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Seth Walder

@sethwalder.bsky.social

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ESPN NFL Analyst. DMs open.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · Mar 28

Updated NFL analytics staffer list!*

As always, this list is to the best of my understanding based both on what teams list and conversations with analytics folks around the league.

(*Re-posting because I had a mistake on previous post)

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 7m

Feels only fair since I've been hyping him up so much to point out Armand Membou had a tough pass block win rate game (81%) vs. Cowboys.

Watched the losses and a couple weren't actually bad but still, not great.

Drops Membou to a 91% PBWR for the season, now 22nd out of 57 qualifying OTs.

Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 1h

In the preseason I made a bold prediction for all 32 teams.

Today I re-evaluated them, checking in on the good calls, maaaaaaybe calls and awful calls: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 1h

James Houston has recorded .053 sacks per pass rush in his career.

Just for comparison Myles Garrett's career number is .031.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 1h

Bengals chances to make the playoffs according to FPI moved from 9% yesterday with Jake Browning to 9% today with Joe Flacco.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 19h

Trade grades for the Joe Flacco deal!

www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 21h

Ex-New York exacta at the top of the QBR leaderboard.

$2 bet on that in the preseason probably would've had a heck of a payout.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 1d

weird timeout for Jags. let Chiefs take that one.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 1d

he does it with flair and i respect it

Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

Bills should have gone for 2!

We usually show the advantage to go for 2 down 4 points around 8-9 minutes left in the fourth quarter.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

nice

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

Punting on 4th-and-3 at the 50? Yuck.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

I do think it's interesting what is credulously considered a pass attempt and what it is not.

This ball landed like 6-7 yards away from a player who was less than 10 yards away from the quarterback.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

any given sunday titans can hang with any middling team.

all they need is for their opponent to drop a touchdown before they cross the goalline and to throw a pick and have the defenders fumble it into the end zone. that's it.

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

oh my god oh my god titans

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

Tampa Bay kicking PAT is the right call, imo. Too much time left. Conversion results in induced aggression (another way to put it: teams are usually sub-optimally conservative when tied -- and that goes away when down 1).

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

tired: kick the PAT down 9 because you can't think ahead

wired: go for 2 down 9 so you find out if you missed the conversion now instead of later

inspired: kick the PAT down 9 so you find out if you missed the PAT now instead of later

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Reposted by Seth Walder

Mike Vorkunov @mikevorkunov.bsky.social · 2d

I'm also a huge fantasy football junkie so I've started a list for accounts who can be helpful for fantasy football junkies like me (and I'll keep updating it and adding to it). It's here: bsky.app/profile/did:...

Mike Vorkunov @mikevorkunov.bsky.social · 2d

It feels like people are continuing to trickle onto Bluesky and we're getting more users here. If you're looking for NBA and WNBA accounts to follow, I've got a starter pack for you. Just click the button and follow everyone
go.bsky.app/FGmgtea

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Reposted by Seth Walder

Nate Tice @natetice.bsky.social · 2d

I think Baron Browning has the Titans silent cadence timed up

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Seth Walder @sethwalder.bsky.social · 2d

Thus far in Week 5, there's only been one CB-WR matchup that occurred at least 15 times and resulted in 0 receiving yards:

Isaiah Rodgers vs. Jerry Jeudy.

17 matchups, two targets, zero receptions, per NFL Next Gen Stats.