Philipp Maier
@pmaier1971.bsky.social
Economic data releases and news, automated with R.
Data from http://fred.stlouisfed.org.
Code/details: http://whyitmatters.netlify.app
All views and errors are mine.
Data from http://fred.stlouisfed.org.
Code/details: http://whyitmatters.netlify.app
All views and errors are mine.
Uncertainty Update: VIX at 17.28; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 408.5, up 5.9 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m
November 12, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Uncertainty Update: VIX at 17.28; 7-day average of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index at 408.5, up 5.9 from the prior week #vix #MarketVolatility #econsky https://tinyurl.com/3bvx9f5m
On 07 Nov the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 132.4336. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 0.5%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -2.77% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky
November 12, 2025 at 1:15 PM
On 07 Nov the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 132.4336. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 0.5%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -2.77% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky
7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $3.75, up 3.5 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $0.22 increase. #econsky
November 11, 2025 at 9:51 PM
7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $3.75, up 3.5 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $0.22 increase. #econsky
7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.15, down -1.3 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a -4 cent decrease. #inflation #econsky
November 11, 2025 at 9:51 PM
7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.15, down -1.3 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a -4 cent decrease. #inflation #econsky
On 07 November the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 121.7835. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 1.05%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -3.2% lower. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky
November 11, 2025 at 1:15 PM
On 07 November the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 121.7835. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 1.05%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -3.2% lower. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky
Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have decreased from 24490.4012 last week to 24354.6546 on 29 October. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 3.37%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky
November 10, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have decreased from 24490.4012 last week to 24354.6546 on 29 October. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 3.37%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky
Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 07 November, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.27% for the AAA (up 0.05p.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 5.86%. #econsky
November 10, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 07 November, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.27% for the AAA (up 0.05p.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 5.86%. #econsky
At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q3 2025 stands at at 3.98%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky
November 8, 2025 at 1:15 PM
At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q3 2025 stands at at 3.98%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky
The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 06 November was at 6.2%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has increased by about 0.04 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky
November 8, 2025 at 1:15 PM
The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 06 November was at 6.2%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has increased by about 0.04 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky
5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.37%, down from 2.4% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.28%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.
November 7, 2025 at 9:51 PM
5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.37%, down from 2.4% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.28%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.
10Y #Treasury is at 4.11%, down from 4.17% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf
November 7, 2025 at 9:51 PM
10Y #Treasury is at 4.11%, down from 4.17% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf
The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.3141 USD/GBP last week (31 October). Relative to a month ago, this is -2.5% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has risen by 1.4% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky
November 7, 2025 at 1:16 PM
The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.3141 USD/GBP last week (31 October). Relative to a month ago, this is -2.5% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has risen by 1.4% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky
Last week (31 October) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1541 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. -1.8%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about 6.4% higher. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky
November 7, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Last week (31 October) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1541 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. -1.8%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about 6.4% higher. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky
Average US 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage last week at 6.22%, up 0.05 p.p. from prior week. 5/1 ARM at 6.1% #mortgage #househunters #econsky
November 6, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Average US 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage last week at 6.22%, up 0.05 p.p. from prior week. 5/1 ARM at 6.1% #mortgage #househunters #econsky
Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 31 Oct #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky
November 6, 2025 at 9:50 PM
Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 31 Oct #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky
Today's #ADP data suggests an increase in private sector #employment of 23000K jobs, up from -41000K in Sep 2025. Note that historically the ADP report is not overly accurate in predicting the #payroll number. #econsky
November 5, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Today's #ADP data suggests an increase in private sector #employment of 23000K jobs, up from -41000K in Sep 2025. Note that historically the ADP report is not overly accurate in predicting the #payroll number. #econsky