Richard Riley (R²)
@richarddriley.bsky.social
1.7K followers 220 following 240 posts
Professor of Biostatistics • BMJ Deputy Chief Stats Editor • Books: "Prognosis Research in Healthcare: concepts, methods & impact" & "IPD Meta-Analysis: A Handbook for Healthcare Research.." • Websites: www.ipdma.co.uk & www.prognosisresearch.com • Whovian
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richarddriley.bsky.social
**NEW BMJ PAPER**

"Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges, and approaches"

- most models provide just a risk estimate
- we argue for presenting associated uncertainty too
- includes pros, cons, PPIE & methods

Hope helpful!
www.bmj.com/content/388/...
Uncertainty of risk estimates from clinical prediction models: rationale, challenges, and approaches
Clinical prediction models estimate an individual’s risk (probability) of a health related outcome to help guide patient counselling and clinical decision making. Most models provide a single point es...
www.bmj.com
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
richarddriley.bsky.social
*NEW COURSE*
"Individual Participant Data (IPD) Meta-Analysis Projects: A Practical Introduction"

📅 23-24 Sept 2025 | Online

Covers whole project: rationale & planning; obtaining, cleaning & harmonising IPD; risk of bias & meta-analysis; reporting and dissemination

t.co/2Jsz5si1I1
https://tinyurl.com/3y7phy86
t.co
richarddriley.bsky.social
*NEW PAPER*
"Guidelines for Meta-analyses and Systematic Reviews in Urology"

- Led by @vickersbiostats.bsky.social
- Addresses common shortcomings of meta-analysis articles
- Provides guidelines for improvement
- Applicable to all fields, not just urology

Hope helpful 🙏
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
richarddriley.bsky.social
Tomorrow at 9am 👇
richarddriley.bsky.social
Speaking at #RSS2025 this Thursday 9am about a general sample size framework for developing prediction models - note it is in a 'Data Science for Medicine & Health' session (not a prediction models session!) ... details below

I'll also upload to youtube next week
richarddriley.bsky.social
NOW OPEN FOR BOOKING:

"Statistical Methods for Meta-Analysis of IPD"
- October 1st to 3rd 2025 (online)

IPD Meta-Analysis Projects: a practical introduction for healthcare research"
- 23rd -24th September 2025 (online)

www.ipdma.co.uk/training-cou...
Training courses | IPD Meta-Analysis
www.ipdma.co.uk
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
stateecetics.bsky.social
Got ideas for future sessions for @rssdiversity.bsky.social - join us 👇

Or drop me a message - I'd love to hear from you 🙏
rssdiversity.bsky.social
📢 Statisticians at #RSSConf2025:

Join us on Platform5 at 12:50 for the Celebrating Diversity Networking Lunch 😋

Meet members of @rssdiversity.bsky.social & network with attendees interested in the RSS’ equity, diversity, inclusion, and accessibility work
richarddriley.bsky.social
*NEW COURSE*
"Individual Participant Data (IPD) Meta-Analysis Projects: A Practical Introduction"

📅 23-24 Sept 2025 | Online

Covers whole project: rationale & planning; obtaining, cleaning & harmonising IPD; risk of bias & meta-analysis; reporting and dissemination

t.co/2Jsz5si1I1
https://tinyurl.com/3y7phy86
t.co
richarddriley.bsky.social
Speaking at #RSS2025 this Thursday 9am about a general sample size framework for developing prediction models - note it is in a 'Data Science for Medicine & Health' session (not a prediction models session!) ... details below

I'll also upload to youtube next week
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
matthewwaterhouse.bsky.social
Very sorry to hear about Christopher Bidmead's death. As script editor, he gave DW a new lease of life during Tom's last year, with a season of extraordinarily interesting and tonally wide-ranging stories.
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
0tralala.bsky.social
Another unnecessarily nerdy plunge into old Target novelisations by Terrance Dicks, this time Doctor Who and the Abominable Snowmen: 0tralala.blogspot.com/2025/08/doct...
0tralala.blogspot.com
richarddriley.bsky.social
** session details:
9:15 - 10:45am
Bayesian methods 2
Location: Biozentrum U1.141
Chair: Lukas Andreas Widmer
richarddriley.bsky.social
*** UPDATE with session details:
9:15 - 10:45am
Bayesian methods 2
Location: Biozentrum U1.141
Chair: Lukas Andreas Widmer
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
maartenvsmeden.bsky.social
NEW PREPRINT

Explainable AI refers to an extremely popular group of approaches that aim to open "black box" AI models. But what can we see when we open the black AI box? We use Galit Shmueli's framework (to describe, predict or explain) to evaluate

arxiv.org/abs/2508.05753
richarddriley.bsky.social
Led by Pedro Lopez-Ayala & Tobias Zimmermann
With @gscollins.bsky.social and myself

Still, many articles submitted to the BMJ poorly handle continuous variables - so we wanted to help raise awareness of potential solutions for a broad audience - hope helpful 🙏
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
finishedzine.bsky.social
Forty years ago, #DoctorWho took to the airwaves with the broadcast of Slipback, during the 18 month hiatus.

We speak exclusively to writer Eric Saward, the amazing @nicolabryant.bsky.social and guest star Nick Revell, about their memories of this hour-long story.

soundcloud.com/powerof3pod/...
281: The Making of Slipback
Remember when Doctor Who was put on hiatus, back in 1985? To help bridge the gap between Seasons 22 and 23, a six-part radio story was broadback on Pirate Radio 4, featuring Colin Baker and Nicola Bry
soundcloud.com
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
bmj.com
The BMJ @bmj.com · Jul 25
Many high street health tests are unfit for purpose and need greater regulation, warn researchers in two studies.

These studies highlight issues over accuracy and suitability for public use, they say
www.bmj.com/content/390/...
www.bmj.com/content/390/...
Self tests
Reposted by Richard Riley (R²)
ewancarr.bsky.social
Running a workshop tomorrow on reproducible workflows in R at the King's Open Research Summer School.

📽️ Slides: ewancarr.github.io/reproducible-r
👩‍💻 Practical: ewancarr.github.io/reproducible-r/practical

Mildly terrified that Git on Windows will be my downfall—but we'll see. 😅

#rstats #opensci
Reproducible workflows in R
ewancarr.github.io