Rob T
@robtfpl.com
5.3K followers 180 following 430 posts
Sharing market data to help with fantasy football decisions | FPL projections for @solioanalytics.com
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robtfpl.com
📊 GW7: Solio projected #FPL points and picks

Projections updated on site after today's pressers

A look at some of the top projected GW7 players on our live @solioanalytics.com model - & an example 'free hit' team 👇
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💹 GW7 market odds - final update

Last update from sharp betting markets ahead of the FPL deadline, including:
🔹 Projected goals and CS odds
🔸 WDL odds
robtfpl.com
When you plot it out, this season’s start stands out 👇
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We took a look at Salah’s underlying numbers - this season’s outputs are the weakest he’s put up in any 6-game stretch over the past six seasons!

Early days, but one to keep an eye on! 👇
robtfpl.com
💹 #FPL GW7: Market goal projections

Some of the top projected scorers this week, per SpreadEx market odds (markets assume a start but not 90 minutes; filtered for realistic starters with @solioanalytics.com xMins)
robtfpl.com
New #FPL toys 👀

Tweak team strengths, mess about with penalty shares and watch all the projections update in real time - oh, and run that all-important 32 gameweek solve 😅

Come and have a play!
robtfpl.com
💹 PL GW7 Matchups - First Look

Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇
robtfpl.com
💹 GW6: final market odds updates

An update from sharp betting markets ahead of the FPL deadline, including:

🔹 Projected goals and CS odds
🔸 WDL odds
robtfpl.com
📊 GW6: Solio projected #FPL points and picks

A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇

Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline
robtfpl.com
💹 #FPL GW6: Market goal projections

Some of the top projected scorers this week, per SpreadEx market odds (markets assume a start; filtered for realistic starters with @solioanalytics.com xMins)
robtfpl.com
💹📊 Projected team goals and CS odds | GW6–19

From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model

Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!
robtfpl.com
Yes, projected goals are down overall (~2.8 per game, vs ~3.1 last year) - they started dropping at the end of last season, but Sunderland + Leeds so far looking more competent than last year's promoted teams is definitely a factor too.
robtfpl.com
From our end, it's a bit of both - market data and modelling historical data. If you use the right market data, it should incorporate a lot of the play style / underlyings you mention (and team news, etc) - lines are shaped by betting groups who model a lot of these contextual factors to find edges
robtfpl.com
Compared to last year’s market data, City’s 2.76 projected goals for GW6 looks modest

But with current PL market trends, it's still likely to be one of the top single-GW totals before the reset. If Haaland is fit and you’re not using another chip, TC6 might be worth considering!
robtfpl.com
💹 PL GW6 matchups

A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇

📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season
robtfpl.com
💹 GW5: final market odds updates

An update from sharp betting markets ahead of the FPL deadline, including:

🔹 Projected goals and CS odds
🔸 WDL odds
robtfpl.com
📊 GW5: Solio projected #FPL points and picks

A look at some of the top projected GW5 players from our live @solioanalytics.com model after yesterday's updates - & an example 'free hit' team 👇

Model has Salah clear for captaincy - will be interesting to see how many back against!
robtfpl.com
💹 GW5: Market goal projections

A look at some of the top projected scorers for this round of PL fixtures, according to inferences from Spreadex markets
robtfpl.com
💹📊 Updated: GW5-10 teams to target

The latest projected goals and clean sheet odds for the next 6 gameweeks, via sharp betting markets and our @solioanalytics.com team strength model 👇
robtfpl.com
💹 PL GW5 matchups

A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇

📉 As it stands, GW5 is the lowest goals/match projection from markets since April 2023!
robtfpl.com
💹 GW4: final market odds updates

An update from sharp betting markets ahead of the FPL deadline, including:

🔹 Projected goals and CS odds
🔸 WDL odds
robtfpl.com
📊 GW4: Solio projected #FPL points and picks

A look at some of the top projected GW4 players from our live
@solioanalytics.com model, following today's pressers - & an example 'free hit' team 👇

NEW, LIV & CRY triples, and a Woltemade sighting! Numbers will update through deadline
robtfpl.com
💹 GW4: Market goal projections

A look at some of the top projected scorers for this round of PL fixtures, inferred from spread betting markets
robtfpl.com
💹📊 Updated: GW4-9 teams to target

The latest projected goals and clean sheet odds for the next 6 gameweeks, via sharp betting markets and our
@solioanalytics.com team strength model 👇
robtfpl.com
Cheers Matt - you're very welcome!