Despite spending millions on vote buying and disinformation, Russia has not been able to turn Moldova into a country in which a majority of the population would want to jeopardise their European future: bit.ly/4nzhP7S
Time is running out for Europe to prevent Russia from broadening its war against Ukraine into a full-blown military confrontation with the west: my latest analysis with @rgwhitman.bsky.social: bit.ly/42e0qZB
Putin senses opportunities for Russia to be the dominant power in Europe — and the west’s lacklustre response to his latest provocation is hardly a deterrent: bit.ly/4gnWICy
If Trump doesn’t recognise the value of his country’s allies in managing the challenge that China clearly poses to the US, China’s sphere of influence may quickly extend far beyond Asia: bit.ly/4mJoLyt
Likely statements at the upcoming SCO summit of how the spirit of Shanghai will shape a new international order rest on the false premise that a post-American international order will be a non-American order: my latest analysis for Navigating the Vortex: bit.ly/3UKuLuN
Trump boldly claimed that he knew exactly what he was doing — but that may not be enough without knowing and understanding what his counterpart in the Kremlin is up to: bit.ly/3Jm1fZM
Lack of bandwidth in the White House is a self-inflicted opportunity lost — not only for the United States but also for the long-suffering people of Ukraine and the Middle East: bit.ly/3H4tk7c
A Nato summit agreement in The Hague on increased defence spending will give the alliance another lease of life, but it might be a short one: bit.ly/4kaPm5D
US policies have now become a major, and perhaps the decisive roadblock on the path to a just and sustainable peace because they enable both Moscow and Kyiv to dream of victory in a war that has become unwinnable: www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/talks-betw...
Focusing on territorial compromises will not address the fundamental issue of how to deal with a vengeful and revisionist autocracy on Europe's doorsteps: www.navigatingthevortex.com/p/territoria...
Moscow’s close relationships with its three core allies — China, Iran and North Korea — signals that Russia has become a lot more dependent on them than would befit Putin’s dreams of restoring Russia’s great-power status: bit.ly/42VLHmU
