Barb
runningfutility.bsky.social
Barb
@runningfutility.bsky.social
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Reposted by Barb
Proponents of the megabill argue that these costs are overstated because they don't take into account economic growth. But all of the independent estimates of the bill's cost--including right-leaning ones--suggest it will cost trillions after accounting for growth.
February 3, 2026 at 3:05 PM
Reposted by Barb
An example of the poor choices in the megabill: they expanded the amount of state and local taxes affluent households can deduct from $10k to $40k.

This came at a cost of $140B--about 75 percent of the cut to SNAP that make low-income families pay more for groceries.
February 3, 2026 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Barb
So why write a bill that will hurt so many Americans?

The answer is to partially finance tax cuts for the richest Americans including cuts to the estate tax, a deduction for business owners, corporate tax breaks, and more:
February 3, 2026 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Barb
At a time when Americans are feeling squeezed by growing energy costs, the GOP megabill will raise energy costs by cutting investments expanding energy supply.

Estimates from @jessejenkins.bsky.social, Jamil Farbes and Ben Haley suggest that this will eventually raise HH energy bills 13%.
February 3, 2026 at 3:01 PM
Reposted by Barb
Part of the megabill receiving less attention is changes to student loan repayment for low-income borrowers (esp. folks who didn't finish degrees). For first time someone w/ earnings below poverty line will have to make payments, helping offset tax cuts tilted to the wealthy.
February 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM
Reposted by Barb
The megabill also makes a 20%+ cut to SNAP by 2034 by forcing states to should the cost of SNAP for the first time, trapping families in red tape through work requirements, and more.
February 3, 2026 at 2:59 PM
Reposted by Barb
Looking at the megabill's cuts to health care--which help finance its tax cuts--roughly 15 million people will lose health insurance because of its direct cuts or failure to extend the enhancements to the Affordable Care Act's premium tax credits.
February 3, 2026 at 2:58 PM
Reposted by Barb
Another view is taking seriously the Trump Admin's claim that regressive, economically destructive, and legally questionable tariffs offset the megabill's deficits.

When we include those in the distribution, the bottom 70% is worse off from the bill according to
@budgetlab.bsky.social:
February 3, 2026 at 2:57 PM
Reposted by Barb
A @budgetmodel.bsky.social analysis of the megabill's combination of tax cuts, cuts to programs, and higher deficits will make the bottom 80 percent of kids born today worse off in the long run.
February 3, 2026 at 2:56 PM
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February 2, 2026 at 4:19 AM