Stats For Bios
@statsforbios.bsky.social
Statistics for biologists, medics, statisticians. Anyone really. By Tim Lucas, lecturer in epi/stats.
Biological species concept is all well and good. Then you start reading about Bengal cats and Savannah cats and it's clearly all nonsense. upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/co...
January 22, 2026 at 9:43 PM
Biological species concept is all well and good. Then you start reading about Bengal cats and Savannah cats and it's clearly all nonsense. upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/co...
Exactly like Mortal Engines.
December 21, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Exactly like Mortal Engines.
"the task of replacing a burnt-out light bulb may turn out to require moving a garbage bag; this may unexpectedly cause the spilling of a box of pills, which then forces the floor to be swept so that the dog won't eat the pills."
Glad to see Hal's lightbulb is in Gödel, Escher, Bach
Glad to see Hal's lightbulb is in Gödel, Escher, Bach
December 19, 2025 at 10:16 PM
"the task of replacing a burnt-out light bulb may turn out to require moving a garbage bag; this may unexpectedly cause the spilling of a box of pills, which then forces the floor to be swept so that the dog won't eat the pills."
Glad to see Hal's lightbulb is in Gödel, Escher, Bach
Glad to see Hal's lightbulb is in Gödel, Escher, Bach
Sorry this has all got me on a quick nostalgia kick. This is the venue I learned to love live music in (the Freebutt). It got closed down because they built residential houses next to it, people moved in and didn't like the noise. And now it's just nothing. What an absolute waste.
November 20, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Sorry this has all got me on a quick nostalgia kick. This is the venue I learned to love live music in (the Freebutt). It got closed down because they built residential houses next to it, people moved in and didn't like the noise. And now it's just nothing. What an absolute waste.
Anyone know this film? It's on in the bar and appears to be completely bonkers. But I have no idea what it is
November 9, 2025 at 5:26 AM
Anyone know this film? It's on in the bar and appears to be completely bonkers. But I have no idea what it is
If anyone's going to ASTMH a day early and likes punk, pretty fun looking gig on Saturday. I'll be there if my flights behave.
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
November 7, 2025 at 9:18 PM
If anyone's going to ASTMH a day early and likes punk, pretty fun looking gig on Saturday. I'll be there if my flights behave.
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
files.elfsightcdn.com/eafe4a4d-343...
New paper, great work by Hannah Worboys. Feasibility study of the P-STEP app. "At 12 weeks, the mean (sd) System Usability Score was 61.68 (22.9)". And lots of useful prelim data for larger studies. #EpiSky #EnvironmentalEpi #copd #asthma
October 20, 2025 at 9:33 AM
New paper, great work by Hannah Worboys. Feasibility study of the P-STEP app. "At 12 weeks, the mean (sd) System Usability Score was 61.68 (22.9)". And lots of useful prelim data for larger studies. #EpiSky #EnvironmentalEpi #copd #asthma
Wait, stata costs twice as much if you want to run it using 2 cores? And even more for 4 cores? Lol.
September 29, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Wait, stata costs twice as much if you want to run it using 2 cores? And even more for 4 cores? Lol.
Patent infringment from Wallace (& Gromit) coming any day now.
July 25, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Patent infringment from Wallace (& Gromit) coming any day now.
Dawww. A baby bee.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
July 23, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Dawww. A baby bee.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
Please don't a) tell me it's not a baby bee or b) tell me it's some horrible invasive. Enough of a rollercoaster day already.
Got case data aggregated to admin areas?
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
July 17, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Got case data aggregated to admin areas?
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
Got important covariates in high-resolution rasters/grids?
We are running a free online training workshop on user-friendly, interactive software for this use-case. Disaggregation regression via the shinyapp disagapp.
github.com/simon-smart8... #malaria
You often have to choose the number of clusters. If clusters are clearly arbitrary and just a modelling tool, fine, look at some plots and choose.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
July 11, 2025 at 9:03 AM
You often have to choose the number of clusters. If clusters are clearly arbitrary and just a modelling tool, fine, look at some plots and choose.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
But when the main result of the paper is "there are 4 clusters and this reflects reality and here's our description of the clusters". It's so weak.
I so often find dual axis graphs confusing while I sort out what's what. Having it spelled out like this makes a huge difference. #DataViz
July 2, 2025 at 9:05 AM
I so often find dual axis graphs confusing while I sort out what's what. Having it spelled out like this makes a huge difference. #DataViz
Our new paper led by Jenicca Poongavanan. Predicting #dengue in Africa using disaggregation regression (bottom right in the inset image) and comparing to other methods. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
June 23, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Our new paper led by Jenicca Poongavanan. Predicting #dengue in Africa using disaggregation regression (bottom right in the inset image) and comparing to other methods. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
New paper led by @esnightingale.bsky.social. Delay to diagnosis is important for visceral leishmaniasis control. Longer delay -> more transmission.
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
June 11, 2025 at 3:18 PM
New paper led by @esnightingale.bsky.social. Delay to diagnosis is important for visceral leishmaniasis control. Longer delay -> more transmission.
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Can we understand these delays, factors correlated with them and spatial distribution. bmcglobalpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Does America have anything roughly equivalent to a potato scone? I can imagine they'd be very popular.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
May 10, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Does America have anything roughly equivalent to a potato scone? I can imagine they'd be very popular.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tattie_...
New work by my student Flo Goemans (and others).
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
May 9, 2025 at 9:48 AM
New work by my student Flo Goemans (and others).
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
No change between sexes in accuracy of polygenic risk scores for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Surprising given higher prevalence in males. publications.ersnet.org/content/erjo...
If I'm reading this right, it's dual axis, on totally different scales (% Vs millions) but the numbers just happen to line up exactly. Pretty crazy and more confusing than if they were different. #DataViz
April 30, 2025 at 6:36 PM
If I'm reading this right, it's dual axis, on totally different scales (% Vs millions) but the numbers just happen to line up exactly. Pretty crazy and more confusing than if they were different. #DataViz
Thanks #EuroCIM2025! Great conference. Now coding up my first ipw for malaria inference on my way home. #StatsSky #CausalInference #CasualInference
April 11, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Thanks #EuroCIM2025! Great conference. Now coding up my first ipw for malaria inference on my way home. #StatsSky #CausalInference #CasualInference
