Surf-Metrics
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surfmetrics.bsky.social
Surf-Metrics
@surfmetrics.bsky.social
https://surf-metrics.com

Surf forecasting, redefined.

Advanced wave analysis with ensemble modeling for probability-based surf predictions, plus real-time data for your next session. Decision tools for competition orgs, travelers and the everyday surfer
We are literally the most threating force in the world today overtaking Russia in the matter of weeks. We are an empirial state. Our goal now is to take over the entire world one could safely assume.
March 14, 2025 at 4:41 PM
The best IMO. We had some trees close to the house downed a few weeks ago. Plus a huge pile of wood chips from the oak limbs. Got plugs and King spawn coming....
February 18, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Was a really fun event. We nailed the Pipeline forecast for the big day and yesterday 5-6 days out. At least our uncertainty metrics showed high certainty it would be 10 ft+ on Fri and 7 ft on Sat.

Surf Metrics will be doing forecasts for all the WSL events as a way to test our completely free data
February 9, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Stunning detail. As a kid I loved maps and arial views of nature like this. Use to get Atlas books for gifts all the time. Then Google Earth came along and blew us all away I'm sure. Time disappears when I start looking at google earth.
February 7, 2025 at 7:21 PM
They are rooting out all minority groups throughout gov. Mass furloughs on tap and then they will say these people are not needed and Ax them. The memo sent out was clear. They want white men running gov.
January 31, 2025 at 12:07 PM
A good day! Beautiful sunset!
January 31, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Love these show Dave. They get me through the workday. Love Ross' commentary and weather and wave dynamics knowledge.
January 30, 2025 at 11:54 PM
Radical! Can't wait for Saturday morning or that and Fri afternoon.

Can't recall if just running afternoon heats is done. Wind looking good though Sat & bigger NW-NNW swell.

Just have to laugh at those who expect perfect pipe every heat in this chaotic time of year.
January 30, 2025 at 11:51 PM
Example here is how this can be used for planning not just events, but think like this is the forecast for your surf trip to Bali the day you leave. You'd be able to plan days, boards, locations, etc with a little more confidence.
January 28, 2025 at 12:30 PM
This is a simple plot for Pipeline, but shows the point of this whole experiment well. These are wave model runs driven by different meteorology inputs. Spread/uncertainty grows in time. Will be fun to pull out probability with a very nice sample size.
January 27, 2025 at 11:12 PM
For context I'm only doing 8 on the current SpaghettieWaves. This will really help make probability estimates more robust.

What I'll translate this into as well is a calendar view of the surf forecast where I do chances like precip forecasts. i.e., 60% head high, 90% waist high chance next Tue.
January 27, 2025 at 10:29 PM
What actually surprised me is the agreement in the newest runs further out in the window. It looks like two potential swells will follow the Tue-Wed swell. Does the WSL run just on Wed and then wait or do they throw in Tue?
January 27, 2025 at 10:17 PM