Reid Pauly
@reidpauly.bsky.social
70 followers 10 following 11 posts
Assistant Professor of Nuclear Security and Policy at Brown University
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I joined @nktpnd.bsky.social on his @warontherocks.bsky.social podcast “Thinking the Unthinkable” to talk about my new book: The Art of Coercion.

And here’s the book (the ebook is free!):
www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501...
Reposted by Reid Pauly
kschake.bsky.social
I just received my first copy of the book!
Reposted by Reid Pauly
watsonschoolbrown.bsky.social
Why do strong states so often fail to bend rivals to their will?

@reidpauly.bsky.social’s new book, The Art of Coercion, reveals the missing piece: threats only work if paired with credible assurances.

Learn more:
The Art of Coercion
Reid Pauly’s new book "The Art of Coercion" explains why strong states often fail to force compliance in international politics.
ow.ly
Thank you to all of the mentors and friends who helped me to write this book. Thank you to @cornellupress.bsky.social for believing in these ideas. Thank you to the Stanton Foundation for making the ebook free!
This simple idea has profound implications. The actions we take to bolster our threats can undermine our assurances, making unnecessary violence more likely.

And it matters whenever and wherever governments practice coercion—compellence or deterrence.
🚨 It’s publication day!

THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.

When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.

Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”

shorturl.at/qa4T5
The Art of Coercion by Reid B. C. Pauly | Paperback | Cornell University Press
The Art of Coercion presents a fresh explanation for the success—and failure—of coercive demands in international politics.Strong states are surprisingly bad at coercion. History shows they prevail...
www.cornellpress.cornell.edu
Assurances are integral to the logic of deterrence (and coercion more broadly). They clarify the choice: war or peace. Preventing a war over Taiwan requires that we get this right and pair threats with assurance. Thanks @bglaser.bsky.social Jessica Chen Weiss and Tom Christensen for the shout-out 🙏.
foreignaffairs.com
If the United States wants to prevent war in the Taiwan Strait, it will need more than weapons in arsenals and strategies on the planning table, write @bglaser.bsky.social, Jessica Chen Weiss, and Thomas Christensen. Washington must also provide Beijing with credible assurances.
Taiwan and the True Sources of Deterrence
Why America must reassure, not just threaten, China.
www.foreignaffairs.com