A @budgetmodel.bsky.social analysis of the megabill's combination of tax cuts, cuts to programs, and higher deficits will make the bottom 80 percent of kids born today worse off in the long run.

rather than assuming that those mechanisms somehow operate by default.

I don't have any conclusions about this yet. But it seems like we need to be spending more time on the question of *how* we can effectively mobilize nonviolence in the face of violence to shape public opinion, and *how* we can use state repression to bring more and more people into the movement,

So we're in a tough place. Nonviolence is necessary, both morally and tactically. But the usual 'levers' that nonviolence would pull - the moral conscience of the opposition - are arguably less effective than they've been since the Civil War.

And yet at the same time, nonviolence only works when your opponent can be moved to change. Vollmann: "Satyagraha is correct only if the sacrifice is *for* something, and only if the oppressor will eventually be moved to cease his aggression should the sacrifice become of sufficient magnitude."

As @opinionhaver.bsky.social and many others have noted, what's happening in Minneapolis is clearly intended to incur violence against CBP and ICE and use that as a pretext to further repress domestic dissent. This is a state of affairs where nonviolence is absolutely necessary for the movement.

But in the aftermath of the right-wing response to the last two shootings - circling the wagons around a demonstrably false narrative of 'domestic terrorism' and attempting to repress protest - I worry about how long this state of affairs will last.

Senate Democrats will not provide the votes to proceed to the appropriations bill if the DHS funding bill is included.

If you haven’t joined your local anti-ICE organization, now is the time. If you‘ve joined, step up and help get people onboarded. Tell your friends, tell your neighbors. Show them the video, tell them the truth about what’s happening. Every single one of us is going to be needed to stop this.

I’m normally on here to talk about policy, and I would love nothing more than to live in a world where that’s useful. But I don’t want to argue about top marginal tax rates while brownshirts murder people on the street. This is fucked and I’m angry and scared and I hope you are too.

Loved this - thank you for sharing. Excerpt attached was especially compelling. I think one of the biggest issues in academic economics is exactly this class of problems: so many of the most important insights are unquantifiable and therefore ignored. It's a disservice to the profession + the world!

Loved this - thank you for sharing. Excerpt attached was especially compelling. I think one of the biggest issues in academic economics is exactly this class of problems: so many of the most important insights are unquantifiable and therefore ignored. It's a disservice to the profession + the world!

I’ll be in london that week - would love to attend! Let me know the location and i’ll be there