Scott Lucas
@scottlucas.bsky.social
7.8K followers 510 following 7.4K posts
Professor, journalist, political analyst, cynical optimist
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scottlucas.bsky.social
36-min deep dive on latest in #authoritarianism from #Trump & Co.

Taking apart #PamBondi disinfo, insults, & evasions from #EpsteinFiles to Nat'l Guard on streets to #CapitolAttack

Plus: How #Trump threw away an alliance w #India and #NarendraModi
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Russia expands restrictions on gasoline sales amid #Ukraine drone strikes on oil refineries

Rationing introduced in the Tyumen and Sverdlovsk regions, following measures in occupied #Crimea and the Chelyabinsk region in Russia's Far East

#UkraineWar
scottlucas.bsky.social
Worried about shift in #Trump Admin towards defense of #Ukraine v. #Kremlin invasion, #Russia says discussions w US have stalled since #Trump hosted #Putin in Alaska on Aug 15

"We have to acknowledge that strong momentum created in Anchorage toward reaching agreements has been largely exhausted"
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Iran economy rocked by int'l sanctions, aftermath of #Israel 12-day war, internal problems

World Bank: Iran GDP to contract by 1.7% in 2025 and 2.8% in 2026

In April, Bank forecast that economy would grow by 0.7% this year

Currency sinks to 1.16m:1 v. dollar - Iran to react by removing 4 zeroes
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Taiwan Economy Minister: Country's private refiners willing to stop buying #Russia naphtha if #EU makes request

Taiwan now world’s biggest importer of naphtha, oil derivative used for chemicals for semiconductors

In 1st half of 2025, Taiwan imported $1.3bn, almost 6x higher than 2022

#Ukraine
scottlucas.bsky.social
5+ civilians killed and 37 injured by #Russia attacks across #Ukraine over past day

Air defenses intercept 154 of 183 drones, while 22 struck 11 locations

Thermal power plant owned by DTEK, Ukraine's largest private energy company, sustained "serious damage"

#UkraineWar #RussiaWarCrimes
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Russia authorities checking students' phones in schools in occupied #Crimea

"Searching for banned apps, VPN services, and even the Ukrainian language in the settings"

#UkraineWar #Ukraine
scottlucas.bsky.social
World Bank lowers projection of #Ukraine growth to 2% in 2025, a slowdown from 2.9% in 2024

In June, Bank forecast growth of 5.2% but " #Russia prolonged invasion affects investment and business activity" as "infrastructure damage constrained domestic production"

#UkraineWar
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Ukraine increasing natural gas imports by 30% after recent #Russia airstrikes on energy infrastructure

Energy Minister Hrynchuk: "We are preparing for various scenarios, including the worst-case ones"

#UkraineWar
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Ukraine attacks oil refinery in western Siberia, around 2000 km from border

“It’s a bad night for the Antipinsky refinery in Tyumen”

Video: #Zelensky calls for tougher action v #Russia "shadow fleet", used to circumvent sanctions and for sabotage ops

#UkraineWar
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Ukraine allocates additional $36m for energy infrastructure in frontline regions

Protecting critical energy facilities & creating a reserve of equipment for rapid restoration of power

Fixed price for household natural gas and moratorium on cutting off power in frontline communities
scottlucas.bsky.social
#LaurentMonterlos acquitted by Chief Justice in Hormozgan Province in southern #Iran

Had been accused of "spying" during #Israel 12-day war in June

Prosecutors may still appeal

#IranHumanRights
scottlucas.bsky.social
Analyzing #NATO establishment of command center in Mikkeli, #Finland

Cutting thru #Russia propaganda that center is expansion of NATO “threat” to Moscow

Adding context of Finland accession to NATO, spurred by #Putin invasion of #Ukraine, and of Russian “hybrid warfare”, including drones
scottlucas.bsky.social
1+ civilian murdered and 33+ injured, including children, by Russian attacks across #Ukraine over past day

Air defenses down 88 of 152 drones - 2 missiles and 52 drones strike 10 locations

Fatality and 18 of the wounded, including 3 children, in #Kherson region

#UkraineWar #RussiaWarCrimes
scottlucas.bsky.social
#EU to restrict movement of #Russia diplomats within bloc

Diplomats must inform authorities of travel plans before crossing the border of their host country

Response to "sabotage attempts, which, according to intelligence services, are often carried out by spies operating under diplomatic cover"
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Ukraine and #Denmark sign memorandum of understanding for Ukrainian defense companies to set up joint manufacturing - including drones - in Nordic country

"Major step towards forming a new security system in Europe and strengthening capabilities of defense-industrial complexes of our countries"
scottlucas.bsky.social
Cracking down on #Russia "shadow fleet", #Denmark is stepping up environmental checks on oil tankers in the shipping lane linking the Baltic and North Seas

Vessel believed to be in shadow fleet linked to drone sightings that closed Danish airports last month

#Ukraine #UkraineWar
scottlucas.bsky.social
#Trump waffles over US provision of #Tomahawk missiles to #Ukraine

"Sort of made a decision"

“I think I want to find out what they’re doing with them. I would ask some questions. I’m not looking to escalate that war"

#UkraineWar #Russia