Matt Collier
@reillocity.bsky.social
Baseball Analyst/Consultant/Advisor
Final ST fundamentals (in %iles)...
Michael Soroka (WAS, 68 BF, 17 BF/G): 41 Overall, 8 Ctl/35 K/86 Batted Ball Profile (34 GB/79 IFFB/91 LD Avoid/12 OFFB Avoid/21 Pull OFFB Avoid [51 AVG & 57 ISO Avoids on Batted Balls])
4-seam IVB trait there per IFFB. Better cast as K+IFFB RP now, to me.
Michael Soroka (WAS, 68 BF, 17 BF/G): 41 Overall, 8 Ctl/35 K/86 Batted Ball Profile (34 GB/79 IFFB/91 LD Avoid/12 OFFB Avoid/21 Pull OFFB Avoid [51 AVG & 57 ISO Avoids on Batted Balls])
4-seam IVB trait there per IFFB. Better cast as K+IFFB RP now, to me.
March 28, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Final ST fundamentals (in %iles)...
Michael Soroka (WAS, 68 BF, 17 BF/G): 41 Overall, 8 Ctl/35 K/86 Batted Ball Profile (34 GB/79 IFFB/91 LD Avoid/12 OFFB Avoid/21 Pull OFFB Avoid [51 AVG & 57 ISO Avoids on Batted Balls])
4-seam IVB trait there per IFFB. Better cast as K+IFFB RP now, to me.
Michael Soroka (WAS, 68 BF, 17 BF/G): 41 Overall, 8 Ctl/35 K/86 Batted Ball Profile (34 GB/79 IFFB/91 LD Avoid/12 OFFB Avoid/21 Pull OFFB Avoid [51 AVG & 57 ISO Avoids on Batted Balls])
4-seam IVB trait there per IFFB. Better cast as K+IFFB RP now, to me.
Bonds wouldn't get 175 at-bats?
March 9, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Bonds wouldn't get 175 at-bats?
The Astros farm system's demise began... during the Click administration with an assist from the disruptive restructuring of MiLB Leagues in wake of COVID. Brown+Crane et al. haven't done much to stem the sink, but they're only partially to blame.
March 9, 2025 at 2:33 PM
The Astros farm system's demise began... during the Click administration with an assist from the disruptive restructuring of MiLB Leagues in wake of COVID. Brown+Crane et al. haven't done much to stem the sink, but they're only partially to blame.
Will Warren wemedy Wankees woes?
March 8, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Will Warren wemedy Wankees woes?
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
#23 TOR #BlueJays position players are good within the batters box per a 70 Plate Rating... but these Jays lose their wings and can't fly after leaving it per a 2 Offensive Running Rating. Mound work needs work.
#23 TOR #BlueJays position players are good within the batters box per a 70 Plate Rating... but these Jays lose their wings and can't fly after leaving it per a 2 Offensive Running Rating. Mound work needs work.
March 8, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
#23 TOR #BlueJays position players are good within the batters box per a 70 Plate Rating... but these Jays lose their wings and can't fly after leaving it per a 2 Offensive Running Rating. Mound work needs work.
#23 TOR #BlueJays position players are good within the batters box per a 70 Plate Rating... but these Jays lose their wings and can't fly after leaving it per a 2 Offensive Running Rating. Mound work needs work.
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
#25 ARI #Dbacks mirrors HOU in having a far too high Youth versus Level per percentiles in preceding columns. CHC #Cubs has big gap between #24 Data Outcomes rank & #9 Aggregate Top Prospects rank, skews older prospects per Youth.
#25 ARI #Dbacks mirrors HOU in having a far too high Youth versus Level per percentiles in preceding columns. CHC #Cubs has big gap between #24 Data Outcomes rank & #9 Aggregate Top Prospects rank, skews older prospects per Youth.
March 8, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
WAS #Nationals had 2nd worst pitchers. Its position players ranked #5 at Offensive Running but were hamstrung by not being able to use that skill much aside from between home & 1st per poor plate marks. 2nd lowest/oldest Youth hurts, too.
WAS #Nationals had 2nd worst pitchers. Its position players ranked #5 at Offensive Running but were hamstrung by not being able to use that skill much aside from between home & 1st per poor plate marks. 2nd lowest/oldest Youth hurts, too.
March 8, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
WAS #Nationals had 2nd worst pitchers. Its position players ranked #5 at Offensive Running but were hamstrung by not being able to use that skill much aside from between home & 1st per poor plate marks. 2nd lowest/oldest Youth hurts, too.
WAS #Nationals had 2nd worst pitchers. Its position players ranked #5 at Offensive Running but were hamstrung by not being able to use that skill much aside from between home & 1st per poor plate marks. 2nd lowest/oldest Youth hurts, too.
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
#27 HOU fans: "Prospect rankings don’t matter… #Astros consistently turn no-name MiLBers into MLBers!".
True, but HOU MiLBers stuffed tables like these with big numbers then. Now data likes the HOU system as little as prospect rankers.
#27 HOU fans: "Prospect rankings don’t matter… #Astros consistently turn no-name MiLBers into MLBers!".
True, but HOU MiLBers stuffed tables like these with big numbers then. Now data likes the HOU system as little as prospect rankers.
March 8, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
#27 HOU fans: "Prospect rankings don’t matter… #Astros consistently turn no-name MiLBers into MLBers!".
True, but HOU MiLBers stuffed tables like these with big numbers then. Now data likes the HOU system as little as prospect rankers.
#27 HOU fans: "Prospect rankings don’t matter… #Astros consistently turn no-name MiLBers into MLBers!".
True, but HOU MiLBers stuffed tables like these with big numbers then. Now data likes the HOU system as little as prospect rankers.
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
LAA #Angels is comparably bad to PIT but routinely drafts later in 1st round ~ Pick 10, in part due to being saddled with Trout & Ohtani. LAA 1st-rounders invariably end up unsexier or rookie-ineligible come prospects ranking season.
LAA #Angels is comparably bad to PIT but routinely drafts later in 1st round ~ Pick 10, in part due to being saddled with Trout & Ohtani. LAA 1st-rounders invariably end up unsexier or rookie-ineligible come prospects ranking season.
March 8, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
LAA #Angels is comparably bad to PIT but routinely drafts later in 1st round ~ Pick 10, in part due to being saddled with Trout & Ohtani. LAA 1st-rounders invariably end up unsexier or rookie-ineligible come prospects ranking season.
LAA #Angels is comparably bad to PIT but routinely drafts later in 1st round ~ Pick 10, in part due to being saddled with Trout & Ohtani. LAA 1st-rounders invariably end up unsexier or rookie-ineligible come prospects ranking season.
Objective-Outcomes-Based MLB Farm System Rankings: #21-#30
NL Central clubs CIN #Reds & PIT #Pirates are worst & next worst at player+pitcher development. As offshoot, 2 MLB clubs often land picks near top of Draft which in turn boosts their ranks in Top Prospect set comparisons.
NL Central clubs CIN #Reds & PIT #Pirates are worst & next worst at player+pitcher development. As offshoot, 2 MLB clubs often land picks near top of Draft which in turn boosts their ranks in Top Prospect set comparisons.
March 8, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Had a handful of monster K+IFFB RP games in Sep between MiLB & MLB. Would guess that some better clubs spotted that & recruited him to be that variety of short RP... and he ended up with Nats because he still wants to start & they were willing to let him do it.
March 7, 2025 at 9:33 PM
Had a handful of monster K+IFFB RP games in Sep between MiLB & MLB. Would guess that some better clubs spotted that & recruited him to be that variety of short RP... and he ended up with Nats because he still wants to start & they were willing to let him do it.