I have often wondered if there is any way to generalize or extend the Dixon-Coles model, and it turns out there is! Based on some theory from the 1960's, in this intersting paper the authors study a lot of different extensions! arxiv.org/abs/2307.02139

My #rstats package for converting bookmaker odds to proper probabilites, by removing the bookmaker margin, can be found here.

8 methods are available, taken from academic literature and from articles online.

✍️new blog post on using the tidymodels probably package to calibrate model predictions. #rstats

tonyelhabr.rbind.io/posts/probab...