Peter Dorman
@pdorman.bsky.social
I'm a political economist and writer on economics, politics, climate change, statistics, and lots more. I've written four books, stacks of articles and reports, blogs and am working on book #5. Watch out for really bad puns.
It's useful to note that Rogoff got his start (his diss I think, but I might remember it wrong) applying game theory to sovereign debt issues. My diss was applied game theory too! But by my defense I was mostly skeptical.
February 4, 2026 at 2:44 AM
It's useful to note that Rogoff got his start (his diss I think, but I might remember it wrong) applying game theory to sovereign debt issues. My diss was applied game theory too! But by my defense I was mostly skeptical.
The thing to bear in mind is that, since the Trump people don't enforce the law and lie about everything they do, no reform matters unless it is tied to external oversight. That goes for everything and not just ICE.
February 3, 2026 at 6:48 PM
The thing to bear in mind is that, since the Trump people don't enforce the law and lie about everything they do, no reform matters unless it is tied to external oversight. That goes for everything and not just ICE.
Long ago I used a program called Stella that generated visualizations of systems of differential equations, very intuitive. You could see feedbacks operating on a period-to-period basis. I had a simplified model of income ≠ generating wealth ≠ and vice versa. There must be something like it now.
January 30, 2026 at 3:07 AM
Long ago I used a program called Stella that generated visualizations of systems of differential equations, very intuitive. You could see feedbacks operating on a period-to-period basis. I had a simplified model of income ≠ generating wealth ≠ and vice versa. There must be something like it now.
Read the NYT critically. Long ago I worked for them in the newsroom, and I got a first hand look at the cross pressures that determine what get's printed. Different reporters. Editorial oversight. And of course there are smart (e.g. Jamelle B) and clueless (Doubthat) opinion people.
January 26, 2026 at 6:01 PM
Read the NYT critically. Long ago I worked for them in the newsroom, and I got a first hand look at the cross pressures that determine what get's printed. Different reporters. Editorial oversight. And of course there are smart (e.g. Jamelle B) and clueless (Doubthat) opinion people.
I don't know about this polling outfit and how reliable their weighted samples are, but: there appears to be no question about either support for labor or dealing with the power of corporations and the rich. Like, these are not even issues people would have opinions about.
January 20, 2026 at 6:16 AM
I don't know about this polling outfit and how reliable their weighted samples are, but: there appears to be no question about either support for labor or dealing with the power of corporations and the rich. Like, these are not even issues people would have opinions about.
3. If not, he will have to make a claim about voting machines that can lead to annulling the vote in a number of blue jurisdictions. 4. Meanwhile, centrist D's will downplay threats of prosecution etc. if they get the majority to try to induce R's to forego interference. This strategy will fail.
January 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM
3. If not, he will have to make a claim about voting machines that can lead to annulling the vote in a number of blue jurisdictions. 4. Meanwhile, centrist D's will downplay threats of prosecution etc. if they get the majority to try to induce R's to forego interference. This strategy will fail.
1. Trump will definitely try to mess with the election if it looks like he'll lose one or both congressional majorities. 2. If the Supremes give him the power to access state voter rolls, he will take it, and suppression is on the table.
January 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM
1. Trump will definitely try to mess with the election if it looks like he'll lose one or both congressional majorities. 2. If the Supremes give him the power to access state voter rolls, he will take it, and suppression is on the table.
The first step is to put yourself in their shoes with their resources. What would you do? It begins with some form of federalization of voting lists, voting apparatuses etc. Then selective disqualification. Don't forget dual state theory.
January 15, 2026 at 5:46 PM
The first step is to put yourself in their shoes with their resources. What would you do? It begins with some form of federalization of voting lists, voting apparatuses etc. Then selective disqualification. Don't forget dual state theory.
I wish I could be as optimistic. The only thing that counts right now is how *R's* think, and 2/3 are OK with Good's killing. The rest of us matter only if the R's are willing to allow it, and then not until Nov.
January 13, 2026 at 5:35 PM
I wish I could be as optimistic. The only thing that counts right now is how *R's* think, and 2/3 are OK with Good's killing. The rest of us matter only if the R's are willing to allow it, and then not until Nov.