Grand strategic change after critical situations: Israel and Czechia after the October 7th attacks and Russia’s Ukraine invasion

Most Russian nuclear messaging during the war in Ukraine has not been about explicit nuclear threats, but about amplifying uncertainty and fear. The PRCP and SWP have recently published a working p...

Atomic responsiveness: How public opinion shapes elite beliefs and preferences on nuclear weapon use

How has the 12 Day War influenced the Islamic Republic’s domestic situation and legitimacy in Iran? Jakub Koláček addresses this question in his policy brief , arguing that the current apparent wea...

The existential risks posed to the world by nuclear weapons are growing. Efforts to halt nuclear proliferation, manage crises, promote arms control, and buil...

This working paper by SWP and PRCP chronologically traces nuclear signaling in Russia’s war against Ukraine from autumn 2021 to January 2025, coding 452 Russian and Western public statements. Re...