Seth Edmunds
@phealthy.bsky.social
630 followers 840 following 340 posts
Epidemiology PhD candidate, interested in disease dynamics and novel surveillance systems
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phealthy.bsky.social
It's mind-blowing that some former speechwriter, Peter Thiel muppet is the current CDC director.
phealthy.bsky.social
It's what Project 2025 called for, political CDC and analysis CDC
phealthy.bsky.social
Trying to shoot down his bullshit is like drinking from a firehose, press issues that make him weaker.
phealthy.bsky.social
Safety and efficacy of early medical abortion at home between 10+0 and 11+6 weeks' gestation: a retrospective review

srh.bmj.com/content/earl...
srh.bmj.com
phealthy.bsky.social
I was just going to post this, is this independent from NCBI?
phealthy.bsky.social
How much is the article processing fee?
phealthy.bsky.social
Can't believe I missed that the @societyforepi.bsky.social podcast recently had stochastic modeling episodes, kinda glad they send out those summary email blasts.

seriousepi.blubrry.net
SERious EPI | A podcast from the Society for Epidemiologic Research
seriousepi.blubrry.net
phealthy.bsky.social
Ha, quiet and gassy or a messy wreck?
phealthy.bsky.social
This is pretty crazy, study models millions of indirect hurricane deaths potentially driving/contributing to the life expectancy disparity in the US:

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
a, Total incidence of TCs on CONUS by month. Bar height is sum of average maximum wind speeds for all state-by-storm events. Colours correspond to decades. b, Stacked overlapping excess mortality responses to each storm for all of CONUS. Each storm response aggregates state-level responses nationally, accounting for state-level population and adaptation. Outline colours correspond to the decade when the TC occurred. The upper envelope is the total estimated mortality burden for CONUS resulting from all TCs occurring during the prior 172 months (see Supplementary Fig. 3). c, Official deaths directly resulting from TCs for each month according to NOAA National Hurricane Center and NOAA National Weather Service6,7. The y-axis scale is the same for b and c.
phealthy.bsky.social
*elimination and there needs to be an uninterrupted series of outbreaks which isn't the case this year given Texas is under control. Soon enough though
phealthy.bsky.social
Just be sure to at least scan the comments, the study wasn't great.
phealthy.bsky.social
I do worry about fish die off if it's widely adopted in communities
phealthy.bsky.social
Given mifepristone and contraceptives are also actively being attacked, women for sure.
phealthy.bsky.social
Don't forget Harvard also downplayed a lot and emphasized competing interests among the authors...

hsph.harvard.edu/news/using-a...
phealthy.bsky.social
So CDC is just done with hiring ORISE?
phealthy.bsky.social
Why can't people understand that LLMs are probability engines? The output should be interpreted as a point estimate with uncertainty bounds. How can we do that with language as the output? Better hedging?
phealthy.bsky.social
I think a problematic balance in social media is that personal accounts are always hustling for their brand. Book deals are lucrative after all. I just wish more experts would sit down to serious Q&As that are available to a broad audience. Cough, cough, /science and r/askscience