Andrés Rodríguez Martínez
@rodriguez-andres.bsky.social
Vertebrado, mamífero, primate, homínido. Abogado, docente y vendedor. Viudo de Odette Pérez. Discípulo entre los discípulos y pecador entre los pecadores.
Reposted by Andrés Rodríguez Martínez
Statistics are so counterintuitive for most of us.
A sometimes asymptomatic disease has 1% prevalence.
There’s a test that never produces false negatives but has a 5% false positive rate.
You are asymptomatic, but you take the test. It comes back positive.
What are the chances you have the disease? (1/5)
There’s a test that never produces false negatives but has a 5% false positive rate.
You are asymptomatic, but you take the test. It comes back positive.
What are the chances you have the disease? (1/5)
January 19, 2025 at 7:12 AM
Statistics are so counterintuitive for most of us.