Richard Colwell
@redcceo.bsky.social
920 followers 190 following 30 posts
CEO of RED C Research Group and President of WIN international research network. Content likely to be around human insight, brand building political polling, and maybe a little sailing, rugby and of course Spurs.
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redcceo.bsky.social
Well that this weekends poll fieldwork messed up 😂
redcceo.bsky.social
UK well on its way to follow the US to loony politics after those local election results.
redcceo.bsky.social
Oh David. From someone who loves polling, that is a very strange comment. Understanding the publics political leanings and trends in support for parties over the longer term is always useful. I’m sure you have used these trends in the past to understand voter sentiment between elections.
redcceo.bsky.social
Latest @businesspost.bsky.social poll out today sees SF extend their lead in first preference vote to 4% ahead of other parties.
redcceo.bsky.social

Latest @businessposthq poll sees signs of “buyers remorse” as FF loses share, and opposition parties make small gains. businesspost.ie/api/oc-post/?u…
redcceo.bsky.social
RED C are very proud of how close our final @businessposthq pre election poll was, matching our success at the last GE in 2020. With an average error of just 0.8%, we predicted Fianna Fail as the largest party & that they would be most transfer friendly. redcresearch.com/red-c-accuracy…
redcceo.bsky.social
@REDCResearch & @businessposthq last poll vs. exit poll. Average error of just 0.9%. Plenty of votes still to be counted. But suggests very accurate polling from all the Irish polling industry. Putting to bed the view that polls are always wrong AND that online polls don’t work!
redcceo.bsky.social
@businesspost poll
27th Nov (vs. 10th Nov)

Fianna Fáil 21% (=)
Fine Gael 20% (-2%)
Sinn Fein 20% (+2%)
Ind. Cand. 14% (-1%)
Soc Dems 6% (=)
Ind. Ireland 4% (+1%)
Green 4% (=)
Labour 4% (+1%)
Aontú 4% (-1%)
PBP-Solidarity 2% (=)
Others 1% (=)

Moe +\- 3%
FW 20th-26th
redcceo.bsky.social
Is it just me or is the @irishtimes.bsky.social poll only adding up to at best 98% with other parties. Understand this can happen due to rounding, but unusual to be 2% off the total.
Reposted by Richard Colwell
redcceo.bsky.social
Great if you want help trying to decide who to vote for
redcceo.bsky.social
Was there a “moment” of the week? 😂
redcceo.bsky.social
Anyone else think Mary Lou just seems a little out of sorts tonight? Not her usual assured self, and appears caught slightly off guard each time she is asked a question. #ge24 #upfront
redcceo.bsky.social
Probably “right”
redcceo.bsky.social
A lot more time for larger parties in this 10 party debate as expected and probably tight. Yet have to feel sorry for some of the smaller parties. Think Joan Collins has had about 20 seconds speaking time so far.
redcceo.bsky.social
Can I have a yes or a no - will be a constant refrain me thinks #GE24 #Leadersdebate
redcceo.bsky.social
Not sure we are going to see much change tbh. Baked in already maybe? SF will do better ham at locals, but that already in the numbers. Big question is who of FF or FG gets more seats.
Reposted by Richard Colwell
sethabramson.bsky.social
To be clear, he won—I've seen zero evidence suggesting fraud. My point is that a 128,000-vote swing in 3 states would have led to a Harris administration. We remain a closely divided nation where informed voters voted for Harris and uninformed voters are about to be wildly surprised at what happens.
Reposted by Richard Colwell
trionac.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/6jV8qvJ This starter pack of Irish Media Personalities & Outlets has reached 100. These are suggestions not endorsements.