Subprime, private credit risk, ratings inflation... sound familiar at all?
Yeah, because it's fucking 2008 all over again at a scale hitherto undreamt of.
This current economy has the potential to go phenomenally bad and extremely fast.
Yeah, because it's fucking 2008 all over again at a scale hitherto undreamt of.
This current economy has the potential to go phenomenally bad and extremely fast.
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Subprime, private credit risk, ratings inflation... sound familiar at all?
Yeah, because it's fucking 2008 all over again at a scale hitherto undreamt of.
This current economy has the potential to go phenomenally bad and extremely fast.
Yeah, because it's fucking 2008 all over again at a scale hitherto undreamt of.
This current economy has the potential to go phenomenally bad and extremely fast.
You. Me. 𝑈𝑠.
Now, Sammy said recently that this wouldn't be the case, but he also said that the federal government is an "insurer of last resort". So, go ahead an take that "we won't" with a giant grain of salt.
Especially when he was really just trying to cover for this colossal fuck up:
Now, Sammy said recently that this wouldn't be the case, but he also said that the federal government is an "insurer of last resort". So, go ahead an take that "we won't" with a giant grain of salt.
Especially when he was really just trying to cover for this colossal fuck up:
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
You. Me. 𝑈𝑠.
Now, Sammy said recently that this wouldn't be the case, but he also said that the federal government is an "insurer of last resort". So, go ahead an take that "we won't" with a giant grain of salt.
Especially when he was really just trying to cover for this colossal fuck up:
Now, Sammy said recently that this wouldn't be the case, but he also said that the federal government is an "insurer of last resort". So, go ahead an take that "we won't" with a giant grain of salt.
Especially when he was really just trying to cover for this colossal fuck up:
"Okay..."
Stfu. There's a lot to unpack here.
There's been a steep down turn in job openings over the last 3 years and is likely to continue this downward trend which means a flattening of the curve in the opposite direction.
Shutdown over hiring? Partially. But mostly corporate overspending.
Stfu. There's a lot to unpack here.
There's been a steep down turn in job openings over the last 3 years and is likely to continue this downward trend which means a flattening of the curve in the opposite direction.
Shutdown over hiring? Partially. But mostly corporate overspending.
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
"Okay..."
Stfu. There's a lot to unpack here.
There's been a steep down turn in job openings over the last 3 years and is likely to continue this downward trend which means a flattening of the curve in the opposite direction.
Shutdown over hiring? Partially. But mostly corporate overspending.
Stfu. There's a lot to unpack here.
There's been a steep down turn in job openings over the last 3 years and is likely to continue this downward trend which means a flattening of the curve in the opposite direction.
Shutdown over hiring? Partially. But mostly corporate overspending.
"But what does a good BC curve look like?"
Well, a good curve isn't really a curve. It's more a cluster.
This section is a 2 year period from Mar 2018 to Feb 2020 just before the shut down. Unemployment hovered around 4% which meant a "healthy" (relatively) flow of workers into open or new jobs.
Well, a good curve isn't really a curve. It's more a cluster.
This section is a 2 year period from Mar 2018 to Feb 2020 just before the shut down. Unemployment hovered around 4% which meant a "healthy" (relatively) flow of workers into open or new jobs.
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
"But what does a good BC curve look like?"
Well, a good curve isn't really a curve. It's more a cluster.
This section is a 2 year period from Mar 2018 to Feb 2020 just before the shut down. Unemployment hovered around 4% which meant a "healthy" (relatively) flow of workers into open or new jobs.
Well, a good curve isn't really a curve. It's more a cluster.
This section is a 2 year period from Mar 2018 to Feb 2020 just before the shut down. Unemployment hovered around 4% which meant a "healthy" (relatively) flow of workers into open or new jobs.
Remember when it felt easy to find a job in 2022?
Because it was. Remote work made both job availability and searching that much more accessible that workers could hold out for better jobs, or choose not to enter the job market if they wanted to do something else at the time.
Because it was. Remote work made both job availability and searching that much more accessible that workers could hold out for better jobs, or choose not to enter the job market if they wanted to do something else at the time.
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Remember when it felt easy to find a job in 2022?
Because it was. Remote work made both job availability and searching that much more accessible that workers could hold out for better jobs, or choose not to enter the job market if they wanted to do something else at the time.
Because it was. Remote work made both job availability and searching that much more accessible that workers could hold out for better jobs, or choose not to enter the job market if they wanted to do something else at the time.
Great, so what does that mean for now and what's with the weird boot shape?
The pink is the Covid shutdown which was an instant hard launch into high unemployment, but we can see the black line starts to return everything back as companies move to remote and adjust.
The pink is the Covid shutdown which was an instant hard launch into high unemployment, but we can see the black line starts to return everything back as companies move to remote and adjust.
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Great, so what does that mean for now and what's with the weird boot shape?
The pink is the Covid shutdown which was an instant hard launch into high unemployment, but we can see the black line starts to return everything back as companies move to remote and adjust.
The pink is the Covid shutdown which was an instant hard launch into high unemployment, but we can see the black line starts to return everything back as companies move to remote and adjust.
Example:
The yellow line represents the housing collapse that began in Jan 2008 that's marked at an end point in June 2009. That, in turn, begins the grey line in July 2009 until Dec 2019.
Yellow was a down trend of available jobs and an increase in unemployment, and grey was the recovery up.
The yellow line represents the housing collapse that began in Jan 2008 that's marked at an end point in June 2009. That, in turn, begins the grey line in July 2009 until Dec 2019.
Yellow was a down trend of available jobs and an increase in unemployment, and grey was the recovery up.
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Example:
The yellow line represents the housing collapse that began in Jan 2008 that's marked at an end point in June 2009. That, in turn, begins the grey line in July 2009 until Dec 2019.
Yellow was a down trend of available jobs and an increase in unemployment, and grey was the recovery up.
The yellow line represents the housing collapse that began in Jan 2008 that's marked at an end point in June 2009. That, in turn, begins the grey line in July 2009 until Dec 2019.
Yellow was a down trend of available jobs and an increase in unemployment, and grey was the recovery up.
Welcome to the Beveridge Curve.
While the White House is very sketchy in their reporting of unemployment rates (gee, can't imagine why), we still have enough information to make some inferences.
And things right now... wellllll, it's not looking too hot.
While the White House is very sketchy in their reporting of unemployment rates (gee, can't imagine why), we still have enough information to make some inferences.
And things right now... wellllll, it's not looking too hot.
November 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
Welcome to the Beveridge Curve.
While the White House is very sketchy in their reporting of unemployment rates (gee, can't imagine why), we still have enough information to make some inferences.
And things right now... wellllll, it's not looking too hot.
While the White House is very sketchy in their reporting of unemployment rates (gee, can't imagine why), we still have enough information to make some inferences.
And things right now... wellllll, it's not looking too hot.
They just cannot help themselves can they...
November 14, 2025 at 4:19 AM
They just cannot help themselves can they...
This image says it all, lol
November 6, 2025 at 6:41 PM
This image says it all, lol
Fuck the Dodgers. Go Jays. Do it for Dave.
November 1, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Fuck the Dodgers. Go Jays. Do it for Dave.
Sometimes you just need to power slam a motherfucker
October 29, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Sometimes you just need to power slam a motherfucker
Just to show what I found. I haven't seen any crossover, and they don't seem to repeat. Though, that doesn't mean that is 100% the case as I don't have access to, or can't find info on all sheets.
Also, there are scoring sheets that go along with these specific examples as well. Again, no crossover
Also, there are scoring sheets that go along with these specific examples as well. Again, no crossover
October 27, 2025 at 3:10 PM
Just to show what I found. I haven't seen any crossover, and they don't seem to repeat. Though, that doesn't mean that is 100% the case as I don't have access to, or can't find info on all sheets.
Also, there are scoring sheets that go along with these specific examples as well. Again, no crossover
Also, there are scoring sheets that go along with these specific examples as well. Again, no crossover
Yeah, there you go. Put your fingers in your ears and la la la yourself to ignorance.
Stop supporting and propping up mouth pieces. Actions > words.
Oh, and fuck you, too.
Stop supporting and propping up mouth pieces. Actions > words.
Oh, and fuck you, too.
October 18, 2025 at 12:10 AM
Yeah, there you go. Put your fingers in your ears and la la la yourself to ignorance.
Stop supporting and propping up mouth pieces. Actions > words.
Oh, and fuck you, too.
Stop supporting and propping up mouth pieces. Actions > words.
Oh, and fuck you, too.
People pointing out the potential reference to Marduk (or Roger [doubt]) for Season 3 of Tekken 8, but what I really wanna know is...
Who the fuck is from Nigeria? We gonna get a Dambe fighter?
Doomfist for Tekken 8. You heard it here first.
Who the fuck is from Nigeria? We gonna get a Dambe fighter?
Doomfist for Tekken 8. You heard it here first.
October 13, 2025 at 2:33 AM
People pointing out the potential reference to Marduk (or Roger [doubt]) for Season 3 of Tekken 8, but what I really wanna know is...
Who the fuck is from Nigeria? We gonna get a Dambe fighter?
Doomfist for Tekken 8. You heard it here first.
Who the fuck is from Nigeria? We gonna get a Dambe fighter?
Doomfist for Tekken 8. You heard it here first.
Sink cat.
Never fails that every time I go to brush my teeth, he wants attention.
Never fails that every time I go to brush my teeth, he wants attention.
October 9, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Sink cat.
Never fails that every time I go to brush my teeth, he wants attention.
Never fails that every time I go to brush my teeth, he wants attention.
You know the actual picture exists and not this AI dogshit, right?
October 8, 2025 at 5:28 PM
You know the actual picture exists and not this AI dogshit, right?
Just leaning into the centrist democrat game plan now, huh?
Say anything, do nothing.
How about mobilizing state resources to protect your citizens instead of leaving them to fend for themselves?
Say anything, do nothing.
How about mobilizing state resources to protect your citizens instead of leaving them to fend for themselves?
October 8, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Just leaning into the centrist democrat game plan now, huh?
Say anything, do nothing.
How about mobilizing state resources to protect your citizens instead of leaving them to fend for themselves?
Say anything, do nothing.
How about mobilizing state resources to protect your citizens instead of leaving them to fend for themselves?
Can't wait for Sam Altman to be the guy that hits the propeller.
October 8, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Can't wait for Sam Altman to be the guy that hits the propeller.
Clicked over there, and this is the first thing I'm greeted with.
Tbh, if bsky is done, then I'm done. I'm not doing this constant switching shit every year.
Which doublely sucks because I like the idea of things like stream.place, but it's linked to bsky account.
There is no winning scenario.
Tbh, if bsky is done, then I'm done. I'm not doing this constant switching shit every year.
Which doublely sucks because I like the idea of things like stream.place, but it's linked to bsky account.
There is no winning scenario.
October 7, 2025 at 9:02 PM
Clicked over there, and this is the first thing I'm greeted with.
Tbh, if bsky is done, then I'm done. I'm not doing this constant switching shit every year.
Which doublely sucks because I like the idea of things like stream.place, but it's linked to bsky account.
There is no winning scenario.
Tbh, if bsky is done, then I'm done. I'm not doing this constant switching shit every year.
Which doublely sucks because I like the idea of things like stream.place, but it's linked to bsky account.
There is no winning scenario.
AI is a cancer, and so are the people using it in such disgusting ways.
October 7, 2025 at 4:19 PM
AI is a cancer, and so are the people using it in such disgusting ways.