@markuswagner.bsky.social‬ @na-wehl.bsky.social‬ @sgarritzmann.bsky.social‬ @ainagallego.bsky.social‬ @johanneskiess.bsky.social @noamgidron.bsky.social‬ @steffenmau.bsky.social‬ @littvay.bsky.social‬

@gertpickel.bsky.social‬ @susipickel.bsky.social‬ @seaytac.bsky.social‬ @thmskrr.bsky.social‬ @nilssteiner.bsky.social‬ @rdassonneville.bsky.social‬ @albertostefanelli.bsky.social‬ @sabrinajmayer.bsky.social‬ @heikogiebler.bsky.social @chrisclaassen.bsky.social‬ @melff.bsky.social‬

@usociety.bsky.social‬ @aleininger.bsky.social‬ @cwegscheider.bsky.social‬ @macarenaares.bsky.social‬ @chdausgaard.bsky.social‬ @lchristensen.bsky.social‬ @professormpersson.bsky.social‬ @eichhornjan.bsky.social‬ @mportosg.bsky.social‬ @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social‬ @ackermannk.bsky.social

This could be of interest for: @johnholbein1.bsky.social @bcastanho.bsky.social‬ @eliasdinas.bsky.social‬ @ggalbacete.bsky.social‬ @wurthmann.bsky.social‬ @hannawass.bsky.social‬ @bryonyhoskins.bsky.social‬ @hlaht.bsky.social‬ @janierola.net‬ @anjaneundorf.bsky.social‬ @kunkakom.bsky.social‬

Sequence analysis helps distinguish temporary apathy from lasting disengagement, revealing whether political involvement is stable or precarious. Looking beyond short-term fluctuations puts trajectories in perspective, showing that delayed engagement can be very different from permanent withdrawal.

Sequence analysis is rarely used in political science so far and we extensively discuss its advantages and empirical application. Conventional methods either look at states (cross-sections), differences between time-points (fixed-effects), or mean development across time (growth curve models).

Finally, we show that parental (education and political interest) and individual level predictors (education, vocational training, social participation) predict the pathways to political involvement of adolescents.

Importantly, we find that these patterns already exist at an even younger age (age 11-15). This uncovers an underexplored section of adolescents who were involved in politics at the age of 11/12 but lost interest again by the age of 14/15 (so called “teen apathy”).

We then cluster these sequences into four typologies: stable apathy, stable involvement, late involvement, and independents.

In this paper, we use sequence analyses to identify prevailing trajectories of political involvement (and apathy) from adolescence to young adulthood in Germany and the United Kingdom. This figure shows the fluctuation of political apathy and involvement between age 17-25.

New paper out in @wepsocial.bsky.social‬: Pathways to politics: a sequence analysis of political apathy and involvement (open access)
doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Check your mail.

IN NEW ISSUE: The US 2020 Elections - @sjungkunz.bsky.social, @robfahey.net & A Hino investigate the dynamics of political violence justification & its connection with populist attitudes & conspiracy beliefs: buff.ly/6JplH9f

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs @sagepub.com

We crowdsourced 85 teams to indep. computationally reproduce results from a single study in randomized conditions. Reproducibility:

• depends heavily on the transparency of materials
• high (~95%) for same sign/sig, but low (btw. 48-77% depending on transparency) when requiring within 0.1 effects

The relationship between economic hardship and political violence is the focus on this note by @sjungkunz.bsky.social
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

This study suggests that the income gap in political participation cannot be fully understood without accounting for life cycle processes and genetic background.

Family fixed-effects models among early adults further show no significant effect of income differences on political interest after controlling for family background and genetic influences.

While 30–40% of the total variance in political interest of twin adolescents (age 10–18) can be attributed to genetic influences, a gene–environment interaction model shows that this share is much lower among poor compared to rich families.

This study investigates whether high parental income creates an enhancing environment that increases the influence of genetic dispositions on political interest using the German TwinLife study (2014–2020, age 10–29, n = 6,174).

New Paper out in Politics and the Life Sciences (@cambridgeuppolisci.bsky.social): “Parental income moderates the influence of genetic dispositions on political interest in adolescents” (doi.org/10.1017/pls....).

I've been interviewing researchers from various departments at Waseda for our university podcast series, and my first episode, with Prof. Marisa Kellam, was published last week. Hopefully my dulcet tones are more soothing than the grim topic of democratic backsliding.
www.waseda.jp/top/en/news/...

The US 2020 Elections - @sjungkunz.bsky.social, Robert A Fahey & Airo Hino investigate the dynamics of political violence justification & its connection with populist attitudes & conspiracy beliefs: https://buff.ly/3ZidmeI

@uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs

Inspired by @dtoshkov.bsky.social and the upcoming conference abstract season, types of EPSA papers