@sampanzer.bsky.social
That is true, but - and this is very important - "you made a bad choice" cannot be the *leading* statement. People being scolded by someone they don't know and don't have reason to trust will just decide the scolder doesn't like them and dig in on their beliefs AKA the backfire effect.
December 19, 2025 at 5:12 PM
That is true, but - and this is very important - "you made a bad choice" cannot be the *leading* statement. People being scolded by someone they don't know and don't have reason to trust will just decide the scolder doesn't like them and dig in on their beliefs AKA the backfire effect.
I take your point! Though I don't find it convincing even if he's back at ~40% approval. Trump's ~40% approval here in the US is a profound moral failure of the American public. Same goes for Israel.
October 8, 2023 was also before Israel's devastation of Gaza. His approval is up since then.
October 8, 2023 was also before Israel's devastation of Gaza. His approval is up since then.
December 18, 2025 at 2:59 PM
I take your point! Though I don't find it convincing even if he's back at ~40% approval. Trump's ~40% approval here in the US is a profound moral failure of the American public. Same goes for Israel.
October 8, 2023 was also before Israel's devastation of Gaza. His approval is up since then.
October 8, 2023 was also before Israel's devastation of Gaza. His approval is up since then.
This is well besides your main point, but Netanyahu's popularity hit an all-time high in October with clear majority approval: www.jns.org/netanyahus-a...
A majority of Israel accepts his project the same way that a majority of the US accepted Trump's in 2024. Heartbreaking in both cases.
A majority of Israel accepts his project the same way that a majority of the US accepted Trump's in 2024. Heartbreaking in both cases.
Netanyahu’s approval ratings at all-time high: Poll
The survey also found that if elections were held today, the ruling coalition would win a 66-seat majority.
www.jns.org
December 18, 2025 at 1:16 PM
This is well besides your main point, but Netanyahu's popularity hit an all-time high in October with clear majority approval: www.jns.org/netanyahus-a...
A majority of Israel accepts his project the same way that a majority of the US accepted Trump's in 2024. Heartbreaking in both cases.
A majority of Israel accepts his project the same way that a majority of the US accepted Trump's in 2024. Heartbreaking in both cases.
Or maybe you've seen the future! 😁
December 13, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Or maybe you've seen the future! 😁
You're right that the bribery accusations am are a problem and that Cuellar should be sent home by the party, but he was not convicted (yet), just charged.
December 13, 2025 at 9:04 PM
You're right that the bribery accusations am are a problem and that Cuellar should be sent home by the party, but he was not convicted (yet), just charged.
This MacWorld article walks through some possibilities: www.macworld.com/article/6764...
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www.macworld.com
December 5, 2025 at 2:52 PM
This MacWorld article walks through some possibilities: www.macworld.com/article/6764...
There's extensive research that candidates that fit their district well outperform. In this case it likely meant someone without baggage and plausibly though not necessarily more moderate.
The (good!) +12 result can reasonably be attributed to the heavily anti-R environment for special elections.
The (good!) +12 result can reasonably be attributed to the heavily anti-R environment for special elections.
December 3, 2025 at 8:05 PM
There's extensive research that candidates that fit their district well outperform. In this case it likely meant someone without baggage and plausibly though not necessarily more moderate.
The (good!) +12 result can reasonably be attributed to the heavily anti-R environment for special elections.
The (good!) +12 result can reasonably be attributed to the heavily anti-R environment for special elections.
Looks like an overall 12 point swing from the 2024 House results according the the NYT.
Amazingly turnout was nearly identical to the 2022 midterm in the district!
Amazingly turnout was nearly identical to the 2022 midterm in the district!
December 3, 2025 at 3:26 AM
Looks like an overall 12 point swing from the 2024 House results according the the NYT.
Amazingly turnout was nearly identical to the 2022 midterm in the district!
Amazingly turnout was nearly identical to the 2022 midterm in the district!
Overall result is R+9 in a district that had a 2024 House margin of R+21. That's a 12-point swing.
If better candidates can eke out just a few more points in each race, that translates to even more House seats in the aggregate if the swing holds. Surely you would prefer a larger D wave in 2026!
If better candidates can eke out just a few more points in each race, that translates to even more House seats in the aggregate if the swing holds. Surely you would prefer a larger D wave in 2026!
December 3, 2025 at 3:24 AM
Overall result is R+9 in a district that had a 2024 House margin of R+21. That's a 12-point swing.
If better candidates can eke out just a few more points in each race, that translates to even more House seats in the aggregate if the swing holds. Surely you would prefer a larger D wave in 2026!
If better candidates can eke out just a few more points in each race, that translates to even more House seats in the aggregate if the swing holds. Surely you would prefer a larger D wave in 2026!
That's a good point!
I remain convinced that the document leak forced Google's hand, but that it only sped up the inevitable. See: his complete lack of contrition after being fired. Compare with Blake Lemoine's more recent firing for the "AI is sentient" thing. That wasn't a "cancellation."
I remain convinced that the document leak forced Google's hand, but that it only sped up the inevitable. See: his complete lack of contrition after being fired. Compare with Blake Lemoine's more recent firing for the "AI is sentient" thing. That wasn't a "cancellation."
November 19, 2025 at 5:42 PM
That's a good point!
I remain convinced that the document leak forced Google's hand, but that it only sped up the inevitable. See: his complete lack of contrition after being fired. Compare with Blake Lemoine's more recent firing for the "AI is sentient" thing. That wasn't a "cancellation."
I remain convinced that the document leak forced Google's hand, but that it only sped up the inevitable. See: his complete lack of contrition after being fired. Compare with Blake Lemoine's more recent firing for the "AI is sentient" thing. That wasn't a "cancellation."
Damore didn't even lose his job for his views. He was fired for continuing to push his document in different spaces even after he was told he needed to stop because it was upsetting people. That's not a "cancellation" as most people use the term IMO.
November 19, 2025 at 3:47 PM
Damore didn't even lose his job for his views. He was fired for continuing to push his document in different spaces even after he was told he needed to stop because it was upsetting people. That's not a "cancellation" as most people use the term IMO.
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November 10, 2025 at 6:29 PM
That's because Costco requires itself to pass on most savings to their customers! Check out www.acquired.fm/episodes/cos... for fast more details on how and why Costco does this and will continue to do so
Pedantic nit: it wasn't every single county, though it was close!
The NYT lists four counties (Lancaster, Charlotte, Appomattox, and Mecklenburg) as shifting towards Republicans, plus Northumberland being nearly exactly even with the 2024 presidential results. All were tiny and shifted <2.4 pts
The NYT lists four counties (Lancaster, Charlotte, Appomattox, and Mecklenburg) as shifting towards Republicans, plus Northumberland being nearly exactly even with the 2024 presidential results. All were tiny and shifted <2.4 pts
November 5, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Pedantic nit: it wasn't every single county, though it was close!
The NYT lists four counties (Lancaster, Charlotte, Appomattox, and Mecklenburg) as shifting towards Republicans, plus Northumberland being nearly exactly even with the 2024 presidential results. All were tiny and shifted <2.4 pts
The NYT lists four counties (Lancaster, Charlotte, Appomattox, and Mecklenburg) as shifting towards Republicans, plus Northumberland being nearly exactly even with the 2024 presidential results. All were tiny and shifted <2.4 pts
It's a big assumption that PR would elect two Democrats. National US politics doesn't map neatly onto PR politics and vice versa.
November 5, 2025 at 3:03 PM
It's a big assumption that PR would elect two Democrats. National US politics doesn't map neatly onto PR politics and vice versa.
Just last week, a nonpartisan poll of likely Maine voters had Platner even with Collins, but Mills 5 points ahead of Collins:
fiftyplusone.news/polls/senate....
fiftyplusone.news/polls/senate....
FiftyPlusOne - Latest Political Polls and Averages
A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.
fiftyplusone.news
October 23, 2025 at 2:23 AM
Just last week, a nonpartisan poll of likely Maine voters had Platner even with Collins, but Mills 5 points ahead of Collins:
fiftyplusone.news/polls/senate....
fiftyplusone.news/polls/senate....
The ADL is more interested in supporting the GOP than fulfilling its mission.
Which is a shame because someone needs to do the work that the ADL purports to.
Which is a shame because someone needs to do the work that the ADL purports to.
October 22, 2025 at 2:06 PM
The ADL is more interested in supporting the GOP than fulfilling its mission.
Which is a shame because someone needs to do the work that the ADL purports to.
Which is a shame because someone needs to do the work that the ADL purports to.
I recall seeing the Trump2020-Harris2024 voters being in the high single digits of Trump2020 voters. Can't find it now.
But that's besides the point. The main thread was by a former young Republican. Democrats need to maximize success with persuadable targets, not write them off wholesale
But that's besides the point. The main thread was by a former young Republican. Democrats need to maximize success with persuadable targets, not write them off wholesale
October 15, 2025 at 4:33 PM
I recall seeing the Trump2020-Harris2024 voters being in the high single digits of Trump2020 voters. Can't find it now.
But that's besides the point. The main thread was by a former young Republican. Democrats need to maximize success with persuadable targets, not write them off wholesale
But that's besides the point. The main thread was by a former young Republican. Democrats need to maximize success with persuadable targets, not write them off wholesale
If around 2% of people who voted for Trump in 2024 had received gracious acceptance for a change of heart instead of condemnation for the past, we wouldn't have President Trump now.
That's just one in 50. Welcome allies when they present themselves if you want a successful movement.
That's just one in 50. Welcome allies when they present themselves if you want a successful movement.
October 15, 2025 at 2:13 PM
If around 2% of people who voted for Trump in 2024 had received gracious acceptance for a change of heart instead of condemnation for the past, we wouldn't have President Trump now.
That's just one in 50. Welcome allies when they present themselves if you want a successful movement.
That's just one in 50. Welcome allies when they present themselves if you want a successful movement.
I can think of one alternative explanation: they were expecting outcry but just don't care or perhaps see it as even more publicity.
October 8, 2025 at 2:16 PM
I can think of one alternative explanation: they were expecting outcry but just don't care or perhaps see it as even more publicity.
It's not arguing for dropping principles, but at least trying to accept differences a little bit more.
Just three more seats in the house and we'd have Majority Leader Jeffries. Even if they often held things up or watered them down, it would be a dramatic improvement
Just three more seats in the house and we'd have Majority Leader Jeffries. Even if they often held things up or watered them down, it would be a dramatic improvement
October 6, 2025 at 2:15 PM
It's not arguing for dropping principles, but at least trying to accept differences a little bit more.
Just three more seats in the house and we'd have Majority Leader Jeffries. Even if they often held things up or watered them down, it would be a dramatic improvement
Just three more seats in the house and we'd have Majority Leader Jeffries. Even if they often held things up or watered them down, it would be a dramatic improvement
Good article! But it doesn't refute Klein's core point: Democrats must consider candidates who differ from the party core on a few principles or policies - even important ones - if they otherwise align. Or we're left with a politics of exclusion and that's a catastrophically losing proposition
October 6, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Good article! But it doesn't refute Klein's core point: Democrats must consider candidates who differ from the party core on a few principles or policies - even important ones - if they otherwise align. Or we're left with a politics of exclusion and that's a catastrophically losing proposition
For an in-depth explanation of this phenomenon, read Wild Faith by @swordsjew.bsky.social!
October 5, 2025 at 12:23 AM
For an in-depth explanation of this phenomenon, read Wild Faith by @swordsjew.bsky.social!
Like much of the discourse about this interview, this statement entirely misses the point. It's not about animating voters so much as not alienating potential allies.
If three more pro-life Democrats like Cuellar won in TX+FL we'd have Speaker Jeffries. Doesn't help with the Supreme Court though
If three more pro-life Democrats like Cuellar won in TX+FL we'd have Speaker Jeffries. Doesn't help with the Supreme Court though
October 1, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Like much of the discourse about this interview, this statement entirely misses the point. It's not about animating voters so much as not alienating potential allies.
If three more pro-life Democrats like Cuellar won in TX+FL we'd have Speaker Jeffries. Doesn't help with the Supreme Court though
If three more pro-life Democrats like Cuellar won in TX+FL we'd have Speaker Jeffries. Doesn't help with the Supreme Court though
It's the Democratic party's job to figure out how to convince at least some of these people to change their minds.
Is that more or less hopeful? You decide!
Is that more or less hopeful? You decide!
September 25, 2025 at 4:17 PM
It's the Democratic party's job to figure out how to convince at least some of these people to change their minds.
Is that more or less hopeful? You decide!
Is that more or less hopeful? You decide!