Sam Freedman
@samfr.bsky.social
85K followers 850 following 9.9K posts
Writes the most popular UK politics Substack (samf.substack.com) Sunday Times bestselling book "Failed State" out now. (An Economist and Financial Times Book of the Year for 2024). Senior fellow: Institute for Government
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samfr.bsky.social
New post just out:

"Staying alive vs taking control"

Labour's big choice at the budget is whether they just want to try and survive it or whether they're willing to take some bigger risks that would have future payoffs.

(£/free trial)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/s...
Staying alive vs taking control
Labour's budget choices
open.substack.com
samfr.bsky.social
I'd be interested in why James thinks the stats are dodgy. I thought the trend was pretty clear.
samfr.bsky.social
Yes for sure. But only if the Conservative Party doesn't just become a copy of Reform on immigration/rule of law issues. We badly need a centre-right party.
samfr.bsky.social
Would depend on the candidate. I'd vote for, say, Jesse Norman to keep out Reform but not Jenrick or Philp.
samfr.bsky.social
Really enjoyed doing this - thanks for having me on.
quietriotpod.bsky.social
🆕 Anti-Woke Wake: It the Tory Party dead or just resting? ☠️

💥 Tory Conference debrief
💥 France latest political soap
💥 A deal on Gaza - but antisemitism on the rise

An amazing episode with special guest @samfr.bsky.social.

🍊 open.spotify.com/episode/5JQF...

🍏 podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/q...
Anti-Woke Wake: Is the Tory Party dead or just resting?
Podcast Episode · Quiet Riot · 09/10/2025 · 1h 13m
podcasts.apple.com
samfr.bsky.social
A literal example of "don't threaten me with a good time".
Reposted by Sam Freedman
ariehkovler.com
Multiple reports from Israeli, Arab and US sources that a ceasefire deal in Gaza could be imminent, with the hope that Phase 1 is signed today or tomorrow and hostage releases would begin almost immediately.
Reposted by Sam Freedman
samfr.bsky.social
It is a great idea and it's only a matter of time before I'm pitching girl twin's art at you.
samfr.bsky.social
Literally exactly the same arguments were made by people trying to stop Jews arriving 100 years ago.
samfr.bsky.social
I wonder which broken culture Mosley and his band of thugs was from?
samfr.bsky.social
Oh and they're going to abolish stamp duty and business rates for high streets and triple stop and search....

I reckon we're well over £20 billion of committments here.
samfr.bsky.social
Good to see the Conservative Party committed to keeping the deficit down by *checks notes* spending £2 billion giving tax breaks for private education, creating a massive new deportation force and pledging to maintain pensioner benefits.
samfr.bsky.social
China is ofc a country well known for it's excellent record on women's rights.
rmcunliffe.bsky.social
"While Britain was redefining what a woman is, China was building five nuclear reactors," says Kemi Badenoch.

I cannot be the only person curious about how these two things are related
samfr.bsky.social
Maybe by the time we rejoin we'll be poor enough to get some of that action.
samfr.bsky.social
Though I do remember a lot of think-tank bosses tweeting excitedly about Liz Truss was finally implementing their ideas in the not-a-budget.
samfr.bsky.social
It's the DfE's way of breaking it down...
samfr.bsky.social
Depends how you bundle the sectors together
samfr.bsky.social
Everyone imagines apprenticeships as being focused on advanced manufacturing or skilled trades but by far the biggest sectors are health/social work and retail.
samfr.bsky.social
Also, the nostalgic lionisation of apprenticeships is intensely irritating. There are some great ones but also a lot of poor quality ones and dropout rates are much higher than unis.

You can also do apprenticeships in arts!
samfr.bsky.social
Interview opener: "Why do you hate Shakespeare?"
samfr.bsky.social
At some point these imbeciles are going to realise that arts courses are *funding* the courses they do like and if they cut those places unis will just go bankrupt so no maths or science either.
samfr.bsky.social
If you want to win over younger voters, telling them they can't go to university is probably not going to help.
Reposted by Sam Freedman
samfr.bsky.social
New post just out:

"Staying alive vs taking control"

Labour's big choice at the budget is whether they just want to try and survive it or whether they're willing to take some bigger risks that would have future payoffs.

(£/free trial)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/s...
Staying alive vs taking control
Labour's budget choices
open.substack.com