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pferrowxman.bsky.social
Phil Ferro
@pferrowxman.bsky.social
170 followers 110 following 1.5K posts
Tropical updates, to So FL weather. Chief Meteorologist at WSVN TV Miami FL. 2 x Emmy award winner.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 4h
11 PM Wednesday Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory & Cone:
🔴All the clouds & rain are only on the eastern side of the system, not looking good. However, it's fighting to get stronger.
🔴It may still become a hurricane once past the Leeward Islands. Will near Bermuda by the weekend.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 5h
Scattered fast-moving showers making their way Oceanside to the Gulf Waters. Brief downpours will remain over the next few hours.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 5h
Invest96L located NW of the Azores is moving NE. Mostly a concern for the shipping lanes.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 5h
New Invest96L first model runs. It should remain a worry only for marine interests.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 5h
Three areas being monitored by NHC. Tropical Storm Jerry near the Lesser Antilles on its way to possibly becoming a cat 1 hurricane. A Disturbance in the SW Gulf Waters, and a non tropical low - now Invest 96L in Northern Atlantic.
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pferrowxman.bsky.social
Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 6h
A Fall Front will enter the state Thursday. This should bring us a better rain chance thru Friday. Once the front clears, temps should be a bit below average. The best part will be less humidity and drier conditions.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 7h
GFS Model run shows the possibility of a few downpours Thursday, with a better rain chance Friday. This is all due to a Fall Front headed our way. After the passage of the front this weekend, the humidity should drop, temps will be near average, and it is forecast to turn drier.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 7h
Wednesday Evening Trop. Storm #Jerry Color Satellite. The brighter red colors represent where the heaviest of the rain can be found. Notice the big "thunderstorm bubble" that pops up in the latest images. This is a sign it is trying to get stronger.
pferrowxman.bsky.social
Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 7h
Wednesday evening Tropical Update: NHC is monitoring two areas for development.

🔴The first, about to move onshore tonight across Coastal Mexico. Heavy rain there.

🔴The other is near the Azores. A non tropical low could organize in yellow area.10% chance for growth.
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pferrowxman.bsky.social
Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 7h
8 pm Wednesday Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory & cone: It has gained a bit of strength even though it still lacks rain on the western periphery. It is still forecast to be near the Leeward Islands first and then be close to Bermuda by the weekend.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 9h
A low pressure system will aim for the Mid Atlantic States & NE. This is called a Nor'Easter as the winds flow in from that direction. This will provide gusty winds, heavy rain, & rough seas.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 9h
Check this out! Fall arrived across the Midwest & Northeast. Frost & Freeze advisories issued for many areas after the passage of a front. This will be the same front that will aid in bringing rain to So FL the next 48 hrs, & then nice & mild conditions are forecast for the wknd
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 9h
Dwindling Daylight? Yes. Starting this evening the sunset is before 7 pm.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 9h
Dry season is right around the corner. It usually kicks off mid October.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10h
The center of Jerry should pass away from the islands. That is the strongest part of the system. Forecasts suggest tropical storm force winds could near the Leeward Islands. Because of that, Tropical Storm Watches are in place.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10h
NHC says the chances for development in the SW Gulf waters is very low. The disturbance should move onshore Coastal Mexico soon. Even without organization, this feature will drop plenty of rain. Flooding is a concern.
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pferrowxman.bsky.social
Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10h
Weather Outlook for South Florida. High water still possible over the next few days. A front will trap moisture over the area for Thursday & Friday. After the front, lower humidity levels with drier conditions.
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pferrowxman.bsky.social
Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 10h
Your next round of King Tides taking place between 9 & 11 pm tonight across the coast.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 11h
As of 5 pm Wednesday, the arrow is pointing to Jerry's Jerry. The clouds & rain are only found on the E side of the storm. With the W side exposed, it remains disheveled as Shear, or strong upper winds, are keeping it in check for now.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 11h
5 pm Wednesday Jerry Advisory & Cone: The system is not looking good on satellite, still forecast to intensify into a hurricane. Tropical storm force winds of 39 mph may impact some of the Leeward Islands.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 1d
Weather Headlines thru Friday for South Florida.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 1d
The Climate Prediction Center suggests that between October 15th & 21st, there are low chances of tropical development in most of the Atlantic Basin, except for areas near Central America. Higher probabilities for the Eastern Pacific.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 1d
11 pm Tuesday Watches & Warnings regarding Tropical Storm Jerry. Tropical storm watches in place for the islands highlighted in blue. This means winds over 39 mph are POSSIBLE, over the next 48 hours.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 1d
11 pm Tuesday Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast Cone: Will near the Leeward Islands by Thursday as a category 1, then it'll get close to Bermuda by the weekend.
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Phil Ferro @pferrowxman.bsky.social · 1d
11 pm Tuesday Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory. Winds remain at 50 mph. It's looking lopsided as most of the clouds and rain are on the eastern side of the system. It is forecast to gain hurricane strength as it nears the Leeward Islands.
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