Paasha Mahdavi
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paashamahdavi.com
Paasha Mahdavi
@paashamahdavi.com
UCSB prof, researching climate politics and the oil industry. EGAPE Lab Director and 2035 Initiative co-founder. Wrote a book on oil nationalization (https://tinyurl.com/2zyaf8bd). Working to transition from the fossil fuel era. Posts expire after 30 days.
Thanks Michael ☺️
Though it’s wild that it’s come to this… and it’s only the second week of 2026
January 13, 2026 at 4:28 AM
Thanks Jess! Also you can spot *both* Rethinking Private Authority and Existential Politics on my bookshelf (on the opposite side from the oil books, including @profmichaelross.bsky.social and @jeffcolgan.bsky.social) 😉
January 12, 2026 at 11:48 PM
Caveat is that Exxon is loudly saying Venezuela is "uninvestable" .... for now ;) (www.ft.com/content/2986...)
Live: Exxon tells Trump Venezuela ‘uninvestable’ without big changes
US president seeks to win commitments from oil executives to invest up to $100bn
www.ft.com
January 9, 2026 at 9:17 PM
Totally weird. A coincidence, I'm sure 😂
January 3, 2026 at 9:50 PM
Wood Mackenzie estimates about 1 million more bpd (~100% increase) could be online w/n 2 years without significant capital investment. But it'd take $15-20 bn over the next 10 yrs to increase production by another 500k bpd to get closer to pre-Chavez peak of 3m bpd. www.woodmac.com/blogs/energy...
What could change in Venezuela mean for oil production? | Wood Mackenzie
Explore how shifting US policy toward Venezuela, OPEC+ capacity audits, rising US gas prices, and surging data-centre demand are reshaping global oil, gas and power markets, with expert insight from W...
www.woodmac.com
January 3, 2026 at 9:49 PM
Not always — lifting costs vary substantially based on geology and tech (and financing)

Eg, see this cost curve based on break-even prices around the world (from www.nature.com/articles/s41...)
January 3, 2026 at 7:20 PM
🙏
January 3, 2026 at 7:08 PM
And I mean, not to belabor the point, but Chevron and Exxon are clearly getting a return on investment from their contributions... And Trump benefits from the industry's support. So there is a Hacker-Pierson political economy story here
January 3, 2026 at 6:29 PM