Tahra Hoops
@tahrajirari.bsky.social
69% of Dem targets are suburban districts. Meanwhile, Republicans are defending seats where their incumbents underperform by -3.4 points on average. Dems who champion specific policies on housing, healthcare & childcare affordability will win these crucial battlegrounds.
May 13, 2025 at 2:04 PM
69% of Dem targets are suburban districts. Meanwhile, Republicans are defending seats where their incumbents underperform by -3.4 points on average. Dems who champion specific policies on housing, healthcare & childcare affordability will win these crucial battlegrounds.
New: The battle for the House in 2026 will be won in the suburbs. Our analysis shows Democrats targeting districts where economic anxiety over healthcare, childcare & daily costs is high. With just 3 seats between the parties, cost-of-living issues will decide who governs. 🧵
May 13, 2025 at 2:04 PM
New: The battle for the House in 2026 will be won in the suburbs. Our analysis shows Democrats targeting districts where economic anxiety over healthcare, childcare & daily costs is high. With just 3 seats between the parties, cost-of-living issues will decide who governs. 🧵
Democrats need a real pro-family agenda that makes it easier, and cheaper, to raise kids. @garywinslett outlines 10 smart policies, from baby bonuses to single-stair reform. Families deserve affordable childcare, safe cities, and homes that work for real life.
May 8, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Democrats need a real pro-family agenda that makes it easier, and cheaper, to raise kids. @garywinslett outlines 10 smart policies, from baby bonuses to single-stair reform. Families deserve affordable childcare, safe cities, and homes that work for real life.
NEW: California voters put housing costs first, yet the Senate made Aisha Wahab housing chair. She says “protect supply, curb demand” and fights parking reforms. Putting a brake pedal at the wheel shows Sacramento won't kick its anti‑development habit.
By @GaryWinslett
By @GaryWinslett
April 17, 2025 at 2:07 PM
NEW: California voters put housing costs first, yet the Senate made Aisha Wahab housing chair. She says “protect supply, curb demand” and fights parking reforms. Putting a brake pedal at the wheel shows Sacramento won't kick its anti‑development habit.
By @GaryWinslett
By @GaryWinslett
Even the administration is now considering walking it back, hinting the fees won’t be stacked, may be scaled by tonnage, and could have delayed implementation.
Translation: they know it was a mess. But we still do not know the full scale and impacts.
Translation: they know it was a mess. But we still do not know the full scale and impacts.
April 15, 2025 at 2:53 PM
Even the administration is now considering walking it back, hinting the fees won’t be stacked, may be scaled by tonnage, and could have delayed implementation.
Translation: they know it was a mess. But we still do not know the full scale and impacts.
Translation: they know it was a mess. But we still do not know the full scale and impacts.
The proposed fees:
• $1.5M per call for China-built ships
• $1M if a carrier owns just one China-built vessel
• $1M for Chinese state-owned ships
• Potentially stackable
It’s unclear what will be implemented, but the uncertainty alone is already hurting trade.
• $1.5M per call for China-built ships
• $1M if a carrier owns just one China-built vessel
• $1M for Chinese state-owned ships
• Potentially stackable
It’s unclear what will be implemented, but the uncertainty alone is already hurting trade.
April 15, 2025 at 2:53 PM
The proposed fees:
• $1.5M per call for China-built ships
• $1M if a carrier owns just one China-built vessel
• $1M for Chinese state-owned ships
• Potentially stackable
It’s unclear what will be implemented, but the uncertainty alone is already hurting trade.
• $1.5M per call for China-built ships
• $1M if a carrier owns just one China-built vessel
• $1M for Chinese state-owned ships
• Potentially stackable
It’s unclear what will be implemented, but the uncertainty alone is already hurting trade.
On April 17th, we'll learn if massive fees on Chinese-built vessels will move forward. This expansion of failed protectionism into international shipping has faced massive backlash with the CEO of the ACA stating the impact would ultimately be felt by the consumer.
April 15, 2025 at 2:53 PM
On April 17th, we'll learn if massive fees on Chinese-built vessels will move forward. This expansion of failed protectionism into international shipping has faced massive backlash with the CEO of the ACA stating the impact would ultimately be felt by the consumer.
New Rebuild Post!
Maritime protectionism has failed for 100 years. It didn't build us a fleet. It won't now. But the USTR's originally proposed fees of up to $1.5M per port call on Chinese ships will raise prices, shrink exports, and creates more chaos for U.S. businesses. 🧵
Maritime protectionism has failed for 100 years. It didn't build us a fleet. It won't now. But the USTR's originally proposed fees of up to $1.5M per port call on Chinese ships will raise prices, shrink exports, and creates more chaos for U.S. businesses. 🧵
April 15, 2025 at 2:53 PM
New Rebuild Post!
Maritime protectionism has failed for 100 years. It didn't build us a fleet. It won't now. But the USTR's originally proposed fees of up to $1.5M per port call on Chinese ships will raise prices, shrink exports, and creates more chaos for U.S. businesses. 🧵
Maritime protectionism has failed for 100 years. It didn't build us a fleet. It won't now. But the USTR's originally proposed fees of up to $1.5M per port call on Chinese ships will raise prices, shrink exports, and creates more chaos for U.S. businesses. 🧵
Overall, Americans overwhelmingly believe Trump's tariffs will damage the U.S. economy (53% hurt vs. 31% help). This skepticism cuts across demographics but runs deepest among Black (62%) and Hispanic (60%) respondents.
April 9, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Overall, Americans overwhelmingly believe Trump's tariffs will damage the U.S. economy (53% hurt vs. 31% help). This skepticism cuts across demographics but runs deepest among Black (62%) and Hispanic (60%) respondents.
Americans overwhelmingly expect retaliation against Trump's tariffs (81% likely), aligning with reality. China has already imposed 84% retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, while the EU approved €21 billion in countermeasures on American products.
April 9, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Americans overwhelmingly expect retaliation against Trump's tariffs (81% likely), aligning with reality. China has already imposed 84% retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, while the EU approved €21 billion in countermeasures on American products.
Americans remain skeptical about Trump's tariffs hurting U.S. global standing, with 52% believing they damage international relationships. Despite Trump's "America First" messaging, only 19% see tariffs improving our global position. Black + Hispanic voters (59%/55%) are most concerned.
April 9, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Americans remain skeptical about Trump's tariffs hurting U.S. global standing, with 52% believing they damage international relationships. Despite Trump's "America First" messaging, only 19% see tariffs improving our global position. Black + Hispanic voters (59%/55%) are most concerned.
NEW Economist/YouGov Poll: 55% of Americans believe Trump's recent tariffs will hurt their financial wellbeing. The negative perception crosses demographic lines but is strongest among Black (64%) and Hispanic (60%) respondents. 🧵
April 9, 2025 at 2:56 PM
NEW Economist/YouGov Poll: 55% of Americans believe Trump's recent tariffs will hurt their financial wellbeing. The negative perception crosses demographic lines but is strongest among Black (64%) and Hispanic (60%) respondents. 🧵
Democrats learned this lesson the hard way under Biden: voters won't sacrifice their present economic comfort for abstract future benefits.
April 1, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Democrats learned this lesson the hard way under Biden: voters won't sacrifice their present economic comfort for abstract future benefits.
Democrats who make tariffs personal - connecting them directly to local industries and household budgets - are showing the way forward. The most effective voices highlight specific impacts on their communities, not abstract trade policy.
April 1, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Democrats who make tariffs personal - connecting them directly to local industries and household budgets - are showing the way forward. The most effective voices highlight specific impacts on their communities, not abstract trade policy.
CO Gov. @jaredpolis shows how effective messaging looks: "Trump's tariffs will be a tax on Coloradans and American families, and increase the cost of everything from food to gas." His straightforward language that tariffs "make no sense" connects with everyday voters.
April 1, 2025 at 2:44 PM
CO Gov. @jaredpolis shows how effective messaging looks: "Trump's tariffs will be a tax on Coloradans and American families, and increase the cost of everything from food to gas." His straightforward language that tariffs "make no sense" connects with everyday voters.
With Trump's tariffs taking effect April 2nd, Democrats need to understand this fight is just starting. The economic impacts will ripple through supply chains, affecting everything from manufacturing to agriculture long after implementation.
April 1, 2025 at 2:44 PM
With Trump's tariffs taking effect April 2nd, Democrats need to understand this fight is just starting. The economic impacts will ripple through supply chains, affecting everything from manufacturing to agriculture long after implementation.
Tomorrow's "Liberation Day" is just the start of a trade war that jeopardizes America's economic growth. When we limit ourselves to domestic production of basics, we sacrifice the diverse economic ecosystem that drives prosperity. 🧵
April 1, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Tomorrow's "Liberation Day" is just the start of a trade war that jeopardizes America's economic growth. When we limit ourselves to domestic production of basics, we sacrifice the diverse economic ecosystem that drives prosperity. 🧵
Real solutions require increasing supply through new construction and zoning reforms. Even the watered-down "City of Yes" initiative will build only about 80,000 new homes over 15 yrs—nowhere near enough as rents continue to skyrocket hitting median $4,500 in Manhattan.
March 25, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Real solutions require increasing supply through new construction and zoning reforms. Even the watered-down "City of Yes" initiative will build only about 80,000 new homes over 15 yrs—nowhere near enough as rents continue to skyrocket hitting median $4,500 in Manhattan.
Manhattan hotel rates hit $445/night in Dec 2024—TRIPLE the US average. Hotel occupancy is at 84% (effectively full capacity). The hotel industry is thriving with rates climbing 7.4% YoY vs just 2.1% nationally.
March 25, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Manhattan hotel rates hit $445/night in Dec 2024—TRIPLE the US average. Hotel occupancy is at 84% (effectively full capacity). The hotel industry is thriving with rates climbing 7.4% YoY vs just 2.1% nationally.
NEW: NYC's Airbnb ban has been in effect for 18 months, and the unintended consequences are piling up. Beyond failing to lower rents, it's disproportionately harming outer borough communities and small businesses.
March 25, 2025 at 1:22 PM
NEW: NYC's Airbnb ban has been in effect for 18 months, and the unintended consequences are piling up. Beyond failing to lower rents, it's disproportionately harming outer borough communities and small businesses.
As @RepAuchincloss has noted "If your #1 issue is cost of living, boy, we’d better win you back." They will soon tire about political drama. They do care about their mortgage, rent, and gas prices.
March 18, 2025 at 1:10 PM
As @RepAuchincloss has noted "If your #1 issue is cost of living, boy, we’d better win you back." They will soon tire about political drama. They do care about their mortgage, rent, and gas prices.
The good news? Trump’s grip on attention is slipping.
Recent polling from @EchelonInsights shows voter concerns shifting:
📉 Immigration fell to #4
📈 Cost of living, jobs & economy took the top spots
That’s an opening for Dems—if they take it.
Recent polling from @EchelonInsights shows voter concerns shifting:
📉 Immigration fell to #4
📈 Cost of living, jobs & economy took the top spots
That’s an opening for Dems—if they take it.
March 18, 2025 at 1:10 PM
The good news? Trump’s grip on attention is slipping.
Recent polling from @EchelonInsights shows voter concerns shifting:
📉 Immigration fell to #4
📈 Cost of living, jobs & economy took the top spots
That’s an opening for Dems—if they take it.
Recent polling from @EchelonInsights shows voter concerns shifting:
📉 Immigration fell to #4
📈 Cost of living, jobs & economy took the top spots
That’s an opening for Dems—if they take it.
Historically, Dems have played by old media rules: endorsements, cautious earned media, and "managing" attention instead of aggressively pursuing it.
Trump’s movement? The opposite. Constant visibility, spectacle-driven engagement—even negative press fuels them.
Trump’s movement? The opposite. Constant visibility, spectacle-driven engagement—even negative press fuels them.
March 18, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Historically, Dems have played by old media rules: endorsements, cautious earned media, and "managing" attention instead of aggressively pursuing it.
Trump’s movement? The opposite. Constant visibility, spectacle-driven engagement—even negative press fuels them.
Trump’s movement? The opposite. Constant visibility, spectacle-driven engagement—even negative press fuels them.
NEW: Last week, @PatrickRuffini coined the term "Combative Centrism" to describe what could be a winning strategy for Democrats. With cost of living back to being the #1 voter concern, Democrats need a strategy that's both forceful and practical. 🧵
March 18, 2025 at 1:10 PM
NEW: Last week, @PatrickRuffini coined the term "Combative Centrism" to describe what could be a winning strategy for Democrats. With cost of living back to being the #1 voter concern, Democrats need a strategy that's both forceful and practical. 🧵
Waymo has clearly become a tourist attraction (was the first request from my family when they came to visit!), while they have yet to scale to airport service and full service, I can see their projections hitting the mark if not exceeding.
March 13, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Waymo has clearly become a tourist attraction (was the first request from my family when they came to visit!), while they have yet to scale to airport service and full service, I can see their projections hitting the mark if not exceeding.