New "How not to write a poll question" example just dropped. (Kids: Learn to not write horrible poll questions like this.)

UMass-Lowell Center for Public Opinion Poll (@UMassLowell @UML_CPO) - Survey of NYC Likely Voters

Zohran Mandani 44%
Andrew Cuomo 25%

More info: uml.edu/polls

All the information about the call for papers, including the questionnaire and results report from the 2024 Mexican Election Study, is available here: tinyurl.com/MexicanElect...

*CALL FOR PAPERS*
Política y Gobierno (@depCIDE) & the Mexican Election Study (@ENEM_Mexico) invite submissions for a special issue dedicated to the analysis of public opinion in Mexico in the context of the 2024 presidential election.
Deadline for proposal submissions: Aug 30

Los invitamos a participar en esta convocatoria de Política y Gobierno (@depCIDE) y @ENEM_Mexico para participar en un volumen especial dedicado al estudio de la opinión pública en México en el contexto de la elección presidencial de 2024.

Los invitamos a analizar la base de datos del ENEM 2024 👇

¿Por qué partido/candidata votaron los votantes LGB en México en las pasadas elecciones presidenciales?

A propósito de #PrideMonth2025 aquí un texto con @chetoar sobre el voto LGB: redaccion.nexos.com.mx/el-voto-lgb-...

Con datos del Mexican Election Study / Estudio Nacional Electoral de México

In this @JoDemocracy article, unfortunately, we were not wrong in identifying the path of autocratization the country was on.

With the purge of the Judiciary, Mexico opens those gates and moves toward an authoritarian regime (competitive authoritarianism/electoral autocracy).

✳️Mañana a las 11 empezamos la conversación sobre las
Implicaciones en materia de reforma judicial.

👇👇👇

Compartimos nuevo artículo (c/Natasha Konzevik) en @rmop_fcpys. Encontramos que la presencia mayoritaria de mujeres en la boleta electoral sí tiene un efecto: los votantes con niveles altos de sexismo disminuyen su probabilidad de participar en las elecciones.

Link: revistas.unam.mx/index.php/rm...

Mesa redonda donde discuriremos nuestro artículo "Is Mexico at the Gates of Authoritarianism?" (con @azulaguiar.bsky.social y Alejandro Monsiváis) recientemente publicado (@jodemocracy.bsky.social):

Los esperamos:

Join us next week as we discuss our recent publication in @jodemocracy.bsky.social , which explores Mexico's democratic erosion.

"Is Mexico at the Gates of Authoritarianism?"
Jan 29th at @GPS_UCSD

The article: muse.jhu.edu/article/947883

“Elected in 2018, López Obrador soon set in motion the gradual subversion of Mexican democracy," write @azulaguiar.bsky.social, @rcastrocornejo.bsky.social, and Alejandro Monsiváis-Carrillo.

"Is Mexico at the Gates of Authoritarianism?"
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/a...

“Elected in 2018, López Obrador soon set in motion the gradual subversion of Mexican democracy, eventually succeeding in asserting his personalistic authority over democratic norms and procedures.” @azulaguiar.bsky.social @rcastrocornejo.bsky.social

muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/a...

Happy New Year! Our Cambridge Element is now available! In it, @hondercin.bsky.social, Jordan Randall, and I use data from the ANES @electionstudies.bsky.social to glean new insights into how the American public thinks about abortion rights. Free downloads til Jan 31st doi.org/10.1017/9781...

Different versions of, “Don’t start a project that couldn’t be published in AJPS.”

¿Se encuentra México a las puertas del #autoritarismo? 🚪⚠️

El @jodemocracy.bsky.social , acaba de publicar nuestro texto

📥✨ Te invitamos a leernos:

www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/is-...

AMLO relentlessly attacked Mexico's democratic institutions, taking it to the brink of authoritarianism.

"Is Mexico at the Gates of Authoritarianism?" by Azul Aguiar Aguilar, Rodrigo Castro Cornejo, and Alejandro Monsiváis-Carrillo
muse.jhu.edu/article...

As illiberal forces gain power, we must protect individual liberties and the democratic process. But when institutions empower minority groups over the majority, can democracy survive?

"When Should the Majority Rule?" by Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt
muse.jhu.edu/article...

President Sheinbaum has given no indication that she intends to depart from the authoritarian path. She has defended judicial reform, moved forward with dismantling the INAI, and further increased militarization

… opening the gates to competitive authoritarianism in Mexico.

Public Opinion: AMLO suffered almost no backlash for his undemocratic actions. An original survey found significant support for closing democratic institutions: Among MORENA partisans, 42% supported closing the INAI, 35% Congress, and 34% Supreme Court (opposition & indep 13%).

The military: AMLO made the military—he calls them “guardian angels of Mexico” or “pueblo uniformado”—an ally in his government. The armed forces now wield more economic and political power than in decades, blurring lines between state, government & party—essential in a democracy.

⚖️ Plan C: AMLO's Plan C purges the judiciary, including the Supreme Court, dismantles the career system, curbs judicial independence, and introduces the popular election of federal judges—raising concerns over politicization and the erosion of a key democratic check.

AMLO also undermined the INE, a cornerstone of Mexico’s democratization. His legislative coalition installed loyalists at the head of the INE, who 1️⃣ played a crucial role in helping MORENA secure a supermajority in Congress and 2️⃣ delayed a full institutional assault—for now.