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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

7/7 Check out our paper, "Epidemic-induced local awareness behavior inferred from surveys and genetic sequence data," now out in @natcomms.nature.com #BehavioralEpidemiology www.nature.com/articles/s41...

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

6/7 Why are we excited? We believe our method helps bridge the gap between broad epidemic data & detailed local observations. It's a simple tool to monitor local awareness without privacy concerns, which could be invaluable for future pandemic responses. #GenomicEpidemiology #NetworkScience

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

5/7 And the most intriguing part? In the UK—where we had the richest genetic data—we saw a similar decrease in event containment during the Omicron BA.1 wave. Just like in the Hungarian survey.

Event Containment Scores computed biweekly with a 4-week sliding window in the UK for the Delta, Omicron BA.1
and BA.2 variants.

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

4/7 How robust is our Event Containment Score (ECS)?
- Simulations confirm positive ECS strongly indicates local awareness behavior.
- Our ECS scores correlated with policy stringency (Oxford CHI) in Europe during COVID-19.
We think it's a solid proxy!

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

3/7 To measure how local awareness shaped epidemic dynamics, we developed a new method using mutation patterns in SARS-CoV-2 sequences. We identified superspreading events and introduced the Event Containment Score as a proxy.

(a) Bar plot showing the weekly number of SARS-CoV-2 genetic sequences collected in Belgium and (b) temporal evolution of seven identified collision clusters in Belgium.

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

2/7 Surprisingly, our Hungarian survey showed the lowest local response during the biggest COVID wave (Omicron BA.1). This made us wonder: Did the same pattern happen in other countries? And did it impact the epidemic dynamics?

The blue curve shows the mean willingness to engage in awareness behavior (in the survey, on a scale of 1-5), suggesting the lowest local response during the biggest COVID wave.

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

New paper in @natcomms.nature.com! With @martonkarsai.bsky.social, we studied how people respond to local outbreaks—using surveys—and how these reactions shaped the spread of COVID-19, as seen in genetic data. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Epidemic-induced local awareness behavior inferred from surveys and genetic sequence data - Nature Communications

Local and adaptive preventive behaviour influenced the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, the authors investigate whether genomic data can reveal this behavioural impact on epidemic dynamics.

www.nature.com

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

7/7 Check out our paper, "Epidemic-induced local awareness behavior inferred from surveys and genetic sequence data," now out in @NatureComms. #BehavioralEpidemiology www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

6/7 Why are we excited? We believe our method helps bridge the gap between broad epidemic data & detailed local observations. It's a simple tool to monitor local awareness without privacy concerns, which could be invaluable for future pandemic responses. #GenomicEpidemiology #NetworkScience

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

5/7 And the most intriguing part? In the UK—where we had the richest genetic data—we saw a similar decrease in event containment during the Omicron BA.1 wave. Just like in the Hungarian survey.

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

4/7 How robust is our Event Containment Score (ECS)?
- Simulations confirm positive ECS strongly indicates local awareness behavior.
- Our ECS scores correlated with policy stringency (Oxford CHI) in Europe during COVID-19.
We think it's a solid proxy!

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

3/7 To measure how local awareness shaped epidemic dynamics, we developed a new method using mutation patterns in SARS-CoV-2 sequences. We identified superspreading events and introduced the Event Containment Score as a proxy.

a) Bar plot showing the weekly number of SARS-CoV-2 genetic sequences collected in Belgium and (b) temporal evolution of seven identified genetic collision clusters in Belgium.

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

2/7 Surprisingly, our Hungarian survey showed the lowest local response during the biggest COVID wave (Omicron BA.1). This made us wonder: Did the same pattern happen in other countries? And did it impact the epidemic dynamics?

The blue curve shows the mean willingness to engage in local awareness behavior (on a scale of 1-5), suggesting the lowest local response during the biggest COVID wave in Hungary.

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

Check out our paper, "Epidemic-induced local awareness behavior inferred from surveys and genetic sequence data," now out in @NatureComms. #BehavioralEpidemiology www.nature.com/articles/s41...

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

Why are we excited? We believe our method helps bridge the gap between broad epidemic data & detailed local observations. It's a simple tool to monitor local awareness without privacy concerns, which could be invaluable for future pandemic responses. #GenomicEpidemiology #NetworkScience

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

And the most intriguing part? In the UK—where we had the richest genetic data—we saw a similar decrease in event containment during the Omicron BA.1 wave. Just like in the Hungarian survey.

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

How robust is our Event Containment Score (ECS)?
- Simulations confirm positive ECS strongly indicates local awareness behavior.
- Our ECS scores correlated with policy stringency (Oxford CHI) in Europe during COVID-19. We think it's a solid proxy!

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

To measure how local awareness shaped epidemic dynamics, we developed a new method using mutation patterns in SARS-CoV-2 sequences. We identified superspreading events and introduced the Event Containment Score as a proxy.

1

Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · May 22

Surprisingly, our Hungarian survey showed the lowest local response during the biggest COVID wave (Omicron BA.1). This made us wonder: Did the same pattern happen in other countries? And did it impact the epidemic dynamics?

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Reposted by Gergely Odor

Bojan Evkoski @bojanevkoski.bsky.social · Apr 23

One week left for submitting to Data Stories! Here are three more posters on Plays vs. Movies, Taylor Swift and NBA to spark your ideas ⚡ See you there!

🏹 Submit your poster or register to attend: networkdatascience.ceu.edu/data-stories

@ceu-dnds.bsky.social
#DataStories11 #DataViz #CEU #Vienna

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Reposted by Gergely Odor

Bojan Evkoski @bojanevkoski.bsky.social · Apr 1

Data Stories is back! 🎉

Does your research tell a story through data? Share it with us! 👀

🗓️ Submit your visualizations by April 30:
networkdatascience.ceu.edu/data-stories

Join us May 20 at CEU Vienna (or online!) to celebrate the power of data viz.

#DataStories11 #DataViz #CEU

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Gergely Odor @odorg.bsky.social · Mar 27

Happy to announce our new paper in PRR on a very surprising phenomenon about how different motivations to engage in preventive behavior can affect the outcome of an epidemic! Great collaboration with @csegokolok, @danielkelliger and @martonkarsai.bsky.social journals.aps.org/prresearch/a...

Epidemic paradox induced by awareness driven network dynamics

Epidemic spreading and adaptive self-protection behaviors are inherently coupled processes. Epidemic dynamics is studied in scale-free networks with local awareness behavior adopted by only susceptibl...

journals.aps.org

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Reposted by Gergely Odor

Márton Karsai @martonkarsai.bsky.social · Mar 12

New paper alert! Check it out if you want to know more about the distinguishability of simple and complex contagion processes at the individual level! Great collaboration with @elsaandres @gregodor @iaciac.bsky.social. www.nature.com/articles/s44...

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