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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 6h

Informative map of where Obamacare/ACA enrollment grew the most from 2020-2025. From Wall Street Journal. Story, no paywall. www.wsj.com/health/healt...

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 5d

See what 1041 Americans say they like & dislike about Trump and their biggest concerns. Click Shuffle Responses to see 5 at a time, page through at bottom right. Filter in the boxes, here for example Trump voters, Fox viewers who say "cost" is a concern. lubarcenter.shinyapps.io/mlspsc28-ope...

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 5d

Who gets news from where and uses which social media apps? New @MULawPoll *national* survey takes a look overall and by party identification. See @jdjmke post on this at our @mulaw blog: law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 6d

Maybe this explains why I confuse Spotify so much. My two top plays of the week.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 6d

New @MULawPoll *National* survey out yesterday and today. See Full results at law.marquette.edu/poll/2025/10...

Court release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...

National politics release: law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...

Next @MULawPoll Wisconsin poll will be out Oct. 29.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Sep 3

We have not.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Sep 2

Large partisan differences on the effect of tariffs on the economy, though relatively little change over time. >50% of Reps say tariffs help. Those saying hurt the economy up slightly across partisanship; help economy down a bit with independents. @MULawPoll national surveys.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Sep 2

Less confidence that Trump policies will decrease inflation, including among Republicans, while more now think his policies will increase inflation. Independents notably more likely to now say increase. @MULawPoll national surveys.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 31

Three looks at how partisanship drives our perceptions of reality 1) Right direction or wrong track: huge shift 2) State of the economy: now much better for Reps, worse for Dems (real economy hasn't shifted that much) and 3) personal finances, more modest changes but still some.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 28

Here is the Wisconsin party favorability by party ID. Don't have congressional party approval for Wisconsin.

Similar pattern and discrepancy. Dems less favorable to their party than Reps are to theirs.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 27

Did an interview with Milwaukee CBS58 @AJBayatpour on views of parties. Reps doing better than Dems for both congressional party approval and party favorability. Key difference: Dems much less happy with their party than Reps with theirs. Disappointed Dems. National data.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 20

Most of those Dem to Ind voters lean Dem and will vote 85% D, but not the 95% D that pure partisans do. Including leaners Reps have gained a small advantage in party balance. Poor Biden performance likely why. See how Trump does now.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 20

See NYTimes story on Rep gains in voter registration. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/u...

The Democratic Party Faces a Voter Registration Crisis

www.nytimes.com

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 20

Reps remain solid Rep but Dems drifting away to Ind.

My @MULawPoll asked party ID early in 2022. In polls with the same people since then we re-ask party ID. The chart shows PID in subsequent polls by the respondent's PID in 2022.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 11

Found on an old backup drive. Once iconic, now requiring explanation to students.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 6

Their methodology for the averages is here: www.nytimes.com/article/elec...

Methodology: How The Times Calculates Polling Averages

www.nytimes.com

Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 6

I run with and without “questionable” polls. With lots of data as with national approval polls it makes negligible difference. More problematic in state pre election polling.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 6

It is their polling average. NYT/Siena has done only 1 poll so far this year.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

President Trump’s Approval Rating: Latest Polls

Track the latest approval rating and polls on Americans’ approval of President Trump.

www.nytimes.com

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 6

Net is useful and will close to double the apparent slope since very few don’t have an opinion of Trump. He has gone from net positive in Jan to net negative since March.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 6

Hi Josh. NYT today is 44-53. Silver is 43.8-52.7. Morris is 42.1-54.1. I’m at 43.6-53.1. 3 round to 44-53, 1 to 42-54, so there is a lot of agreement. I DO smooth the trend more than they do. More small wiggle in theirs than mine. I think wiggle is noise so I reduce it. Elliott has more recent drop

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Aug 6

Reality check. Headlines describe Trump approval: "crashing", "record low", "major decline". These are driven by cherry picking single polls The polling average HAS shown a decline from Jan but nothing that justifies "crashing". Apr low, small recovery, recent slip Now 43.6-52.1

Chart shows steady decline in Trump approval but not sharp drops often described in headlines.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Jul 24

Big Wisconsin news today is Gov. Tony Evers will not seek a third term, creating wide open primaries in both parties.

Here is a review of Evers polling as governor, opinion about a 3rd term and the challenge of building name recognition for 2026. law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...

Wisconsin Governor 2026 Outlook – Marquette University Law School Faculty Blog

law.marquette.edu

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Jul 5

Hot summer refreshment.

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Jun 18

Here you go. Crosstabs for May are at www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/0bq8s...

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Charles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · Jun 18

You can see all our polls on this term’s cases at law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...

Public Opinion and U.S. Supreme Court cases – Marquette University Law School Faculty Blog

law.marquette.edu

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