Ryan Wiley
@rdubwiley.bsky.social
170 followers 150 following 1.3K posts
I like math. I like statistics. I like politics. Posts are my own.
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rdubwiley.bsky.social
I thought we were going to get max two times through the order for Casey. Tipping his splitter might accelerate that. Been good enough though.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
The truth is "tough on crime" doesn't have anything to do with crime. The reality is Dems have internalized it as "looking like you're too soft on brown people" and they think pushing against the stormfront regime might hurt them in some diners in Iowa.

You can repeat this with the border.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
The best way to describe it is Senate Dems want to be persuaded whatever it takes to do nothing and have zero risk and David Shor has made a lot of money putting out data science slop to absolve Dems of any accountability.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
It's still crazy that the Dem caucus didn't want to do anything for the sole reason it would have impacted their ability to go home early and fundraise. They've turned the senate into a cushy meal ticket.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
They are performing like posters on stormfront because they think the secret to the fourth Reich is using the exact same imagery and memes from 1933 (for some reason)
rdubwiley.bsky.social
I'm sure it is something they will try, but one of those "once you open that door, you can't exactly unopen it." Even in states with red governors I'm sure the bluer counties will still try to have their elections. Even beyond that at some point the generals look around and know what has to happen.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
In the off-season they have to completely retool how they scout and prep for games. Hitting gameplan made no sense against Gilbert.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Keider out here giving us the best pitching performances of his life.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
I think it was a question if we offered more if Boston would have matched with their funky options contract.

Colt either has to be an everyday third baseman, we need to sign one in FA, or we need someone like Hao-Yu Lee to work out. We're kind of over performing on the production you could expect.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Don't know if I can survive another season where McKinstry is anything but a utility man
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Somehow isn't 6-0. Have to find a way if they want to win tonight.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Only way through is to score runs. Jack has done good enough. Gilbert looks hittable. Second time through gotta hit.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Gotta bring in the c-team because Abbott knows there's going to be another national disaster and these guys' entire deployment is going to be picking up trash in Chicago
rdubwiley.bsky.social
The main psychological pipeline for these types is feeling entitled to something, not being very good at it, but instead of getting better they try to bend the world so they were always the best (with no work).
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Been watching a lot of old episodes of Reading Rainbow and oh boy does it really challenge the notion that in the old days things used to be less woke
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Yeah, I think it's kind of a problem that each of these deployments have less and less juice.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
In before Pritzker deploys his own Illinois National Guard troops and we get a Toledo War situation
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Alexander Hamilton never been more wrong about protecting America from the common man when the biggest danger to this country has always been elite weirdos with too much money to spend.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
It will be real funny if at the end of this boardrooms subject their c-suite to sycophancy training to keep these little wormtoungues from tanking values from being called a special boy and the mirror of "I knowww"
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Will go to my grave thinking that Tim Walz had the best political instincts out of anyone there and that calling all these chuds sexually deviant weirdos was the best way for Dems to win in 2024.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Clinton lost Michigan because a lot of her operation was legacy ivy leaguers children trying to do an OFA ascension while registering voters after the deadline.

If there was an actual push to drive out Dem votes in 2016 and Dems were more on the ball on negative messaging she 100% could have won.
rdubwiley.bsky.social
Think it's worth pointing out that Clinton did well in the popular vote after this, and probably would have won in 2016 if not for a comically small amount of votes in the electoral college (and maybe some shenanigans with the Detroit clerk).

Just feel like everyone got the wrong lesson from that.