Recession Radar
@recessionradar.bsky.social
I am not an economist, however, taking action prior to a recession is key to preserving your investments or avoiding making the wrong financial decisions. Here, I will gather recessionary factors and highlight indications of a slowing economy FYI.
Head economist at JP Morgan estimates odds of a recession now stands at 40%. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
MSN
www.msn.com
June 24, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Head economist at JP Morgan estimates odds of a recession now stands at 40%. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
Consumer confidence falls 30% since January...https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/news/economic-warning-signs-mount-as-consumer-confidence-plummets/vi-AA1GXSFk?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=c7112e541aa642cf9a48db3d9d33e7f9&ei=100
MSN
www.msn.com
June 18, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Consumer confidence falls 30% since January...https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/news/economic-warning-signs-mount-as-consumer-confidence-plummets/vi-AA1GXSFk?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=ENTPSP&cvid=c7112e541aa642cf9a48db3d9d33e7f9&ei=100
MSN
www.msn.com
June 17, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Reposted by Recession Radar
For generations, people have looked for small, informal signs that a recession is coming or already here. This phenomenon recently exploded on social media, often in joke form.
Is all this talk of recession indicators a sign a recession is coming?
For generations, people have looked for small, informal signs that a recession is coming or already here. This phenomenon recently exploded on social media, often in joke form.
n.pr
June 10, 2025 at 12:50 PM
For generations, people have looked for small, informal signs that a recession is coming or already here. This phenomenon recently exploded on social media, often in joke form.
MSN
www.msn.com
June 10, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Reposted by Recession Radar
The U.S. economy contracted over the past six weeks as hiring slowed and consumers and businesses worried about tariff-related price increases, according to a Federal Reserve report Wednesday.
Fed 'Beige Book' economic report cites declining growth, rising prices and slow hiring
The report noted that "economic activity has declined slightly since the previous report" released April 23.
cnb.cx
June 4, 2025 at 8:01 PM
The U.S. economy contracted over the past six weeks as hiring slowed and consumers and businesses worried about tariff-related price increases, according to a Federal Reserve report Wednesday.
MSN
www.msn.com
June 4, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Consumer confidence dropping for the 5th month in a row. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
MSN
www.msn.com
May 17, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Consumer confidence dropping for the 5th month in a row. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
Tariffs are set to start boosting prices this month. Consumers are estimated to be hit with an average of $2100/yr in increased expenses due to the current tariffs that are known. This will impact low income folks first who don't make enough to benefit from any tax cuts. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
MSN
www.msn.com
May 16, 2025 at 10:38 PM
Tariffs are set to start boosting prices this month. Consumers are estimated to be hit with an average of $2100/yr in increased expenses due to the current tariffs that are known. This will impact low income folks first who don't make enough to benefit from any tax cuts. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
Time will tell if the economy will withstand the multi-pronged attack on it by Trump as he dreams of pulling in big bucks via tariffs. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
MSN
www.msn.com
May 14, 2025 at 12:12 AM
Time will tell if the economy will withstand the multi-pronged attack on it by Trump as he dreams of pulling in big bucks via tariffs. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
Oxford Economics cut its recession probability to 35% from better-than-even odds previously. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
MSN
www.msn.com
May 13, 2025 at 12:11 AM
Oxford Economics cut its recession probability to 35% from better-than-even odds previously. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
Here is the hero of the GOP explaining why tariffs are bad and why he pushed for free trade. www.youtube.com/shorts/Mj6N-...
Ronald Reagan on Tariffs
YouTube video by Pitchfork Economics
www.youtube.com
May 7, 2025 at 11:04 PM
Here is the hero of the GOP explaining why tariffs are bad and why he pushed for free trade. www.youtube.com/shorts/Mj6N-...
Hmm, are consumers cutting back? If Starbucks earnings is any indicator, folks are starting to cut back on their spending.
Starbucks earnings miss forecasts as CEO Brian Niccol touts 'real momentum' in turnaround plan
finance.yahoo.com/news/starbuc...
finance.yahoo.com/news/starbuc...
April 29, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Hmm, are consumers cutting back? If Starbucks earnings is any indicator, folks are starting to cut back on their spending.
My motto is "Don't spook the consumer." if you want to avoid a recession. 47 is doing everything possible to spook the consumer. Federal workers and Federal contractors were first. Then came the chaotic tariff roll out. With fewer goods being imported, we have shortages which lead to higher prices.
The American people can see the writing on the wall: trade wars increase prices and discourage spending across the board.
This is NOT how you make America great. This is how you cause a recession.
This is NOT how you make America great. This is how you cause a recession.
US consumer confidence plummets to Covid-era low as trade war stokes anxiety
Americans’ confidence in the economy slumped for the fifth straight month to the lowest level since the onset of COIVD-19.
apnews.com
April 29, 2025 at 10:29 PM
My motto is "Don't spook the consumer." if you want to avoid a recession. 47 is doing everything possible to spook the consumer. Federal workers and Federal contractors were first. Then came the chaotic tariff roll out. With fewer goods being imported, we have shortages which lead to higher prices.
Even banking experts are split on whether or not the US economy towards a recession. This article was published prior to 47 announcing 245% tariff on goods from China. 47 says prices are dropping along with inflation, but if it comes out of his mouth... www.thestreet.com/economy/bank...
www.thestreet.com
April 16, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Even banking experts are split on whether or not the US economy towards a recession. This article was published prior to 47 announcing 245% tariff on goods from China. 47 says prices are dropping along with inflation, but if it comes out of his mouth... www.thestreet.com/economy/bank...
The only thing coming out of "Liberation Day"was exemptions for Apple, NVIDIA, DELL and other similar electronics? Nope, evidently those exemptions, might only be temporary. As the economy hits the tariff speed bumps, is the probability of recession now around 90%? finbold.com/the-probabil...
The ‘probability of a recession is over 90%’, warns economics professor
He pointed to a slowdown in economic activity as the primary driver, noting that a recession would result in declining sales and earnings
finbold.com
April 14, 2025 at 12:42 AM
The only thing coming out of "Liberation Day"was exemptions for Apple, NVIDIA, DELL and other similar electronics? Nope, evidently those exemptions, might only be temporary. As the economy hits the tariff speed bumps, is the probability of recession now around 90%? finbold.com/the-probabil...
So perhaps this article has something to do with 47 delaying most tariffs for 90 days. Who knows? For all I know, 47 keeps playing to tariff announcement game to crash the markets while he and his buddies buy the dip before he backpedals yet again. www.huffpost.com/entry/biden-...
Stunned Economist Whose Work Was Cited In Trump’s Tariffs Says They ‘Got It All Wrong’
“How on earth did it calculate such huge rates?” wrote University of Chicago economics professor Brent Neiman in an op-ed that slammed Trump's math as "very wrong."
www.huffpost.com
April 9, 2025 at 6:24 PM
So perhaps this article has something to do with 47 delaying most tariffs for 90 days. Who knows? For all I know, 47 keeps playing to tariff announcement game to crash the markets while he and his buddies buy the dip before he backpedals yet again. www.huffpost.com/entry/biden-...