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Reposted by Makoto Kelp

Emily Gordon @emilygordynz.bsky.social · 8d

Our new preprint proposes a framework for predicting summertime temperature jumps on 1-5 year timescales.

eartharxiv.org/repository/v...

Machine learning predictions of summertime warming jumps on decadal timescales

eartharxiv.org

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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 20d

Excellent coverage of our study out today on climate impacts on wildfire smoke and related health impacts.

Shannon Osaka @shannonosaka.bsky.social · 20d

It's not your imagination: Wildfire smoke in the U.S. has dramatically worsened since 2019. According to a new study, it's already killing 41,000 people a year - and it's poised to get much worse.

new from me @johnmuyskens.bsky.social and @sadbumblebee.buzz

www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...

Record wildfire smoke kills more people each year than car crashes. It’s about to get worse.

The past six summers have been the smokiest on record. New research shows that smoke could become the costliest consequence of climate change for Americans.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 22d

We are excited to announce the release of the Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas, an effort to map ongoing and future environmental hazards and their impacts on society, and to provide up to date evidence on what policies and interventions work to reduce impacts: adaptationatlas.org. Quick thread

Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas | ECHO Lab | Stanford University

Studying the impacts of environmental change on human health and well-being

adaptationatlas.org

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Sep 2

Interested candidates should review the group’s research page and complete the Google Form on the website (makotokelp.com/openings/) before applying. I will reach out to applicants to set up a Zoom call for admissions. Ideal backgrounds include atmos sci, CS, env science & engineering, data science

Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Sep 2

🚨I’m recruiting 1-2 PhD students for my Air Quality Data Science 🌐 group @utah.edu (start Fall ’26), working on multimodal machine learning applications for atmospheric chemistry (wildfires, ozone, dust). How to apply below. Please repost & ping me with recommendations!

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Simona Meiler @simonameiler.bsky.social · Aug 25

What if companies disclosed climate risk the same way insurers analyze it: with event-based probabilistic models that show what could happen, when, and with what likelihood?

Check out our new paper in Environmental Research: Climate to learn more!
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

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Christopher Callahan @ccallahan45.bsky.social · Aug 1

Starting today I am an assistant professor at Indiana University in the School of Public & Environmental Affairs. Reach out if you want to work together, especially if you are a prospective PhD student or postdoc!

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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · Jul 15

Does prescribed burning reduce overall smoke from wildfire? We have 2 new papers that try to quantify. Answer: each acre Rx burned yields ≥3x more reduction in future wildfire smoke than is emitted in the Rx burn. But can take years to realize benefits.
www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/prescri...

smoke impacts of prescribed burning — ECHO: Environmental Change and Human Outcomes Lab | Stanford University

Yes, it almost certainly does, but benefits in terms of net smoke reductions take a few years to be realized.   By: Marshall Burke Wildfire smoke is a rapidly growing environmental health haz...

www.stanfordecholab.com

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Lily Dove @solilyquy.bsky.social · Jul 7

The Secretary of Commerce's new policy requiring his personal review of all NOAA contracts over $100,000 is directly harming American science. 🧪

How do I know? Because this morning, twelve of America's rising leaders in climate science (including myself) were furloughed.

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UBC Geography @ubcgeography.bsky.social · Jul 2

New @harvard.edu research, along w/ Dr. @tinaliu.bsky.social, launches an online platform to help identify areas in need of controlled burns or other #wildfire management strategies, to increase safety and reduce smoke exposure. 🔥

More: seas.harvard.edu/news/2025/06...

@soa-mazing.bsky.social

Where There’s Fire, There’s Smoke

New app estimates health impacts of breathing smoke from wildfires

seas.harvard.edu

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Prof Sam Illingworth @samillingworth.com · Jul 2

🔥 Fighting fire with data

Better-targeted land management in just 3.5% of Northern California could have cut wildfire smoke exposure by 17.6% in 2020.

Researchers have now built a smoke risk index to guide future decisions.

🔗 pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/...

#SciComm #Wildfires #AirQuality 🧪

Managing Smoke Risk from Wildland Fires: Northern California as a Case Study

Smoke fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from increasing wildfires in the western United States threatens public health. While land managers often prioritize reducing wildfire risk in the wildland-urban ...

pubs.acs.org

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Tina Liu @tinaliu.bsky.social · Jul 1

Happy to announce that Karina Chung's paper on wildfires, smoke risk, and land management in the western US is now published in ES&T! Karina started working on the project with us as a freshman at Harvard!

Paper: doi.org/10.1021/acs....
(Additional links in comments)

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Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment @woods.stanford.edu · Jun 26

Prescribed burns can reduce wildfire severity by 16% and smoke pollution by 14%, a Stanford study finds.

“The smoke is a silent and far-reaching hazard, and prescribed fire may be one of the few tools that actually reduces total smoke exposure.” - senior fellow Marshall Burke

🔗 bit.ly/4nlf1v9

Study shows controlled burns can reduce wildfire intensity and smoke pollution

A new Stanford-led study finds that controlled, low-intensity fires known as prescribed burns can slash wildfire intensity and dangerous smoke pollution across the western United States.

bit.ly

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Jun 26

That’s a cost-benefits trade off that we are actively researching. But in terms of the effectiveness of prescribed fire, we see that it overall saves smoke emissions into the air

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Jun 26

Thanks to a great team of coauthors!
@marshallburke.bsky.social @minghaoqiu.bsky.social @ivanhigueram.com @tinaliu.bsky.social and @noahdiffenbaugh!

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Jun 26

Full article can be found here:
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

Effect of Recent Prescribed Burning and Land Management on Wildfire Burn Severity and Smoke Emissions in the Western United States

Prescribed fires changed 2020 wildfire burn severity by −16% in the western US and smoke emissions by −101 kg per acre in California Fire treatments in the wildland-urban interface were less effe...

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Jun 26

Our new paper shows how recent prescribed (Rx) burns in the western US impacted later wildfires. We find that Rx fires reduced wildfire severity + net smoke emissions, even when factoring in smoke from Rx fires. But, we find that these Rx fires were less effective in the wildland-urban interface.

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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · May 16

What happens to science under autocracy? The rise of the National Socialist Party in 1930s Germany provides an (admittedly extreme) example. Prior to the early 1930s, scientists at German institutions won a third of Nobels. 10 years later, that number was 5%, and has never recovered.

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Simona Meiler @simonameiler.bsky.social · Apr 23

An informative new tool to make risks from natural hazards visible and accessible - not just for scientists, but also for planners, emergency managers, and other professionals across disciplines.
Tool: experience.arcgis.com/experience/1...
Background story: news.climate.columbia.edu/2025/04/22/a...

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Apr 3

🚨Reminder: Due at the end of this month! Please apply and forward to graduating PhD students and early-career postdocs. We expect to give partial funding support for all accepted participants, and they are automatically enrolled in the Atmospheric Chemistry GRC, thanks!

Hannah S Kenagy @hannahskenagy.bsky.social · Jan 28

This year's atmospheric chemistry GRC will be preceded by the first-ever atmospheric chemistry GRS for early-career scientists! I hope you (or your early career colleagues) will consider joining us in Maine this summer. Policies and application instructions here: www.grc.org/atmospheric-...

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Reposted by Makoto Kelp

Emily Gordon @emilygordynz.bsky.social · Mar 4

New paper by me and Noah Diffenbaugh on identifying predictable Pacific variability in the observational record 1/6 agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

Identifying a Pattern of Predictable Decadal North Pacific SST Variability in Historical Observations

A pattern of predictable sea surface temperature variability in the North Pacific Ocean is identified by a neural network trained on CMIP6 models The neural network skillfully predicts the same p...

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Feb 24

Accompanying the paper, Karina also created a YouTube video demoing the Earth Engine tool, very cool!

www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_yD...

This project was co-led by @tinaliu.bsky.social and myself

Technical Demo - SMRT-Flames Tool

YouTube video by Karina Chung

www.youtube.com

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Makoto Kelp @soa-mazing.bsky.social · Feb 24

🚨Preprint alert: Led by Karina Chung (an undergrad!), we develop a wildfire smoke risk index that accounts for historical burned area, fuel consumption, and customized land management in Google Earth Engine 🌎 A useful tool to weigh risk-outcome scenarios 🔥

eartharxiv.org/repository/v...

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Reposted by Makoto Kelp

Hannah S Kenagy @hannahskenagy.bsky.social · Jan 28

This year's atmospheric chemistry GRC will be preceded by the first-ever atmospheric chemistry GRS for early-career scientists! I hope you (or your early career colleagues) will consider joining us in Maine this summer. Policies and application instructions here: www.grc.org/atmospheric-...

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Reposted by Makoto Kelp

Colette Heald @coletteheald.bsky.social · Jan 27

Atmospheric Chemistry colleagues! consider applying to attend this year's Atmospheric Chemistry GRC to join us in Maine and hear about the exciting advances in our field! See the link for more details: www.grc.org/atmospheric-...

2025 Atmospheric Chemistry Conference GRC

The 2025 Gordon Research Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry will be held in Newry, Maine. Apply today to reserve your spot.

www.grc.org

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