Services - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

Table numbers in parentheses are increases or decreases from the FY26 Request FY26 requested levels come from the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation’s Fiscal Year 2026 Defense Budget Reque...

armscontrolcenter.org

Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Sep 3

4. FULL speed ahead for the still undefined "Golden Dome" missile defense system
5. Confirmation of two-site strategy for ☢️ weapons explosive cores despite challenges (3/4)

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Sep 3

1. ⬆️ in funding for the Sentinel ICBM, SLCM-N and weapons activities at NNSA
2. STILL NO ANSWER on what the $1.9 billion for SLCM-N in reconciliation was for
3. $500 million for NNSA uranium processing 👀 (2/4)

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Sep 3

TOP TAKEAWAYS from the $893 BILLION HASC-PASSED NDAA before it heads to the House Floor next week, a 🧵:
Bottom line: HASC's NDAA mostly tracks the White House plan with a few exceptions (1/4)
armscontrolcenter.org/summary-fisc...

Summary: Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act (H.R. 3838) as passed by the House Committee on Armed Services - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

Table numbers in parentheses are increases or decreases from the FY26 Request FY26 requested levels come from the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation’s Fiscal Year 2026 Defense Budget Reque...

armscontrolcenter.org

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Aug 18

We must remember the families who survived the U.S. bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki and tell their stories. Listen to Sara Burkinshaw, granddaughter of a Hiroshima survivor, describe the power of storytelling in this Nukes of Hazard podcast episode.
soundcloud.com/cacnp/80-yea... #NukeSky

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Aug 15

Program Coordinator Emma Sandifer reflects on her Nuclear Futures Fellowship and the need for future-focused strategy building in our newest Nukes of Hazard blog post. armscontrolcenter.org/how-looking-...

How Looking Into the Future Helps Reevaluate the Present - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

By Emma Sandifer This month, the world is looking into the past to commemorate the 80th anniversaries of the U.S. bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. At the same time, it is mired in the present, evalu...

armscontrolcenter.org

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Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Aug 14

6. An open door for MORE pit production despite not reaching current goals
For more analysis:
armscontrolcenter.org/summary-fisc... (5/5)

armscontrolcenter.org

Nukes of Hazard @nukesofhazard.bsky.social · Aug 14

4. A LARGE INCREASE for Weapons Activities at NNSA while non-proliferation funding gets cut
5. Almost $5.5 BILLION for the Sentinel missile/warhead, despite $1B being shifted to pay for Trump's Qatari jet (4/5)

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