Sam Tobin-Hochstadt
@samth.bsky.social
1.6K followers 510 following 1.2K posts
Associate Professor, IU Computer Science · Core Developer, @racketlang.bsky.social · Member, TC39 · Handler, Gravymaker · Bike Advocate, Bloomington IN
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samth.bsky.social
I agree that framing and wording and intent are important but the fact that they are fiscally the same is also an important fact!
samth.bsky.social
So we agree that the two policies involve every taxpayer paying the same thing in each, but you think they are functionally different policies because they imply something different about "baselines"?
samth.bsky.social
For which taxpayers do they result in a different tax bill?
samth.bsky.social
Right but a "$500 tax credit for parents" and a "$500 tax penalty for childless adults" are exactly the same policy.
samth.bsky.social
The problem with the quoted proposal is that there aren't new parents for the kids to be assigned to. It's like how a legal right to housing doesn't help if there are no homes.
samth.bsky.social
My impression is that decline in marriage is responsible for maybe half the decline in fertility (with the other half being decline in how many kids married couples have and how many unmarried people have kids).
samth.bsky.social
A different way of putting it is that expressed in wheat prices, Cratchit is making the equivalent of $18/week(!) today, which is close to the "extreme poverty" line used to describe the developing world poorest.
samth.bsky.social
Depressingly, this turned out to be too optimistic.
samth.bsky.social
The actual number of hours that Americans work hasn't changed much over the last 20 years.
samth.bsky.social
The stability of modern democracy was a feature of the postwar boom not something about the institutions.
bretdevereaux.bsky.social
An interesting range of interpretations here but what jumps out at me most is that sharp economic downturns seem to be associated, with some lag, with the far-right cannibalizing the center-right and thereby threatening democratic systems.

Some implications, perhaps, for democratic system design.
mariosrichards.bsky.social
In our - very limited - historical experience of democracy,

(i) states rot from the centre-right
(ii) and it's contagious (via geography/powerful exemplar states)
samth.bsky.social
As with other famously dunked on Pelosi quotes, she was obviously correct here.
Reposted by Sam Tobin-Hochstadt
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samth.bsky.social
Many people dislike the large impersonal scale of modern life and the resulting rules-based bureaucracy required to administer it, and they mostly pretend that the challenges involved don't exist.
samth.bsky.social
The Maple code is quite related to Rust, since it's about aliasing.

The other things are about lower level control in other ways, I would say.
samth.bsky.social
For a lot of these things we already know how to make it nice, the answer is Garbage Collection. In general the decorated types are about having all of high performance, direct style, and statement-oriented mutation. If you just give those up it's easy. :)
samth.bsky.social
I mean, that's the question. One possibility is that just the capex/open to serve current models going forward is too expensive to justify given demand. Then the whole thing gets disassembled for parts like Nevada tract housing in 2009.
samth.bsky.social
I think part of the issue is that there aren't very many people currently who say "I like AI but would only use it if it was much cheaper". Mostly people already use it or don't like it. But the lesson from prior tech is that big price drops do lead to increased demand.
samth.bsky.social
The problem is that this discourse is conflating conversations about tracking with issues of classroom management and special needs kids who are also high ability and with bullying and with kids not dealing well with the structure of school. And gifted can't do all that at once.
samth.bsky.social
5. It's fine to use your own experience as a guide, but it's not reasonable to claim that only people with your same experiences can have a view on these issues.
samth.bsky.social
4. The "if it helps just one kid" reasoning style is just not compatible with running public schools that have many constraints and limited resources and serve a diverse population.
samth.bsky.social
3. Kids who are extremely far above the norm are of course rare, and g&t programs that serve 2-4x larger populations can't be designed primarily for them.
samth.bsky.social
2. Being well above the academic norm (you used 2SD as an example) is compatible with being well socialized in a standard classroom, and people who don't fit in standard classrooms aren't always well ahead academically.
samth.bsky.social
1. Obviously there are some people who can be identified as academically gifted very early on. Denying that would be silly even if reliably finding such people is challenging.