Jonas
opisthokonta.bsky.social
Jonas
@opisthokonta.bsky.social
Statistician. Statistics, football modeling, machine learning, R, etc. Maximum likelihood enthusiast

http://opisthokonta.net/
linktr.ee/opisthokonta
I have often wondered if there is any way to generalize or extend the Dixon-Coles model, and it turns out there is! Based on some theory from the 1960's, in this intersting paper the authors study a lot of different extensions! arxiv.org/abs/2307.02139
October 12, 2023 at 5:33 PM
My #rstats package for converting bookmaker odds to proper probabilites, by removing the bookmaker margin, can be found here.

8 methods are available, taken from academic literature and from articles online.
implied: Convert Between Bookmaker Odds and Probabilities
Convert between bookmaker odds and probabilities. Eight different algorithms are available, including basic normalization, Shin's method (Hyun Song Shin, (1992) &lt;<a href="https://doi.org/10.2307%2F...
cran.r-project.org
October 10, 2023 at 5:10 PM
Reposted by Jonas
✍️new blog post on using the tidymodels probably package to calibrate model predictions. #rstats

tonyelhabr.rbind.io/posts/probab...
September 13, 2023 at 12:27 PM